Inside Edge
Philadelphia Phillies90% K O 2.580% ER O 2.566.7% HA O 5.5
Season
All Aaron Nola propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
10g30%Over: 3-7
15vs O 17.5-105
vs
Reds5/20
Reds5/20✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✓✓✗
H: 0%(3)A: 50%(6)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Nola's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Andrew Abbott
5/20Reds hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Nola.
★★★★★vs Braxton Ashcraft
5/15Current Pirates hitters are batting .273 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Nola over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Kyle Freeland
5/9Rockies hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Nola.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-12 Over10g · 16 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsReds | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -132 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -105 |
| 5/15 | @ Pirates | O 17.5 | 11 | L | -110 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | O 16.5 | 11 | L | -120 |
| 5/9 | vs Rockies | O 18.5 | 14 | L | +140 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | O 17.5 | 14 | L | -181 |
| 5/4 | @ Marlins | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +100 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -142 |
| 4/26 | @ Braves | O 17.5 | 14 | L | -115 |
| 4/26 | @Braves | O 16.5 | 14 | L | -138 |
| 4/20 | @ Cubs | O 17.5 | 13 | L | -143 |
| 4/14 | vsCubs | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -118 |
| 4/8 | @ Giants | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -156 |
| 4/8 | @Giants | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +145 |
| 4/3 | @Rockies | O 17.5 | 19 | W | -135 |
| 3/28 | vs Rangers | O 15.5 | 15 | L | -105 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Aaron Nola hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Aaron Nola hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-6 with an average actual of 15.2.
Is Aaron Nola over 17.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Aaron Nola over 17.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned -$462 (-46.2% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 15.2.
What is Aaron Nola's outs recorded average this season?
Aaron Nola averages 15.2 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 17.5.