Inside Edge
Philadelphia Phillies53.3% SO O 0.540% HRR O 0.533.3% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Rafael Marchan propsProps — 202623 games with closing lines
Home Runs
23g6.3%Over: 1-15-7
0vs O 0.5+980
vs
Reds5/19
Reds5/19✗✗P✗PP✗✗✗P
H: 11.1%(9)A: 0%(13)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Marchan's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 30.8%(4-9) | 7.7%(1-12) | 16.7%(2-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 16.7%(1-5) | 0%(0-6) | 0%(0-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Gavin Williams
5/22Marchan is batting just .184 (7-for-38) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Williams over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Andrew Abbott
5/20Marchan has an OPS of .853 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Abbott over the last two years but is batting just .226 (7-for-31) against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Abbott.
★★★★★vs Chase Burns
5/19Matchup data is limited but favors Marchan.
Game Log
Bet
$
1-31-13 Over22g · 45 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vsReds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 5/15 | @ Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/10 | vs Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +920 |
| 5/10 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +17500 |
| 5/7 | vs Athletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 5/7 | vsAthletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 5/3 | @ Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +850 |
| 5/2 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1050 |
| 5/2 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 5/1 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 5/1 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/30 | vs Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 4/30 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/30 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1260 |
| 4/29 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +20000 |
| 4/29 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1120 |
| 4/28 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/28 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 4/26 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1580 |
| 4/26 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 4/25 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 4/25 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +30000 |
| 4/24 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +980 |
| 4/24 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +15000 |
| 4/23 | @ Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +920 |
| 4/23 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 4/22 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 4/22 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 4/21 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +920 |
| 4/21 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 4/20 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1180 |
| 4/20 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/19 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1040 |
| 4/19 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 4/12 | vs Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +940 |
| 4/12 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/8 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1120 |
| 4/8 | @Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 4/5 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +830 |
| 4/5 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/5 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 3/30 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +750 |
| 3/30 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on home runs 0.5 6.3% of the time in 2026, going 1-15-7 with an average actual of 0.
Is Rafael Marchan over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 23 games in 2026, betting $100 on Rafael Marchan over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$750 (-32.61% ROI). The hit rate is 6.3% with an average actual of 0.
What is Rafael Marchan's home runs average this season?
Rafael Marchan averages 0 home runs per game in 2026 across 23 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.