Aaron Nola

Philadelphia PhilliesPitcher•2026

Reg6.05 ERA / 94 K / 89.2 IP / 9.5 K/9 / 18G

94.4% K O 2.566.7% ER O 2.564.7% HA O 5.5

Season

All Aaron Nola props

Props — 202618 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

18g

avg 5.2

94.4%Over: 17-1

7vs O 2.5-1000

Royals7/5

✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✗

H: 100%(8)A: 90%(10)

SeasonalityAll lines

100%

80%

100%

Mar
1-0

Apr
5-0

May
4-1

Jun
6-0

Jul
1-0

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.7★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(6%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Nola's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 2.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 5.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	100%(5-0)	60%(3-2)	40%(2-3)	40%(2-3)	40%(2-3)
★★★★★	100%(3-0)	66.7%(2-1)	100%(2-0)	66.7%(2-1)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	83.3%(5-1)	83.3%(5-1)	83.3%(5-1)	50%(3-3)	20%(1-4)
★★★★★	100%(3-0)	66.7%(2-1)	66.7%(2-1)	100%(3-0)	0%(0-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Luinder Avila

7/5

Royals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Nola.

★★★★★vs Braxton Ashcraft

6/29

Current Pirates hitters have an OPS of .834 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Nola over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Carson Palmquist

6/24

Nationals hitters have a 4 star average matchup against Nola.

Game Log

Bet

62-88 Over18g · 150 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/5	@Royals	O 4.5	7	W	-156
7/5	@Royals	O 6.5	7	W	+310
7/5	@Royals	O 5.5	7	W	+148
7/5	@Royals	O 7.5	7	L	+630
7/5	@Royals	O 2.5	7	W	-1000
7/5	@Royals	O 3.5	7	W	-350
7/5	@Royals	O 8.5	7	L	+1220
7/5	@Royals	O 1.5	7	W	—
7/5	@Royals	O 9.5	7	L	—
7/5	@Royals	O 10.5	7	L	—
6/29	vsPirates	O 8.5	5	L	+700
6/29	vsPirates	O 7.5	5	L	+360
6/29	vsPirates	O 5.5	5	L	-120
6/29	vsPirates	O 3.5	5	W	-600
6/29	vsPirates	O 2.5	5	W	-3100
6/29	vsPirates	O 1.5	5	W	—
6/29	vsPirates	O 9.5	5	L	+1260
6/29	vsPirates	O 6.5	5	L	+178
6/29	vsPirates	O 4.5	5	W	-250
6/29	vsPirates	O 10.5	5	L	—
6/24	@Nationals	O 4.5	5	W	-122
6/24	@Nationals	O 2.5	5	W	-870
6/24	@Nationals	O 1.5	5	W	—
6/24	@Nationals	O 7.5	5	L	+750
6/24	@Nationals	O 3.5	5	W	-310
6/24	@Nationals	O 5.5	5	L	+174
6/24	@Nationals	O 6.5	5	L	+370
6/24	@Nationals	O 8.5	5	L	+1440
6/24	@Nationals	O 9.5	5	L	—
6/18	vsMets	O 4.5	6	W	-188
6/18	vsMets	O 5.5	6	W	+120
6/18	vsMets	O 3.5	6	W	-430
6/18	vsMets	O 6.5	6	L	+265
6/18	vsMets	O 2.5	6	W	-1280
6/18	vsMets	O 7.5	6	L	+550
6/18	vsMets	O 1.5	6	W	—
6/18	vsMets	O 8.5	6	L	+960
6/18	vsMets	O 9.5	6	L	—
6/18	vsMets	O 10.5	6	L	—
6/13	@Brewers	O 2.5	3	W	-1000
6/13	@Brewers	O 3.5	3	L	-340
6/13	@Brewers	O 7.5	3	L	+650
6/13	@Brewers	O 6.5	3	L	+313
6/13	@Brewers	O 4.5	3	L	-144
6/13	@Brewers	O 5.5	3	L	+151
6/13	@Brewers	O 8.5	3	L	+1320
6/7	vsWhite Sox	O 5.5	4	L	+110
6/7	vsWhite Sox	O 7.5	4	L	+470
6/7	vsWhite Sox	O 8.5	4	L	+900
6/7	vsWhite Sox	O 3.5	4	W	-450

Philadelphia Phillies Teammates

View all

Kyle Schwarber Bryce Harper Trea Turner Brandon Marsh Alec Bohm Bryson Stott J.T. Realmuto Justin Crawford Edmundo Sosa Derek Hill Gabriel Rincones Jr.Felix Reyes Garrett Stubbs Otto Kemp Zack Wheeler

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Aaron Nola hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?

Aaron Nola hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 94.4% of the time in 2026, going 17-1 with an average actual of 5.2.

Is Aaron Nola over 2.5 pitcher ks a good bet?

Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Aaron Nola over 2.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned +$18 (+1% ROI). The hit rate is 94.4% with an average actual of 5.2.

What is Aaron Nola's pitcher ks average this season?

Aaron Nola averages 5.2 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.