Boston Red Sox71.4% HA O 5.570% ER O 2.540% BBA O 2.5
Season
All Brayan Bello propsProps — 202611 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g70%Over: 7-3
8vs O 2.5-135
vs
Orioles6/4
Orioles6/4✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✗✓✓
H: 75%(4)A: 66.7%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bello's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Trevor Rogers
6/4Current Orioles hitters have struck out 24.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Bello over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Orioles.
★★★★★vs Grant Holmes
5/17Braves hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Bello.
★★★★★vs Eric Lauer
4/29Pitchers with similar repertoires to Bello have an ERA of 4.65 against the Blue Jays over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-3 Over10g · 11 props
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Brayan Bello hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Brayan Bello hits the over on earned runs 2.5 70% of the time in 2026, going 7-3 with an average actual of 4.1.
Is Brayan Bello over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Brayan Bello over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$375 (+37.5% ROI). The hit rate is 70% with an average actual of 4.1.
What is Brayan Bello's earned runs average this season?
Brayan Bello averages 4.1 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge