Inside Edge
Philadelphia Phillies53.3% SO O 0.540% HRR O 0.533.3% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Rafael Marchan propsProps — 202623 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
22g20%Over: 3-12-7
0vs O 0.5+170
vs
Reds5/19
Reds5/19✗✗P✗PP✗✗P✗
H: 11.1%(9)A: 15.4%(13)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Marchan's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 30.8%(4-9) | 7.7%(1-12) | 16.7%(2-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 16.7%(1-5) | 0%(0-6) | 0%(0-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Gavin Williams
5/22Marchan is batting just .184 (7-for-38) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Williams over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Andrew Abbott
5/20Marchan has an OPS of .853 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Abbott over the last two years but is batting just .226 (7-for-31) against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Abbott.
★★★★★vs Chase Burns
5/19Matchup data is limited but favors Marchan.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-34-16 Over22g · 53 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +170 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/15 | @ Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +190 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/10 | vs Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +135 |
| 5/10 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1000 |
| 5/7 | vs Athletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/7 | vsAthletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 5/7 | vsAthletics | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/3 | @ Marlins | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +3500 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +140 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +875 |
| 5/2 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +170 |
| 5/2 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1000 |
| 5/1 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 5/1 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 4/30 | vs Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/30 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +230 |
| 4/29 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +210 |
| 4/29 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1700 |
| 4/28 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 4/28 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 4/26 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +240 |
| 4/26 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1800 |
| 4/25 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +175 |
| 4/25 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1400 |
| 4/25 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +8000 |
| 4/24 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +165 |
| 4/24 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1000 |
| 4/23 | @ Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +151 |
| 4/23 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +850 |
| 4/23 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +3500 |
| 4/22 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +230 |
| 4/22 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/21 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +161 |
| 4/21 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1100 |
| 4/20 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +170 |
| 4/20 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 4/19 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +195 |
| 4/19 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 4/12 | vs Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +171 |
| 4/12 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 4/12 | vsDiamondbacks | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/8 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 4/8 | @Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 4/8 | @Giants | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/5 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 4/5 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 4/5 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on runs scored 0.5 20% of the time in 2026, going 3-12-7 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Rafael Marchan over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 22 games in 2026, betting $100 on Rafael Marchan over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$653 (-29.68% ROI). The hit rate is 20% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Rafael Marchan's runs scored average this season?
Rafael Marchan averages 0.1 runs scored per game in 2026 across 22 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.