Philadelphia Phillies47.6% HRR O 0.542.1% SO O 0.536.4% H O 0.5
Season
Props — 202631 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(1%)
Total Matchups
91Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Marchan's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 16.7%(1-5) | 16.7%(1-5) | 16.7%(1-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 31.3%(5-11) | 6.3%(1-15) | 13.3%(2-13) |
| ★★★★★ | 14.3%(1-6) | 0%(0-7) | 0%(0-7) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Andrew Abbott
7/7Marchan has a Well-Hit Rate of just 11.5% in 26 AB's against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Abbott over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Noah Cameron
7/6Matchup data is limited but favors Marchan.
★★★★★vs Luinder Avila
7/5Marchan is batting just .083 (2-for-24) against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Avila over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
70-561-220 Over851 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/2 | vs Pirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +220 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +775 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -210 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +460 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Walks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +211 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 6.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +140 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +370 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +870 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Singles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Hits | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -143 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +455 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Doubles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +900 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Runs Scored | O 3.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +6000 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Total Bases | O 5.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Home Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Hits | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +20000 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 7/2 | vsPirates | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +650 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -115 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +600 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -165 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +165 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +900 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1100 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +17500 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +280 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +185 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1600 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +145 |
| 7/1 | vsPirates | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1100 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on hits 0.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on hits 0.5 36.4% of the time in 2026, going 8-14-9 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$816.
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on home runs 0.5 9.1% of the time in 2026, going 2-20-9 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$430.
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on rbis 0.5 14.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-18-9 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,136.
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on runs scored 0.5 23.8% of the time in 2026, going 5-16-9 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$773.
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on total bases 1.5 9.5% of the time in 2026, going 2-19-9 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,510.
What are Rafael Marchan's best prop bets in 2026?
Rafael Marchan's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 47.6% (10-11); Strikeouts O 0.5 at 42.1% (8-11); Hits O 0.5 at 36.4% (8-14).
Inside Edge