Philadelphia Phillies47.6% HRR O 0.542.1% SO O 0.536.4% H O 0.5
Season
All Rafael Marchan propsProps — 202631 games with closing lines
Walks
25g9.5%Over: 2-19-4
1vs O 0.5+211
vs
Pirates7/2
Pirates7/2✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗P
H: 20%(10)A: 0%(15)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(1%)
Total Matchups
91Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Marchan's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 16.7%(1-5) | 16.7%(1-5) | 16.7%(1-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 31.3%(5-11) | 6.3%(1-15) | 13.3%(2-13) |
| ★★★★★ | 14.3%(1-6) | 0%(0-7) | 0%(0-7) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Andrew Abbott
7/7Marchan has a Well-Hit Rate of just 11.5% in 26 AB's against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Abbott over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
★★★★★vs Noah Cameron
7/6Matchup data is limited but favors Marchan.
★★★★★vs Luinder Avila
7/5Marchan is batting just .083 (2-for-24) against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Avila over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-19-4 Over25g · 25 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/2 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +211 |
| 6/27 | @ Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +275 |
| 6/22 | @ Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +251 |
| 6/14 | @ Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +274 |
| 6/7 | vs White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +242 |
| 5/25 | @ Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +232 |
| 5/19 | vs Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 5/15 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +312 |
| 5/7 | vs Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +196 |
| 5/2 | @ Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +288 |
| 5/1 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +226 |
| 4/30 | vs Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +372 |
| 4/29 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +393 |
| 4/28 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +232 |
| 4/26 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +301 |
| 4/25 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +259 |
| 4/23 | @ Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +198 |
| 4/22 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +242 |
| 4/21 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +245 |
| 4/20 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +240 |
| 4/19 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +190 |
| 4/12 | vs Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +204 |
| 4/8 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +214 |
| 4/5 | @ Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +217 |
| 3/30 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +240 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Rafael Marchan hit the over on walks 0.5?
Rafael Marchan hits the over on walks 0.5 9.5% of the time in 2026, going 2-19-4 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Rafael Marchan over 0.5 walks a good bet?
Based on 25 games in 2026, betting $100 on Rafael Marchan over 0.5 walks at best closing odds has returned -$1,457 (-58.28% ROI). The hit rate is 9.5% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Rafael Marchan's walks average this season?
Rafael Marchan averages 0.1 walks per game in 2026 across 25 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge