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Players/MLB/New York Yankees/Will Warren
Will Warren

Will Warren

New York Yankees•Pitcher•2026
4.53ERA122K117.1IP9.4K/925G
4.53ERA122K117.1IP9.4K/925G
66.7% K O 4.565% HA O 4.558.3% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer

Will Warren goes over 4.5 pitcher ks 66.7% of the time (16-8-2)

Props — 202626 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

26g
avg 4.7
66.7%Over: 16-8-2
5vs O 4.5-185
@Orioles8/19
✓✗✓✓✓P✗✗✓✗
H: 69.2%(13)A: 53.8%(13)

Earned Runs

26g
avg 2.3
41.7%Over: 10-14-2
2vs O 2.5-108
@Orioles8/19
✗✓✓✗✓P✗✓✗✓
H: 40%(10)A: 25%(12)

Hits Allowed

26g
avg 4.8
62.5%Over: 15-9-2
3vs O 4.5-132
@Orioles8/19
✗✓✓✗✓P✗✓✓✓
H: 61.5%(13)A: 55.6%(9)

Walks Allowed

26g
avg 1.6
58.3%Over: 14-10-2
2vs O 1.5-164
@Orioles8/19
✓✓✗✗✓P✓✓✗✓
H: 30.8%(13)A: 76.9%(13)

Outs Recorded

25g
avg 14.6
50%Over: 12-12-1
12vs O 15.5+125
@Orioles8/19
✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✓✓✓
H: 66.7%(6)A: 44.4%(9)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(4%)
Total Matchups
26
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Warren's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 15.5
★★★★★100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★71.4%(5-2)60%(3-2)66.7%(4-2)42.9%(3-4)66.7%(4-2)
★★★★★60%(6-4)33.3%(3-6)66.7%(6-3)40%(4-6)75%(3-1)
★★★★★50%(3-3)16.7%(1-5)40%(2-3)66.7%(4-2)33.3%(1-2)
★★★★★50%(1-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)100%(2-0)0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Chris Bassitt
8/19

Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Warren.

★★★★★vs Bryce Miller
8/12

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.47 against the Mariners in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Mariners.

★★★★★vs Andre Pallante
8/5

Current Cardinals hitters are batting .249 against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like like Warren over the the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
153-193-29 Over375 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/19@OriolesHits AllowedO 4.53L-132
8/19@OriolesOuts RecordedO 15.512L+125
8/19@OriolesPitcher KsO 4.55W-185
8/19@OriolesEarned RunsO 2.52L-108
8/19@OriolesPitcher KsO 6.55L+236
8/19@OriolesPitcher KsO 3.55W-444
8/19@OriolesPitcher KsO 7.55L+486
8/19@OriolesPitcher KsO 2.55W-1240
8/19@OriolesPitcher KsO 5.55L+120
8/19@OriolesPitcher KsO 1.55W—
8/19@OriolesPitcher KsO 8.55L+960
8/19@OriolesPitcher KsO 9.55L—
8/19@OriolesPitcher KsO 55P—
8/19@OriolesPitcher KsO 10.55L—
8/19@OriolesWalks AllowedO 1.52W-164
8/19@OriolesOuts RecordedO 20.512L—
8/19@OriolesOuts RecordedO 11.512W—
8/19@OriolesOuts RecordedO 14.512L—
8/12vsMarinersPitcher KsO 4.53L-136
8/12vsMarinersPitcher KsO 6.53L+330
8/12vsMarinersPitcher KsO 2.53W-1080
8/12vsMarinersPitcher KsO 3.53L-300
8/12vsMarinersPitcher KsO 7.53L+680
8/12vsMarinersPitcher KsO 5.53L+154
8/12vsMarinersPitcher KsO 10.53L—
8/12vsMarinersPitcher KsO 1.53W—
8/12vsMarinersPitcher KsO 8.53L+1320
8/12vsMarinersPitcher KsO 9.53L—
8/12vsMarinersHits AllowedO 4.56W-136
8/12vsMarinersOuts RecordedO 16.512L-102
8/12vsMarinersWalks AllowedO 1.54W-123
8/12vsMarinersEarned RunsO 2.55W+119
8/12vsMarinersOuts RecordedO 15.512L-130
8/12vsMarinersOuts RecordedO 17.512L—
8/12vsMarinersOuts RecordedO 14.512L—
8/12vsMarinersOuts RecordedO 20.512L—
8/12vsMarinersPitcher KsO 53L—
8/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 3.55W-250
8/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 6.55L+417
8/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 5.55L+196
8/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 4.55W-111
8/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 2.55W-650
8/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 9.55L—
8/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 7.55L+850
8/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 8.55L+1680
8/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 1.55W-4000
8/5vsCardinalsOuts RecordedO 15.516W-138
8/5vsCardinalsWalks AllowedO 1.51L+110
8/5vsCardinalsEarned RunsO 2.53W+130
8/5vsCardinalsHits AllowedO 4.57W-138

New York Yankees Teammates

View all
Jazz Chisholm Jr.Ben RiceTrent GrishamCody BellingerAustin WellsPaul GoldschmidtHeliot RamosRyan McMahonAaron JudgeJasson DomínguezAnthony VolpeSpencer JonesAmed RosarioRandal GrichukMax Schuemann

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Will Warren hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Will Warren hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 16-8-2 with an average actual of 4.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$130.
How often does Will Warren hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Will Warren hits the over on earned runs 2.5 35% of the time in 2026, going 7-13-2 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$506.
How often does Will Warren hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Will Warren hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 65% of the time in 2026, going 13-7-2 with an average actual of 4.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$438.
How often does Will Warren hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Will Warren hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 58.3% of the time in 2026, going 14-10-2 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$8.
How often does Will Warren hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Will Warren hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 53.3% of the time in 2026, going 8-7 with an average actual of 15.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$66.
What are Will Warren's best prop bets in 2026?
Will Warren's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 66.7% (16-8); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 65% (13-7); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 58.3% (14-10).

Will Warren 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.26 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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