Inside Edge
Philadelphia Phillies90% K O 2.580% ER O 2.566.7% HA O 5.5
Season
Best Performer
Aaron Nola goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 90% of the time (9-1)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Nola's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Andrew Abbott
5/20Reds hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Nola.
★★★★★vs Braxton Ashcraft
5/15Current Pirates hitters are batting .273 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Nola over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Kyle Freeland
5/9Rockies hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Nola.
Game Log
Bet
$
60-70 Over130 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vs Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -122 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -285 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +320 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -2500 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -700 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +168 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | +1080 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +640 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -132 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +110 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -117 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -105 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -164 |
| 5/15 | @ Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -550 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -1880 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +100 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -230 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +400 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +210 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 2 | L | +1280 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 2 | L | +680 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 11 | L | -110 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +116 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 11 | L | -120 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +122 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -203 |
| 5/9 | vs Rockies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -990 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -175 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -4000 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +225 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +410 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -382 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 14 | L | +140 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 4 | L | +1500 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 4 | L | +800 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -155 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +119 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -122 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 14 | L | -181 |
| 5/4 | @ Marlins | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +100 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +116 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -1380 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -450 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -190 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +235 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +490 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +860 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Aaron Nola hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Aaron Nola hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 90% of the time in 2026, going 9-1 with an average actual of 5.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$43.
How often does Aaron Nola hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Aaron Nola hits the over on earned runs 2.5 80% of the time in 2026, going 8-2 with an average actual of 3.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$604.
How often does Aaron Nola hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Aaron Nola hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-3 with an average actual of 6.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$343.
How often does Aaron Nola hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Aaron Nola hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 6-4 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$9.
How often does Aaron Nola hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Aaron Nola hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-6 with an average actual of 15.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$362.
What are Aaron Nola's best prop bets in 2026?
Aaron Nola's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 90% (9-1); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 80% (8-2); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 66.7% (6-3).