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Players/MLB/Philadelphia Phillies/Aaron Nola/Outs Recorded
Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola

Philadelphia Phillies•Pitcher•2026
5.26ERA146K133.5IP9.8K/926G
5.26ERA146K133.5IP9.8K/926G
61.5% BBA O 1.560% HA O 5.557.7% ER O 2.5
Season
All Aaron Nola props

Props — 202626 games with closing lines

Outs Recorded

26g
avg 15.8
42.3%Over: 11-15
21vs O 16.5-132
vsMarlins8/19
✓✗✓✓✓✓✓✗✓✗
H: 40%(5)A: 40%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
0%
80%
0%
Mar
0-1
Jun
0-3
Jul
4-1
Aug
0-1
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(4%)
Total Matchups
26
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Nola's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 5.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 15.5
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)—
★★★★★28.6%(2-5)57.1%(4-3)42.9%(3-4)42.9%(3-4)50%(1-1)
★★★★★66.7%(2-1)66.7%(2-1)100%(2-0)66.7%(2-1)0%(0-2)
★★★★★50%(5-5)60%(6-4)70%(7-3)70%(7-3)60%(3-2)
★★★★★40%(2-3)60%(3-2)60%(3-2)80%(4-1)0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Sandy Alcantara
8/19

Marlins hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Nola.

★★★★★vs Taj Bradley
8/13

Current Twins hitters are batting .230 against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like like Nola over the the last two years.

★★★★★vs Max Scherzer
8/8

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Nola have an ERA of 4.50 against the Blue Jays over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
26-35 Over26g · 61 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/19vsMarlinsO 16.521W-132
8/19vsMarlinsO 17.521W+105
8/19vsMarlinsO 20.521W—
8/19vsMarlinsO 14.521W—
8/19vsMarlinsO 1721W—
8/13@TwinsO 16.515L-103
8/13@TwinsO 17.515L—
8/13@TwinsO 20.515L—
8/13@TwinsO 14.515W—
8/13@TwinsO 15.515L-120
8/8vsBlue JaysO 17.515L-111
8/8vsBlue JaysO 14.515W—
8/8vsBlue JaysO 20.515L—
8/3vsNationalsO 17.518W+110
8/3vsNationalsO 16.518W-107
8/3vsNationalsO 14.518W—
8/3vsNationalsO 20.518L—
8/3vsNationalsO 1718W—
7/28@MarlinsO 16.517W-105
7/28@MarlinsO 17.517L+115
7/28@MarlinsO 15.517W—
7/28@MarlinsO 20.517L—
7/28@MarlinsO 14.517W—
7/22vsDodgersO 15.516W+123
7/22vsDodgersO 14.516W-180
7/16vsMetsO 16.518W—
7/16vsMetsO 15.518W+134
7/16vsMetsO 14.518W—
7/10@TigersO 16.515L+118
7/10@TigersO 15.515L-125
7/5@RoyalsO 16.521W+110
7/5@RoyalsO 15.521W-125
6/29vsPiratesO 16.513L+100
6/29vsPiratesO 17.513L+120
6/29vsPiratesO 15.513L-137
6/24@NationalsO 16.515L-115
6/24@NationalsO 17.515L—
6/18vsMetsO 16.515L-105
6/18vsMetsO 17.515L-105
6/18vsMetsO 15.515L—
6/13@BrewersO 15.514L-115
6/13@BrewersO 16.514L+103
6/7vsWhite SoxO 17.513L-110
6/2vsPadresO 17.515L-106
5/26@PadresO 17.518W-125
5/20vsRedsO 16.515L-132
5/20vsRedsO 17.515L-105
5/15@PiratesO 17.511L-110
5/15@PiratesO 16.511L-120
5/9vsRockiesO 18.514L+140

Philadelphia Phillies Teammates

View all
Kyle SchwarberBryce HarperTrea TurnerBrandon MarshLuis ArraezAlec BohmBryson StottJ.T. RealmutoJustin CrawfordEdmundo SosaDerek HillGabriel Rincones Jr.Garrett StubbsBryan De La CruzZack Wheeler

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Aaron Nola hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Aaron Nola hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 4-6 with an average actual of 15.9.
Is Aaron Nola over 15.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 26 games in 2026, betting $100 on Aaron Nola over 15.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned -$605 (-23.27% ROI). The hit rate is 40% with an average actual of 15.9.
What is Aaron Nola's outs recorded average this season?
Aaron Nola averages 15.9 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 26 games. The primary line is set at 15.5.

Aaron Nola 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.26 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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