Rafael Marchan

Philadelphia Phillies•2026

.102AVG2HR6RBI5R9H0SB29G

43.5% HRR O 0.538.1% SO O 0.533.3% H O 0.5

Season

Props — 202635 games with closing lines

Hits

35g

avg 0.2

33.3%Over: 8-16-11

0vs O 0.5-131

Dodgers7/22

✗PP✗✗P✓✓✗P

H: 13.3%(15)A: 31.6%(19)

Home Runs

35g

avg 0

8.3%Over: 2-22-11

0vs O 0.5+840

Dodgers7/22

✗PP✗✗P✗✗✗P

H: 13.3%(15)A: 0%(19)

RBIs

34g

avg 0.1

13%Over: 3-20-11

0vs O 0.5+289

Dodgers7/22

✗PP✗✗P✗✗✗P

H: 13.3%(15)A: 5.3%(19)

Runs Scored

34g

avg 0.1

21.7%Over: 5-18-11

0vs O 0.5+178

Dodgers7/22

✗PP✗✓P✗✗✗P

H: 20%(15)A: 10.5%(19)

Total Bases

34g

avg 0.3

26.1%Over: 6-17-11

0vs O 0.5-150

Dodgers7/22

✗PP✗✗P✓✓✗P

H: 10%(10)A: 28.6%(14)

Doubles

34g

avg 0

0%Over: 0-23-11

0vs O 0.5+537

Dodgers7/22

✗PP✗✗P✗✗✗P

H: 0%(15)A: 0%(19)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

34g

avg 0.5

43.5%Over: 10-13-11

0vs O 0.5-164

Dodgers7/22

✗PP✗✓P✓✓✗P

H: 20%(15)A: 36.8%(19)

Singles

34g

avg 0.2

26.1%Over: 6-17-11

0vs O 0.5+129

Dodgers7/22

✗PP✗✗P✓✓✗P

H: 0%(15)A: 31.6%(19)

Stolen Bases

31g

avg 0

0%Over: 0-23-8

0vs O 0.5+3200

Dodgers7/22

✗P✗✗P✗✗✗P✗

H: 0%(14)A: 0%(17)

Walks

27g

avg 0.1

8.7%Over: 2-21-4

0vs O 0.5+332

Dodgers7/22

✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 18.2%(11)A: 0%(16)

Strikeouts

27g

avg 0.4

38.1%Over: 8-13-6

0vs O 0.5-121

Dodgers7/22

✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✓P

H: 20%(10)A: 35.3%(17)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.2★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(1%)

Total Matchups

103

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Marchan's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	50%(1-1)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	16.7%(1-5)	16.7%(1-5)	16.7%(1-5)
★★★★★	26.3%(5-14)	5.3%(1-18)	11.1%(2-16)
★★★★★	12.5%(1-7)	0%(0-8)	0%(0-8)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Cam Schlittler

7/24

Marchan has a Well-Hit Rate of just 3.4% in 29 AB's against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Schlittler over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.

★★★★★vs Eric Lauer

7/22

Marchan has a Well-Hit Rate of just 12% in 25 AB's against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Lauer over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.

★★★★★vs Justin Wrobleski

7/21

Matchup data is limited but favors Marchan.

