Kansas City Royals80% K O 4.575% OUT O 17.560% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Michael Wacha goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (9-0)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Wacha's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(2-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Connelly Early
5/20Red Sox hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Wacha.
★★★★★vs Dustin May
5/15Current Cardinals hitters are batting .251 in their last 1,315 AB's against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Wacha, but other matchup data favors the Cardinals.
★★★★★vs Burch Smith
5/9Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Wacha have an ERA of 4.46 against the Tigers since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
65-54 Over119 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vs Red Sox | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -154 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 8 | W | -235 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +205 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -625 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 8 | W | -3500 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -108 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 8 | L | +1560 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 8 | W | +810 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 8 | W | +430 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +124 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +145 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -139 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -174 |
| 5/15 | @ Cardinals | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -138 |
| 5/15 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -103 |
| 5/15 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +430 |
| 5/15 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -598 |
| 5/15 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +860 |
| 5/15 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -2800 |
| 5/15 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +205 |
| 5/15 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -230 |
| 5/15 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +1680 |
| 5/15 | @Cardinals | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -115 |
| 5/15 | @Cardinals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -126 |
| 5/15 | @Cardinals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -126 |
| 5/9 | vs Tigers | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -102 |
| 5/9 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -109 |
| 5/9 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -3400 |
| 5/9 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -670 |
| 5/9 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -245 |
| 5/9 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +195 |
| 5/9 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +389 |
| 5/9 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +830 |
| 5/9 | vsTigers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 5/9 | vsTigers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 2 | L | -118 |
| 5/9 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +1600 |
| 5/9 | vsTigers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +103 |
| 5/4 | vs Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -2200 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -535 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -201 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +260 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +550 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +1100 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -121 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -133 |
| 4/29 | @ Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +110 |
Kansas City Royals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 80% of the time in 2026, going 8-2 with an average actual of 5.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$582.
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on earned runs 2.5 30% of the time in 2026, going 3-7 with an average actual of 1.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$472.
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 4.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$219.
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 6-4 with an average actual of 2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$22.
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 75% of the time in 2026, going 6-2 with an average actual of 18.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$314.
What are Michael Wacha's best prop bets in 2026?
Michael Wacha's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 80% (8-2); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 75% (6-2); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 60% (6-4).
Inside Edge