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Players/MLB/Kansas City Royals/Michael Wacha
Michael Wacha

Michael Wacha

Kansas City Royals•Pitcher•2026
3.54ERA126K160.1IP7.1K/926G
3.54ERA126K160.1IP7.1K/926G
69.2% K O 4.563.6% HA O 5.546.2% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer

Michael Wacha goes over 4.5 pitcher ks 69.2% of the time (18-8)

Props — 202626 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

26g
avg 4.8
69.2%Over: 18-8
6vs O 4.5+124
vsTigers8/22
✓✗✓✗✓✗✓✓✓✓
H: 66.7%(12)A: 71.4%(14)

Earned Runs

26g
avg 2.4
38.5%Over: 10-16
1vs O 2.5+102
vsTigers8/22
✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✓✓✗
H: 33.3%(12)A: 50%(12)

Hits Allowed

26g
avg 5.4
53.8%Over: 14-12
3vs O 5.5-112
vsTigers8/22
✗✓✓✗✗✓✗✓✓✓
H: 45.5%(11)A: 81.8%(11)

Walks Allowed

26g
avg 1.6
46.2%Over: 12-14
1vs O 1.5-161
vsTigers8/22
✗✗✗✓✗✓✓✓✗✗
H: 50%(12)A: 42.9%(14)

Outs Recorded

25g
avg 18.7
60%Over: 15-10
21vs O 18.5
vsTigers8/22
✓✗✓✗✓✓✓✗✗✓
H: 20%(5)A: 42.9%(7)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(4%)
Total Matchups
27
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Wacha's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 18.5
★★★★★100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)—
★★★★★83.3%(5-1)40%(2-3)66.7%(4-2)83.3%(5-1)0%(0-3)
★★★★★83.3%(5-1)33.3%(2-4)50%(2-2)33.3%(2-4)50%(1-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)25%(1-3)75%(3-1)50%(2-2)100%(2-0)
★★★★★55.6%(5-4)62.5%(5-3)71.4%(5-2)33.3%(3-6)20%(1-4)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Drew Anderson
8/22

Several hitters in the Tigers lineup have a 5-star matchup against Wacha today.

★★★★★vs Mason Barnett
8/17

Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Wacha have an ERA of 4.85 against the Athletics since last year.

★★★★★vs Blake Snell
8/11

Dodgers hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Wacha.

Game Log

Bet
$
172-188 Over360 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/22vsTigersOuts RecordedO 17.521W-160
8/22vsTigersHits AllowedO 5.53L-112
8/22vsTigersEarned RunsO 2.51L+102
8/22vsTigersPitcher KsO 3.56W-191
8/22vsTigersPitcher KsO 6.56L+600
8/22vsTigersPitcher KsO 1.56W-2300
8/22vsTigersPitcher KsO 5.56W+269
8/22vsTigersPitcher KsO 7.56L+1300
8/22vsTigersPitcher KsO 2.56W-500
8/22vsTigersPitcher KsO 4.56W+124
8/22vsTigersPitcher KsO 8.56L—
8/22vsTigersOuts RecordedO 18.521W—
8/22vsTigersWalks AllowedO 1.51L-161
8/22vsTigersHits AllowedO 6.53L—
8/22vsTigersPitcher KsO 46W—
8/22vsTigersOuts RecordedO 14.521W—
8/22vsTigersOuts RecordedO 23.521L—
8/17vsAthleticsPitcher KsO 5.53L+230
8/17vsAthleticsPitcher KsO 6.53L+480
8/17vsAthleticsPitcher KsO 4.53L+108
8/17vsAthleticsPitcher KsO 3.53L-241
8/17vsAthleticsPitcher KsO 2.53W-650
8/17vsAthleticsPitcher KsO 8.53L—
8/17vsAthleticsPitcher KsO 7.53L+1000
8/17vsAthleticsPitcher KsO 1.53W-3300
8/17vsAthleticsPitcher KsO 9.53L—
8/17vsAthleticsPitcher KsO 10.53L—
8/17vsAthleticsEarned RunsO 2.54W+120
8/17vsAthleticsOuts RecordedO 18.515L+120
8/17vsAthleticsHits AllowedO 5.56W-134
8/17vsAthleticsHits AllowedO 6.56L—
8/17vsAthleticsOuts RecordedO 23.515L—
8/17vsAthleticsOuts RecordedO 17.515L—
8/17vsAthleticsWalks AllowedO 1.50L+131
8/11@DodgersPitcher KsO 6.55L+481
8/11@DodgersPitcher KsO 3.55W-200
8/11@DodgersPitcher KsO 5.55L+227
8/11@DodgersPitcher KsO 2.55W-500
8/11@DodgersPitcher KsO 4.55W+110
8/11@DodgersPitcher KsO 7.55L+1000
8/11@DodgersPitcher KsO 1.55W-2300
8/11@DodgersPitcher KsO 8.55L—
8/11@DodgersHits AllowedO 5.57W-120
8/11@DodgersOuts RecordedO 17.520W-112
8/11@DodgersEarned RunsO 3.53L+111
8/11@DodgersPitcher KsO 9.55L—
8/11@DodgersOuts RecordedO 14.520W—
8/11@DodgersOuts RecordedO 20.520L—
8/11@DodgersPitcher KsO 45W—
8/11@DodgersWalks AllowedO 1.50L—

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 69.2% of the time in 2026, going 18-8 with an average actual of 4.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$978.
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on earned runs 2.5 41.7% of the time in 2026, going 10-14 with an average actual of 2.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$576.
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 63.6% of the time in 2026, going 14-8 with an average actual of 5.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$342.
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 46.2% of the time in 2026, going 12-14 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$349.
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on outs recorded 18.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on outs recorded 18.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 4-8 with an average actual of 18.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$335.
What are Michael Wacha's best prop bets in 2026?
Michael Wacha's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 69.2% (18-8); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 63.6% (14-8); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 46.2% (12-14).

Michael Wacha 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.26 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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