Baltimore Orioles94.1% K O 2.566.7% BBA O 1.553.8% HA O 5.5
Season
All Shane Baz propsProps — 202617 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
17g52.9%Over: 9-8
2vs O 2.5-105
vs
White Sox6/29
White Sox6/29✗✓✓✗✗✗✗✗✓✓
H: 33.3%(6)A: 60%(10)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(6%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Baz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(6-0) | 83.3%(5-1) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 0%(0-4) | 50%(2-2) | 100%(3-0) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Matthew Boyd
7/7Pitchers with similar repertoires to Baz have an ERA of 4.53 against the Cubs over the last year.
★★★★★vs Sean Burke
6/29Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.33 against the White Sox in the past 30 days.
★★★★★vs Ryan Johnson
6/23Current Angels hitters have an OPS of .667 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Baz over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
10-9 Over17g · 19 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/29 | vsWhite Sox | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 6/23 | @ Angels | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +100 |
| 6/18 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +100 |
| 6/12 | vs Padres | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -115 |
| 6/7 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -115 |
| 6/2 | @ Red Sox | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -126 |
| 5/26 | vs Rays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 5/20 | @Rays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -108 |
| 5/15 | @ Nationals | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -110 |
| 5/9 | vs Athletics | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -115 |
| 5/4 | @ Yankees | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -137 |
| 4/28 | vs Astros | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -104 |
| 4/21 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -103 |
| 4/16 | @ Guardians | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 4/10 | vs Giants | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -158 |
| 4/4 | @ Pirates | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 4/4 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -163 |
| 3/29 | vs Twins | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -164 |
| 3/29 | vsTwins | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
Baltimore Orioles Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Shane Baz hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Shane Baz hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 8-8 with an average actual of 2.7.
Is Shane Baz over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2026, betting $100 on Shane Baz over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$56 (+3.29% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 2.7.
What is Shane Baz's earned runs average this season?
Shane Baz averages 2.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge