Capitals vs Lightning Odds & Spread, Oct 3, 2026 | LineTerminal

Capitals vs Lightning Odds & Spread, Oct 3, 2026 | LineTerminal

NHLSAT, OCT 3, 20266:10 PM CDT

Away

CapitalsWashington Capitals43-39+124

Home

LightningTampa Bay Lightning53-36-148

Spread

Lightning −1.5

Total

5.5

Moneyline

Capitals +124/Lightning -148

Analyze with Atom

Probability

Loading probability

Pre-game notes4 notes

Rest advantage+19 days off

Won 4 straightCapitals on heater

Covered 4 straightCapitals covering against the spread

Lost ATS 13 straightLightning hasn't covered in 13

Consensus lines

Spread

Total

ML

Capitals+1.5(-205)

O5.5

Capitals+124

Lightning-1.5(+170)

U5.5

Lightning-148

Key performers

Capitals

Jakob ChychrunCold82g

0.8PTSL5 0.2

0.3G0.4A23mTOI

vs Lightning1PTS3g

John CarlsonCold55g

0.8PTSL5 0.6

0.2G0.7A22mTOI

vs Lightning0.7PTS3g

Matt RoyCold81g

0.2PTSL5 0

0G0.2A20mTOI

vs Lightning0PTS3g

0.9PTS

0.4G0.4A19mTOI

vs Lightning1.3PTS3g

Martin FehérváryHot83g

0.3PTSL5 1

0.1G0.3A19mTOI

vs Lightning0.3PTS3g

Goalie

Logan ThompsonHot80g

.913SV%2.44GAA

L5 .946 SV% · 1.01 GAA

Lightning

Darren RaddyshCold80g

0.9PTSL5 0.4

0.3G0.6A22mTOI

vs Capitals0.5PTS2g

J.J. MoserHot86g

0.4PTSL5 0.6

0.1G0.3A21mTOI

vs Capitals0.3PTS3g

Jake GuentzelHot88g

1.1PTSL5 1.6

0.5G0.7A20mTOI

vs Capitals1.3PTS3g

Nikita KucherovCold83g

1.7PTSL5 1.2

0.6G1.1A20mTOI

vs Capitals1.3PTS3g

Brandon HagelHot77g

1.1PTSL5 1.4

0.6G0.5A20mTOI

vs Capitals2PTS3g

Goalie

Jonas JohanssonCold86g

.883SV%3.31GAA

L5 .000 SV% · 0 GAA

ScoringSeason · per game

Team

GPG

Scored

OPP

Allowed

MARGIN

Per game

Capitals

3.2★

3.0★

+0.2★

Lightning

3.4★

2.8★

+0.7★

Edge

Lightning +0.2

Lightning +0.2

Lightning +0.5

Last 10 · Trend

Capitals

4.3avg

Lightning

2.3avg

Head to head2025-26 · 3 games

Capitals1

VS

Lightning2

Lightning2@3Capitals

Capitals +1 Nov 8

Capitals2@3Lightning

Lightning +1 Nov 22

Lightning5@3Capitals

Recent formLast 10

Straight-Up

CapitalsW4

8-280%

W

W

W

L

W

L

W

W

W

W

Lightning

5-550%

W

W

L

L

W

L

W

L

W

L

Against the Spread

Capitals4 cover

8-280%

W

W

W

L

W

L

W

W

W

W

Lightning10 fail

0-100%

L

L

L

L

L

L

L

L

L

L

Season records2025-26 · 82g / 89g

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Capitals

Overall

52%43-39

54%44-38

45%37-45

Lightning

Overall

60%53-36

44%39-50

48%43-46

Matchup venueRoad / Home splits

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Capitals

On Road

44%18-23

56%23-18

51%21-20

Lightning

At Home

60%27-18

36%16-29

47%21-24

EV picks