Baltimore Orioles100% K O 2.583.3% HA O 4.566.7% ER O 2.5
Season
All Shane Baz propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g70%Over: 7-3
1vs O 2.5-108
@
Rays5/20
Rays5/20✗✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✗✓
H: 66.7%(3)A: 66.7%(6)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Baz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 100%(3-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Steven Matz
5/20Pitchers with similar repertoires to Baz have an ERA of 4.24 against the Rays over the last year.
★★★★★vs Zack Littell
5/15Nationals hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Baz.
★★★★★vs Aaron Civale
5/9Athletics hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Baz.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-4 Over10g · 12 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @Rays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -108 |
| 5/15 | @ Nationals | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -110 |
| 5/9 | vs Athletics | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -115 |
| 5/4 | @ Yankees | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -137 |
| 4/28 | vs Astros | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -104 |
| 4/21 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -103 |
| 4/16 | @ Guardians | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 4/10 | vs Giants | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -158 |
| 4/4 | @ Pirates | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 4/4 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -163 |
| 3/29 | vs Twins | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -164 |
| 3/29 | vsTwins | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
Baltimore Orioles Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Shane Baz hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Shane Baz hits the over on earned runs 2.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-3 with an average actual of 3.
Is Shane Baz over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Shane Baz over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$356 (+35.6% ROI). The hit rate is 66.7% with an average actual of 3.
What is Shane Baz's earned runs average this season?
Shane Baz averages 3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge