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Players/MLB/Baltimore Orioles/Shane Baz/Earned Runs
Shane Baz

Shane Baz

Baltimore Orioles•Pitcher•2026
4.06ERA132K141.7IP8.4K/925G
4.06ERA132K141.7IP8.4K/925G
61.9% HA O 5.555% BBA O 1.555% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Shane Baz props

Props — 202625 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

25g
avg 2.6
48%Over: 12-13
3vs O 2.5-105
vsYankees8/18
✓✓✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✓
H: 36.4%(11)A: 53.8%(13)
SeasonalityAll lines
100%
50%
60%
33%
25%
50%
Mar
1-0
Apr
2-2
May
3-2
Jun
2-4
Jul
1-3
Aug
2-2
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(8%)
Total Matchups
26
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Baz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 5.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★50%(1-1)0%(0-2)0%(0-1)50%(1-1)100%(1-0)
★★★★★37.5%(3-5)75%(6-2)66.7%(4-2)33.3%(2-4)66.7%(4-2)
★★★★★80%(4-1)0%(0-5)60%(3-2)75%(3-1)80%(4-1)
★★★★★37.5%(3-5)42.9%(3-4)71.4%(5-2)57.1%(4-3)14.3%(1-6)
★★★★★0%(0-2)100%(2-0)50%(1-1)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Nick Martinez
8/23

Current Rays hitters are batting .277 against right-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like like Baz over the the last two years.

★★★★★vs Carlos Rodón
8/18

Yankees hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Baz.

★★★★★vs Zebby Matthews
8/12

Current Twins hitters are batting .235 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Baz over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
13-15 Over25g · 28 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/18vsYankeesO 2.53W-105
8/12@TwinsO 2.55W-118
8/7@RangersO 2.52L-114
8/1vsPhilliesO 2.51L-132
7/26vsBravesO 2.51L-110
7/20@Red SoxO 2.52L-160
7/20@Red SoxO 3.52L+120
7/12vsRoyalsO 2.51L-130
7/7vsCubsO 2.53W-135
6/29vsWhite SoxO 2.52L-105
6/23@AngelsO 2.55W+100
6/18@MarinersO 2.53W+100
6/12vsPadresO 2.52L-115
6/7@Blue JaysO 2.51L-115
6/2@Red SoxO 2.52L-126
5/26vsRaysO 2.51L-105
5/20@RaysO 2.51L-108
5/15@NationalsO 2.53W-110
5/9vsAthleticsO 2.55W-115
5/4@YankeesO 2.55W-137
4/28vsAstrosO 2.51L-104
4/21@RoyalsO 2.54W-103
4/16@GuardiansO 2.54W+115
4/10vsGiantsO 1.53W-158
4/4@PiratesO 2.50L+130
4/4@PiratesO 1.50L-163
3/29vsTwinsO 1.54W-164
3/29vsTwinsO 2.54W+125

Baltimore Orioles Teammates

View all
Gunnar HendersonPete AlonsoTaylor WardCoby MayoLeody TaverasSamuel BasalloAdley RutschmanColton CowserJackson HollidayTyler O'NeillBlaze AlexanderJeremiah JacksonDylan BeaversJake RogersWeston Wilson

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Shane Baz hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Shane Baz hits the over on earned runs 2.5 45.8% of the time in 2026, going 11-13 with an average actual of 2.5.
Is Shane Baz over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 25 games in 2026, betting $100 on Shane Baz over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$190 (-7.6% ROI). The hit rate is 45.8% with an average actual of 2.5.
What is Shane Baz's earned runs average this season?
Shane Baz averages 2.5 earned runs per game in 2026 across 25 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Shane Baz 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.25 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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