Inside Edge
New York Yankees100% K O 2.571.4% ER O 1.560% HA O 4.5
Season
All Will Warren propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g60%Over: 6-4
3vs O 2.5+103
vs
Blue Jays5/19
Blue Jays5/19✓✓✓✗✗✓✗✓✓✗
H: 80%(5)A: 50%(2)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Warren's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 50%(1-1) | 75%(3-1) | 0%(0-4) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Dylan Cease
5/19Current Blue Jays hitters are batting .234 in their last 1,751 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like like Warren, but other matchup data favors the Blue Jays.
★★★★★vs Trevor Rogers
5/12Pitchers with similar repertoires to Warren have an ERA of 4.37 against the Orioles over the last year.
★★★★★vs Nathan Eovaldi
5/6Rangers hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Warren.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-6 Over10g · 13 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vsBlue Jays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +103 |
| 5/12 | @ Orioles | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -185 |
| 5/12 | @Orioles | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +126 |
| 5/6 | vs Rangers | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -167 |
| 5/6 | vsRangers | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +125 |
| 5/1 | vsOrioles | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +126 |
| 5/1 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
| 4/24 | @ Astros | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +116 |
| 4/18 | vs Royals | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -145 |
| 4/13 | vs Angels | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +128 |
| 4/8 | vs Athletics | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -155 |
| 4/3 | vs Marlins | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -158 |
| 3/28 | @ Giants | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -161 |
New York Yankees Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Will Warren hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Will Warren hits the over on earned runs 1.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2 with an average actual of 2.3.
Is Will Warren over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Will Warren over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$22 (+2.2% ROI). The hit rate is 71.4% with an average actual of 2.3.
What is Will Warren's earned runs average this season?
Will Warren averages 2.3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.