New York Yankees88.9% K O 2.566.7% HA O 4.555.6% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Will Warren propsProps — 202619 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
19g66.7%Over: 12-6-1
7vs O 4.5-160
@
Rays7/7
Rays7/7✓✓✓✓✓✗P✓✗✓
H: 60%(10)A: 66.7%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(5%)
Total Matchups
19Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Warren's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 50%(2-2) | 60%(3-2) | 50%(3-3) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 20%(1-4) | 80%(4-1) | 33.3%(2-4) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 20%(1-4) | 50%(2-2) | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Ian Seymour
7/7Rays hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Warren.
★★★★★vs Troy Melton
7/1Current Tigers hitters have struck out 25% of the time against pitchers similar to Warren over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Payton Tolle
6/26Pitchers with similar repertoires to Warren have an ERA of 3.44 against the Red Sox over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
15-8-2 Over19g · 25 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | @Rays | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -160 |
| 7/7 | @Rays | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +120 |
| 7/1 | vs Tigers | O 5.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 7/1 | vsTigers | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 6/26 | @ Red Sox | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +104 |
| 6/20 | vs Reds | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -109 |
| 6/14 | @ Blue Jays | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +120 |
| 6/8 | @ Guardians | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -155 |
| 6/8 | @Guardians | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 6/6 | vsRed Sox | O 5.5 | 0 | P | +122 |
| 6/6 | vsRed Sox | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -160 |
| 5/31 | @ Athletics | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -160 |
| 5/31 | @Athletics | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +117 |
| 5/25 | @ Royals | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +112 |
| 5/19 | vsBlue Jays | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -155 |
| 5/19 | vsBlue Jays | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +125 |
| 5/12 | @ Orioles | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -117 |
| 5/6 | vs Rangers | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -115 |
| 5/1 | vsOrioles | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +102 |
| 4/24 | @ Astros | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -148 |
| 4/18 | vsRoyals | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -107 |
| 4/13 | vs Angels | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +125 |
| 4/8 | vsAthletics | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +111 |
| 4/3 | vs Marlins | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -103 |
| 3/28 | @ Giants | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -109 |
New York Yankees Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Will Warren hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Will Warren hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 10-5-1 with an average actual of 4.9.
Is Will Warren over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 19 games in 2026, betting $100 on Will Warren over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$421 (+22.16% ROI). The hit rate is 66.7% with an average actual of 4.9.
What is Will Warren's hits allowed average this season?
Will Warren averages 4.9 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 19 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge