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Players/MLB/Baltimore Orioles/Shane Baz
Shane Baz

Shane Baz

Baltimore Orioles•Pitcher•2026
4.06ERA132K141.7IP8.4K/925G
4.06ERA132K141.7IP8.4K/925G
61.9% HA O 5.555% BBA O 1.555% OUT O 17.5
Season
Best Performer

Shane Baz goes over 5.5 hits allowed 61.9% of the time (13-8)

Props — 202625 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

25g
avg 5.3
44%Over: 11-14
10vs O 5.5-140
vsYankees8/18
✓✗✓✗✗✓✓✗✓✗
H: 41.7%(12)A: 46.2%(13)

Earned Runs

25g
avg 2.6
48%Over: 12-13
3vs O 2.5-105
vsYankees8/18
✓✓✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✓
H: 36.4%(11)A: 53.8%(13)

Hits Allowed

25g
avg 5.8
64%Over: 16-9
4vs O 5.5+123
vsYankees8/18
✗✓✗✓✓✓✓✓✗✓
H: 70%(10)A: 54.5%(11)

Walks Allowed

25g
avg 2
60%Over: 15-10
2vs O 1.5-157
vsYankees8/18
✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✓✓✗
H: 63.6%(11)A: 44.4%(9)

Outs Recorded

24g
avg 17.5
62.5%Over: 15-9
19vs O 17.5-105
vsYankees8/18
✓✗✓✓✗✓✗✓✗✓
H: 40%(10)A: 70%(10)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(8%)
Total Matchups
26
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Baz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 5.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★50%(1-1)0%(0-2)0%(0-1)50%(1-1)100%(1-0)
★★★★★37.5%(3-5)75%(6-2)66.7%(4-2)33.3%(2-4)66.7%(4-2)
★★★★★80%(4-1)0%(0-5)60%(3-2)75%(3-1)80%(4-1)
★★★★★37.5%(3-5)42.9%(3-4)71.4%(5-2)57.1%(4-3)14.3%(1-6)
★★★★★0%(0-2)100%(2-0)50%(1-1)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Nick Martinez
8/23

Current Rays hitters are batting .277 against right-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like like Baz over the the last two years.

★★★★★vs Carlos Rodón
8/18

Yankees hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Baz.

★★★★★vs Zebby Matthews
8/12

Current Twins hitters are batting .235 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Baz over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
174-183 Over357 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/18vsYankeesEarned RunsO 2.53W-105
8/18vsYankeesHits AllowedO 5.54L+123
8/18vsYankeesOuts RecordedO 17.519W-105
8/18vsYankeesPitcher KsO 5.510W-140
8/18vsYankeesWalks AllowedO 1.52W-157
8/18vsYankeesPitcher KsO 3.510W-780
8/18vsYankeesPitcher KsO 9.510W+1220
8/18vsYankeesPitcher KsO 6.510W+147
8/18vsYankeesOuts RecordedO 16.519W—
8/18vsYankeesPitcher KsO 4.510W-300
8/18vsYankeesPitcher KsO 7.510W+298
8/18vsYankeesPitcher KsO 8.510W+620
8/18vsYankeesHits AllowedO 4.54L-165
8/18vsYankeesPitcher KsO 2.510W-2900
8/18vsYankeesPitcher KsO 610W—
8/18vsYankeesPitcher KsO 10.510L—
8/18vsYankeesPitcher KsO 1.510W—
8/18vsYankeesOuts RecordedO 14.519W—
8/18vsYankeesOuts RecordedO 20.519L—
8/12@TwinsPitcher KsO 2.52L-730
8/12@TwinsPitcher KsO 3.52L-279
8/12@TwinsPitcher KsO 5.52L+162
8/12@TwinsPitcher KsO 4.52L-125
8/12@TwinsPitcher KsO 6.52L+340
8/12@TwinsPitcher KsO 8.52L+1200
8/12@TwinsPitcher KsO 9.52L—
8/12@TwinsPitcher KsO 7.52L+750
8/12@TwinsPitcher KsO 1.52W-3200
8/12@TwinsOuts RecordedO 17.59L-155
8/12@TwinsEarned RunsO 2.55W-118
8/12@TwinsHits AllowedO 5.59W-121
8/12@TwinsWalks AllowedO 1.51L-156
8/12@TwinsOuts RecordedO 14.59L—
8/12@TwinsOuts RecordedO 20.59L—
8/12@TwinsPitcher KsO 10.52L—
8/7@RangersHits AllowedO 5.53L+107
8/7@RangersOuts RecordedO 17.524W-138
8/7@RangersEarned RunsO 2.52L-114
8/7@RangersPitcher KsO 5.59W+119
8/7@RangersPitcher KsO 1.59W—
8/7@RangersPitcher KsO 2.59W-1300
8/7@RangersPitcher KsO 3.59W-426
8/7@RangersPitcher KsO 4.59W-175
8/7@RangersPitcher KsO 6.59W+245
8/7@RangersPitcher KsO 7.59W+512
8/7@RangersPitcher KsO 8.59W+1040
8/7@RangersPitcher KsO 9.59L—
8/7@RangersPitcher KsO 10.59L—
8/7@RangersPitcher KsO 59W—
8/7@RangersOuts RecordedO 20.524W—

Baltimore Orioles Teammates

View all
Gunnar HendersonPete AlonsoTaylor WardCoby MayoLeody TaverasSamuel BasalloAdley RutschmanColton CowserJackson HollidayTyler O'NeillBlaze AlexanderJeremiah JacksonDylan BeaversJake RogersWeston Wilson

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Shane Baz hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?
Shane Baz hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 44% of the time in 2026, going 11-14 with an average actual of 5.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$121.
How often does Shane Baz hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Shane Baz hits the over on earned runs 2.5 45.8% of the time in 2026, going 11-13 with an average actual of 2.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$253.
How often does Shane Baz hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Shane Baz hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 61.9% of the time in 2026, going 13-8 with an average actual of 5.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$417.
How often does Shane Baz hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Shane Baz hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 55% of the time in 2026, going 11-9 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$268.
How often does Shane Baz hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Shane Baz hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 55% of the time in 2026, going 11-9 with an average actual of 17.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$9.
What are Shane Baz's best prop bets in 2026?
Shane Baz's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 61.9% (13-8); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 55% (11-9); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 55% (11-9).

Shane Baz 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.25 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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