Baltimore Orioles100% K O 2.583.3% HA O 4.566.7% ER O 2.5
Season
All Shane Baz propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
10g70%Over: 7-3
2vs O 5.5+110
@
Rays5/20
Rays5/20✗✓✗✓✓✓✓✓✗✓
H: 100%(3)A: 66.7%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Baz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 100%(3-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Steven Matz
5/20Pitchers with similar repertoires to Baz have an ERA of 4.24 against the Rays over the last year.
★★★★★vs Zack Littell
5/15Nationals hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Baz.
★★★★★vs Aaron Civale
5/9Athletics hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Baz.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-4 Over10g · 12 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @Rays | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +110 |
| 5/15 | @ Nationals | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -105 |
| 5/9 | vs Athletics | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -104 |
| 5/4 | @ Yankees | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +107 |
| 5/4 | @Yankees | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -118 |
| 4/28 | vs Astros | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +109 |
| 4/28 | vsAstros | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -155 |
| 4/21 | @ Royals | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +105 |
| 4/16 | @ Guardians | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -138 |
| 4/10 | vs Giants | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -128 |
| 4/4 | @ Pirates | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -125 |
| 3/29 | vs Twins | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +124 |
Baltimore Orioles Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Shane Baz hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Shane Baz hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 83.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-1 with an average actual of 6.
Is Shane Baz over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Shane Baz over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$320 (+32% ROI). The hit rate is 83.3% with an average actual of 6.
What is Shane Baz's hits allowed average this season?
Shane Baz averages 6 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge