Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox85.7% ER O 2.566.7% HA O 5.540% BBA O 2.5
Season
All Brayan Bello propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
7g85.7%Over: 6-1
7vs O 2.5-113
@
Braves5/17
Braves5/17✓✓✓✓✗✓✓
H: 100%(2)A: 80%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
7Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bello's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(3-0) | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Grant Holmes
5/17Braves hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Bello.
★★★★★vs Eric Lauer
4/29Pitchers with similar repertoires to Bello have an ERA of 4.65 against the Blue Jays over the last year.
★★★★★vs Brandon Young
4/24Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Bello.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-1 Over7g · 8 props
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Brayan Bello hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Brayan Bello hits the over on earned runs 2.5 85.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-1 with an average actual of 4.7.
Is Brayan Bello over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Brayan Bello over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$501 (+71.57% ROI). The hit rate is 85.7% with an average actual of 4.7.
What is Brayan Bello's earned runs average this season?
Brayan Bello averages 4.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.