Inside Edge
Cincinnati Reds71.4% K O 3.560% ER O 2.560% HA O 5.5
Season
All Chris Paddack propsProps — 20267 games with closing lines
Pitcher Ks
7g71.4%Over: 5-2
1vs O 3.5-137
vs
Phillies5/3
Phillies5/3✗✗✓✓✓✓✓
H: 66.7%(3)A: 75%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Paddack's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kyle Leahy
5/22Current Cardinals hitters are batting .275 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Paddack over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo
5/16Current Guardians hitters are batting .238 against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Paddack over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo
5/3Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Paddack have an ERA of 4.37 against the Phillies since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
17-23 Over7g · 40 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -137 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -1400 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -361 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +174 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +370 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +830 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1700 |
| 4/27 | @ Dodgers | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +129 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -447 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -174 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +271 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +610 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -1720 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1260 |
| 4/21 | vs Cardinals | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +112 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -550 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -207 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +250 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +539 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | O 1.5 | 7 | W | -2600 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +1140 |
| 4/15 | @ Braves | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +100 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -870 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -250 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +233 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +536 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +1200 |
| 4/10 | @ Tigers | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -158 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -1760 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -450 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +146 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +320 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +680 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +1300 |
| 4/5 | @ Yankees | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -160 |
| 4/5 | @Yankees | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +125 |
| 3/30 | vs White Sox | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -136 |
| 3/30 | vsWhite Sox | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +188 |
| 3/30 | vsWhite Sox | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -400 |
| 3/30 | vsWhite Sox | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +410 |
Cincinnati Reds Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2 with an average actual of 3.9.
Is Chris Paddack over 3.5 pitcher ks a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Chris Paddack over 3.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned +$144 (+20.57% ROI). The hit rate is 71.4% with an average actual of 3.9.
What is Chris Paddack's pitcher ks average this season?
Chris Paddack averages 3.9 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 3.5.