Inside Edge
Cincinnati Reds71.4% K O 3.560% ER O 2.560% HA O 5.5
Season
All Chris Paddack propsProps — 20267 games with closing lines
Walks Allowed
7g28.6%Over: 2-5
3vs O 1.5+110
vs
Phillies5/3
Phillies5/3✓✗✗✗✗✓✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 25%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Paddack's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kyle Leahy
5/22Current Cardinals hitters are batting .275 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Paddack over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo
5/16Current Guardians hitters are batting .238 against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Paddack over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo
5/3Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Paddack have an ERA of 4.37 against the Phillies since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-5 Over7g · 7 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +110 |
| 4/27 | @ Dodgers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -174 |
| 4/21 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -114 |
| 4/15 | @ Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -118 |
| 4/10 | @ Tigers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 4/5 | @ Yankees | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -199 |
| 3/30 | vs White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +129 |
Cincinnati Reds Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 1.4.
Is Chris Paddack over 1.5 walks allowed a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Chris Paddack over 1.5 walks allowed at best closing odds has returned -$340 (-48.57% ROI). The hit rate is 28.6% with an average actual of 1.4.
What is Chris Paddack's walks allowed average this season?
Chris Paddack averages 1.4 walks allowed per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.