Boston Red Sox71.4% HA O 5.570% ER O 2.540% BBA O 2.5
Season
All Brayan Bello propsProps — 202611 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
11g27.3%Over: 3-8
15vs O 15.5+110
vs
Orioles6/4
Orioles6/4✗✓✗✗✓✗✗✗✓✗
H: 0%(4)A: 33.3%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bello's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Trevor Rogers
6/4Current Orioles hitters have struck out 24.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Bello over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Orioles.
★★★★★vs Grant Holmes
5/17Braves hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Bello.
★★★★★vs Eric Lauer
4/29Pitchers with similar repertoires to Bello have an ERA of 4.65 against the Blue Jays over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-14 Over11g · 18 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -108 |
| 6/4 | vsOrioles | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +110 |
| 5/29 | @ Guardians | O 16.5 | 21 | W | -105 |
| 5/29 | @Guardians | O 15.5 | 21 | W | -135 |
| 5/23 | vs Twins | O 15.5 | 15 | L | -125 |
| 5/23 | vsTwins | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -120 |
| 5/17 | @ Braves | O 16.5 | 15 | L | +100 |
| 5/17 | @Braves | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +102 |
| 5/5 | @ Tigers | O 15.5 | 21 | W | -116 |
| 4/29 | @ Blue Jays | O 16.5 | 11 | L | -111 |
| 4/29 | @Blue Jays | O 15.5 | 11 | L | -127 |
| 4/24 | @Orioles | O 15.5 | 10 | L | -131 |
| 4/24 | @Orioles | O 16.5 | 10 | L | -110 |
| 4/18 | vsTigers | O 15.5 | 12 | L | -125 |
| 4/12 | @ Cardinals | O 16.5 | 20 | W | +100 |
| 4/6 | vs Brewers | O 15.5 | 10 | L | -122 |
| 4/6 | vsBrewers | O 14.5 | 10 | L | -162 |
| 3/31 | @ Astros | O 15.5 | 14 | L | +120 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Brayan Bello hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Brayan Bello hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 20% of the time in 2026, going 2-8 with an average actual of 14.4.
Is Brayan Bello over 15.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 11 games in 2026, betting $100 on Brayan Bello over 15.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned -$540 (-49.09% ROI). The hit rate is 20% with an average actual of 14.4.
What is Brayan Bello's outs recorded average this season?
Brayan Bello averages 14.4 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 11 games. The primary line is set at 15.5.
Inside Edge