Game Log

Bet

69-632-253 Over954 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Result	Odds
7/22	vsDodgers	Doubles	O 1.5	L	—
7/22	vsDodgers	Doubles	O 0.5	L	+537
7/22	vsDodgers	Hits	O 0.5	L	-131
7/22	vsDodgers	Hits	O 1.5	L	+464
7/22	vsDodgers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	L	+145
7/22	vsDodgers	Home Runs	O 1.5	L	+12500
7/22	vsDodgers	Home Runs	O 0.5	L	+840
7/22	vsDodgers	Hits	O 2.5	L	+3000
7/22	vsDodgers	RBIs	O 0.5	L	+289
7/22	vsDodgers	RBIs	O 1.5	L	+900
7/22	vsDodgers	RBIs	O 2.5	L	+2700
7/22	vsDodgers	Runs Scored	O 1.5	L	+1300
7/22	vsDodgers	Runs Scored	O 0.5	L	+178
7/22	vsDodgers	Singles	O 0.5	L	+129
7/22	vsDodgers	Singles	O 1.5	L	+870
7/22	vsDodgers	Strikeouts	O 0.5	L	-121
7/22	vsDodgers	Strikeouts	O 1.5	L	+557
7/22	vsDodgers	Total Bases	O 0.5	L	-150
7/22	vsDodgers	Total Bases	O 1.5	L	+222
7/22	vsDodgers	Total Bases	O 2.5	L	+482
7/22	vsDodgers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	L	-164
7/22	vsDodgers	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	L	+3200
7/22	vsDodgers	Total Bases	O 4.5	L	+1600
7/22	vsDodgers	Total Bases	O 3.5	L	+680
7/22	vsDodgers	Walks	O 0.5	L	+332
7/22	vsDodgers	RBIs	O 4.5	L	+6000
7/22	vsDodgers	RBIs	O 3.5	L	+10000
7/22	vsDodgers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	L	+311
7/22	vsDodgers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	L	+620
7/22	vsDodgers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	L	+1220
7/22	vsDodgers	Hits	O 3.5	L	+5500
7/22	vsDodgers	Runs Scored	O 2.5	L	+4500
7/22	vsDodgers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 5.5	L	—
7/22	vsDodgers	Home Runs	O 2.5	L	—
7/22	vsDodgers	Total Bases	O 5.5	L	—
7/20	vsDodgers	Doubles	O 0.5	P	+550
7/20	vsDodgers	Hits	O 1.5	P	+490
7/20	vsDodgers	Hits	O 0.5	P	-135
7/20	vsDodgers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	P	-185
7/20	vsDodgers	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	P	+135
7/20	vsDodgers	Home Runs	O 1.5	P	+15000
7/20	vsDodgers	Home Runs	O 0.5	P	+800
7/20	vsDodgers	RBIs	O 1.5	P	+950
7/20	vsDodgers	RBIs	O 0.5	P	+260
7/20	vsDodgers	Runs Scored	O 0.5	P	+155
7/20	vsDodgers	Runs Scored	O 1.5	P	+1300
7/20	vsDodgers	Total Bases	O 4.5	P	+1700
7/20	vsDodgers	Singles	O 0.5	P	+130
7/20	vsDodgers	Total Bases	O 2.5	P	+470
7/20	vsDodgers	Total Bases	O 3.5	P	+650

Philadelphia Phillies Teammates

View all

Kyle Schwarber Bryce Harper Trea Turner Brandon Marsh Luis Arraez Alec Bohm Bryson Stott J.T. Realmuto Justin Crawford Edmundo Sosa Derek Hill Gabriel Rincones Jr.Garrett Stubbs Aaron Nola Bryan De La Cruz

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on hits 0.5?

Rafael Marchan hits the over on hits 0.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 8-16-11 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,016.

How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Rafael Marchan hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-22-11 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$630.

How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Rafael Marchan hits the over on rbis 0.5 13% of the time in 2026, going 3-20-11 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,336.

How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Rafael Marchan hits the over on runs scored 0.5 21.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-18-11 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$973.

How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on total bases 0.5?

Rafael Marchan hits the over on total bases 0.5 26.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-14-5 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,141.

What are Rafael Marchan's best prop bets in 2026?

Rafael Marchan's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 43.5% (10-13); Strikeouts O 0.5 at 38.1% (8-13); Hits O 0.5 at 33.3% (8-16).

Stars

HitsO 0.5

Home RunsO 0.5

RBIsO 0.5

★★★★★

50%(1-1)

0%(0-2)

★★★★★

16.7%(1-5)

★★★★★

26.3%(5-14)

5.3%(1-18)

11.1%(2-16)

★★★★★

12.5%(1-7)

0%(0-8)

Date ↓

Opp

Market

Line

Actual

Result

Odds