Will Warren

Will Warren

New York YankeesPitcher2026
Reg4.22 ERA / 94 K / 89.6 IP / 9.4 K/9 / 18G
88.9% K O 2.566.7% HA O 4.555.6% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer

Will Warren goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 88.9% of the time (16-2-1)

Props — 202619 games with closing lines

avg 4.9
88.9%Over: 16-2-1
3vs O 2.5-650
@Rays7/7
P
H: 90%(10)A: 77.8%(9)
avg 2.2
38.9%Over: 7-11-1
6vs O 2.5+111
@Rays7/7
P
H: 28.6%(7)A: 25%(8)
avg 5.1
66.7%Over: 12-6-1
7vs O 4.5-160
@Rays7/7
P
H: 60%(10)A: 66.7%(6)
avg 1.6
55.6%Over: 10-8-1
2vs O 1.5-167
@Rays7/7
P
H: 30%(10)A: 77.8%(9)
avg 14.7
50%Over: 9-9-1
12vs O 16.5+106
@Rays7/7
P
H: 42.9%(7)A: 57.1%(7)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.1
5-Star Games
1(5%)
Total Matchups
19
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Warren's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 2.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 16.5
100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
83.3%(5-1)50%(2-2)60%(3-2)50%(3-3)50%(1-1)
83.3%(5-1)20%(1-4)80%(4-1)33.3%(2-4)60%(3-2)
80%(4-1)20%(1-4)50%(2-2)60%(3-2)60%(3-2)
100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Ian Seymour
7/7

Rays hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Warren.

vs Troy Melton
7/1

Current Tigers hitters have struck out 25% of the time against pitchers similar to Warren over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

vs Payton Tolle
6/26

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Warren have an ERA of 3.44 against the Red Sox over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
112-128-13 Over253 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/7@RaysPitcher KsO 4.53L-101
7/7@RaysPitcher KsO 5.53L+220
7/7@RaysPitcher KsO 2.53W-650
7/7@RaysPitcher KsO 6.53L+480
7/7@RaysPitcher KsO 3.53L-235
7/7@RaysPitcher KsO 7.53L+930
7/7@RaysPitcher KsO 1.53W-3000
7/7@RaysPitcher KsO 8.53L+1800
7/7@RaysPitcher KsO 9.53L
7/7@RaysEarned RunsO 2.56W+111
7/7@RaysOuts RecordedO 16.512L+106
7/7@RaysHits AllowedO 4.57W-160
7/7@RaysHits AllowedO 5.57W+120
7/7@RaysWalks AllowedO 1.52W-167
7/7@RaysOuts RecordedO 15.512L-136
7/1vsTigersPitcher KsO 4.57W-275
7/1vsTigersPitcher KsO 7.57L+323
7/1vsTigersPitcher KsO 3.57W-650
7/1vsTigersPitcher KsO 6.57W+168
7/1vsTigersPitcher KsO 2.57W-2600
7/1vsTigersPitcher KsO 5.57W-120
7/1vsTigersPitcher KsO 8.57L+680
7/1vsTigersPitcher KsO 9.57L+1340
7/1vsTigersPitcher KsO 1.57W
7/1vsTigersPitcher KsO 10.57L
7/1vsTigersEarned RunsO 2.52L-114
7/1vsTigersHits AllowedO 5.55L
7/1vsTigersHits AllowedO 4.55W-155
7/1vsTigersWalks AllowedO 1.50L-151
7/1vsTigersOuts RecordedO 15.516W-135
7/1vsTigersOuts RecordedO 16.516L+104
6/26@Red SoxEarned RunsO 2.55W-101
6/26@Red SoxOuts RecordedO 16.517W-118
6/26@Red SoxHits AllowedO 5.57W+104
6/26@Red SoxWalks AllowedO 1.53W-127
6/26@Red SoxPitcher KsO 5.50L+142
6/26@Red SoxPitcher KsO 7.50L+630
6/26@Red SoxPitcher KsO 4.50L-148
6/26@Red SoxPitcher KsO 3.50L-347
6/26@Red SoxPitcher KsO 2.50L-1020
6/26@Red SoxPitcher KsO 6.50L+290
6/26@Red SoxPitcher KsO 1.50L
6/26@Red SoxPitcher KsO 8.50L+1000
6/26@Red SoxPitcher KsO 9.50L
6/26@Red SoxOuts RecordedO 17.517L-105
6/26@Red SoxOuts RecordedO 15.517W
6/20vsRedsPitcher KsO 3.58W-750
6/20vsRedsPitcher KsO 8.58L+585
6/20vsRedsPitcher KsO 4.58W-311
6/20vsRedsPitcher KsO 7.58W+300

New York Yankees Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Will Warren hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Will Warren hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 88.9% of the time in 2026, going 16-2-1 with an average actual of 4.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$78.
How often does Will Warren hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Will Warren hits the over on earned runs 2.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 4-10-1 with an average actual of 2.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$562.
How often does Will Warren hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Will Warren hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 10-5-1 with an average actual of 4.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$297.
How often does Will Warren hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Will Warren hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 55.6% of the time in 2026, going 10-8-1 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$108.
How often does Will Warren hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Will Warren hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 53.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-6-1 with an average actual of 14.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$38.
What are Will Warren's best prop bets in 2026?
Will Warren's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 88.9% (16-2); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 66.7% (10-5); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 55.6% (10-8).

Will Warren 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.19 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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