Inside Edge
Philadelphia Phillies53.3% SO O 0.540% HRR O 0.533.3% 1B O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Rafael Marchan goes over 0.5 strikeouts 53.3% of the time (8-7-6)
Props — 202623 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Marchan's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 30.8%(4-9) | 7.7%(1-12) | 16.7%(2-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 16.7%(1-5) | 0%(0-6) | 0%(0-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Gavin Williams
5/22Marchan is batting just .184 (7-for-38) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Williams over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Andrew Abbott
5/20Marchan has an OPS of .853 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Abbott over the last two years but is batting just .226 (7-for-31) against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Abbott.
★★★★★vs Chase Burns
5/19Matchup data is limited but favors Marchan.
Game Log
Bet
$
46-392-186 Over624 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vs Reds | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -170 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +270 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +990 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +330 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -115 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Hits | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Singles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +810 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +170 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -219 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +298 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +260 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Hits | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +3300 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | RBIs | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Runs Scored | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -125 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/15 | @ Pirates | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Hits | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +500 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -125 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Hits | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +3300 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 3 | W | -175 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +150 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +700 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +320 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | RBIs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +254 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | RBIs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +1000 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +190 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Singles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +135 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +550 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +900 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +2200 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on hits 0.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on hits 0.5 31.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-11-7 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$719.
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on home runs 0.5 6.3% of the time in 2026, going 1-15-7 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$750.
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on rbis 0.5 13.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-13-7 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$846.
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on runs scored 0.5 20% of the time in 2026, going 3-12-7 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$653.
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on total bases 1.5 6.7% of the time in 2026, going 1-14-7 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,210.
What are Rafael Marchan's best prop bets in 2026?
Rafael Marchan's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 53.3% (8-7); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 40% (6-9); Singles O 0.5 at 33.3% (5-10).