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Players/MLB/Boston Red Sox/Brayan Bello/Earned Runs
Brayan Bello

Brayan Bello

Boston Red Sox•Pitcher•2026
4.85ERA67K85.3IP7.1K/919G
4.85ERA67K85.3IP7.1K/919G
71.4% HA O 5.570% ER O 2.540% BBA O 2.5
Season
All Brayan Bello props

Props — 202611 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

10g
avg 4.1
70%Over: 7-3
8vs O 2.5-135
vsOrioles6/4
✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✗✓✓
H: 75%(4)A: 66.7%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
100%
80%
33%
100%
Mar
1-0
Apr
4-1
May
1-2
Jun
1-0
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
36
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Bello's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsOuts RecordedO 15.5Earned RunsO 2.5Pitcher KsO 3.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 2.5
★★★★★0%(0-1)50%(1-1)0%(0-2)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★0%(0-3)100%(3-0)100%(2-0)33.3%(1-2)100%(2-0)
★★★★★0%(0-3)100%(3-0)0%(0-3)100%(3-0)0%(0-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Matt Wilkinson
8/23

Current Giants are batting .312 in their last 16 AB's against Bello.

★★★★★vs Blade Tidwell
8/22

The majority of matchup categories favor the Giants against Bello.

★★★★★vs Logan Webb
8/21

The majority of matchup categories favor the Giants against Bello.

Game Log

Bet
$
8-3 Over10g · 11 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
6/4vsOriolesO 2.58W-135
5/29@GuardiansO 2.50L-105
5/23vsTwinsO 2.50L+110
5/17@BravesO 2.57W-113
4/29@Blue JaysO 2.54W-103
4/24@OriolesO 2.58W-110
4/18vsTigersO 2.54W+115
4/12@CardinalsO 2.52L+105
4/6vsBrewersO 2.53W-101
3/31@AstrosO 2.55W+110
3/31@AstrosO 1.55W-157

Boston Red Sox Teammates

View all
Wilyer AbreuWillson ContrerasCeddanne RafaelaJarren DuranCaleb DurbinAdley RutschmanMasataka YoshidaAndruw MonasterioCurtis MeadConnor WongMarcelo MayerAnthony SeiglerEli WhiteJake RogersTrevor Story

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Brayan Bello hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Brayan Bello hits the over on earned runs 2.5 70% of the time in 2026, going 7-3 with an average actual of 4.1.
Is Brayan Bello over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Brayan Bello over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$375 (+37.5% ROI). The hit rate is 70% with an average actual of 4.1.
What is Brayan Bello's earned runs average this season?
Brayan Bello averages 4.1 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Brayan Bello 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.11 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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