Texas Rangers71.4% ER O 2.571.4% HA O 5.566.7% K O 3.5
Season
All Chris Paddack propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g55.6%Over: 5-4-1
4vs O 2.5-136
vs
Braves5/29
Braves5/29✓✓P✓✗✓✗✗✗✓
H: 100%(5)A: 0%(3)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(8%)
Total Matchups
12Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Paddack's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 66.7%(2-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Tanner Bibee
6/30Current Guardians have struck out just 11% of the time in their last 79 PA's against Paddack.
★★★★★vs Grant Holmes
5/29Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Paddack have an ERA of 4.83 against the Braves since last year.
★★★★★vs Andre Pallante
5/23Current Cardinals hitters are batting .275 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Paddack over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-5-1 Over10g · 11 props
Texas Rangers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on earned runs 2.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2-1 with an average actual of 3.6.
Is Chris Paddack over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Chris Paddack over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$56 (+5.6% ROI). The hit rate is 71.4% with an average actual of 3.6.
What is Chris Paddack's earned runs average this season?
Chris Paddack averages 3.6 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge