Inside Edge
Philadelphia Phillies90% K O 2.580% ER O 2.566.7% HA O 5.5
Season
All Aaron Nola propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Pitcher Ks
10g90%Over: 9-1
5vs O 2.5-2500
vs
Reds5/20
Reds5/20✓✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓
H: 100%(4)A: 83.3%(6)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Nola's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Andrew Abbott
5/20Reds hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Nola.
★★★★★vs Braxton Ashcraft
5/15Current Pirates hitters are batting .273 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Nola over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Kyle Freeland
5/9Rockies hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Nola.
Game Log
Bet
$
31-49 Over10g · 80 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsReds | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -122 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -285 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +320 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -2500 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -700 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +168 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | O 9.5 | 5 | L | +1080 |
| 5/20 | vsReds | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +640 |
| 5/15 | @ Pirates | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -550 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -1880 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +100 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -230 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +400 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +210 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | O 9.5 | 2 | L | +1280 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | O 8.5 | 2 | L | +680 |
| 5/9 | vs Rockies | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -990 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -175 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -4000 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +225 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +410 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -382 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | O 10.5 | 4 | L | +1500 |
| 5/9 | vsRockies | O 9.5 | 4 | L | +800 |
| 5/4 | @ Marlins | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +116 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -1380 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -450 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -190 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +235 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +490 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +860 |
| 5/4 | @Marlins | O 9.5 | 5 | L | +1600 |
| 4/26 | @ Braves | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +132 |
| 4/26 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -1120 |
| 4/26 | @Braves | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -375 |
| 4/26 | @Braves | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -162 |
| 4/26 | @Braves | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +266 |
| 4/26 | @Braves | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +544 |
| 4/26 | @Braves | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +1080 |
| 4/26 | @Braves | O 9.5 | 6 | L | +1680 |
| 4/20 | @ Cubs | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +116 |
| 4/20 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -1300 |
| 4/20 | @Cubs | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -428 |
| 4/20 | @Cubs | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -186 |
| 4/20 | @Cubs | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +229 |
| 4/20 | @Cubs | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +452 |
| 4/20 | @Cubs | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +900 |
| 4/20 | @Cubs | O 9.5 | 5 | L | +1740 |
| 4/14 | vsCubs | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +132 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Aaron Nola hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Aaron Nola hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 90% of the time in 2026, going 9-1 with an average actual of 5.1.
Is Aaron Nola over 2.5 pitcher ks a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Aaron Nola over 2.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned -$43 (-4.3% ROI). The hit rate is 90% with an average actual of 5.1.
What is Aaron Nola's pitcher ks average this season?
Aaron Nola averages 5.1 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.