Boston Red Sox71.4% HA O 5.570% ER O 2.540% BBA O 2.5
Season
Best Performer
Brayan Bello goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 87.5% of the time (7-1)
Props — 202611 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bello's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Trevor Rogers
6/4Current Orioles hitters have struck out 24.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Bello over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Orioles.
★★★★★vs Grant Holmes
5/17Braves hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Bello.
★★★★★vs Eric Lauer
4/29Pitchers with similar repertoires to Bello have an ERA of 4.65 against the Blue Jays over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
43-64 Over107 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/4 | vs Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -1680 |
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +322 |
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +1500 |
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +145 |
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -439 |
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -164 |
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +710 |
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -108 |
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +110 |
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -110 |
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -135 |
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -170 |
| 5/29 | @ Guardians | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 21 | W | -105 |
| 5/29 | @Guardians | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
| 5/29 | @Guardians | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 21 | W | -135 |
| 5/23 | vs Twins | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | -125 |
| 5/23 | vsTwins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 5/23 | vsTwins | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -120 |
| 5/17 | @ Braves | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 15 | L | +100 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -1120 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -125 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -319 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1520 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +860 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +404 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +186 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -113 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -121 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +102 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -131 |
| 5/5 | @ Tigers | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 21 | W | -116 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -140 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 7 | W | -1320 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -360 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +162 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +360 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +760 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +1560 |
| 4/29 | @ Blue Jays | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 11 | L | -111 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +168 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -1400 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -325 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -135 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +350 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +750 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +1540 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -103 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -103 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 11 | L | -127 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -158 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Brayan Bello hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Brayan Bello hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 20% of the time in 2026, going 2-8 with an average actual of 14.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$640.
How often does Brayan Bello hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Brayan Bello hits the over on earned runs 2.5 70% of the time in 2026, going 7-3 with an average actual of 4.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$375.
How often does Brayan Bello hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Brayan Bello hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 22.2% of the time in 2026, going 2-7 with an average actual of 3.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$415.
How often does Brayan Bello hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Brayan Bello hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2 with an average actual of 7.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$273.
How often does Brayan Bello hit the over on walks allowed 2.5?
Brayan Bello hits the over on walks allowed 2.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 2-3 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$94.
What are Brayan Bello's best prop bets in 2026?
Brayan Bello's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 71.4% (5-2); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 70% (7-3); Walks Allowed O 2.5 at 40% (2-3).
Inside Edge