Kansas City Royals73.3% OUT O 17.572.2% K O 4.562.5% HA O 5.5
Season
Best Performer
Michael Wacha goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (14-0)
Props — 202618 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(6%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Wacha's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) | 75%(3-1) | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 33.3%(2-4) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(2-4) | 100%(4-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jesús Luzardo
7/4Right-handed starters have an ERA of 6.41 against the Phillies in the past 30 days.
★★★★★vs Davis Martin
6/27Wacha has struck out 24% of the White Sox hitters he has faced in 50 PA's over the last 2 years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the White Sox.
★★★★★vs Drew Rasmussen
6/22Rays hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Wacha.
Game Log
Bet
$
120-110 Over230 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | vs Phillies | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +142 |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Hits Allowed | O 6.5 | 8 | W | — |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -111 |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -140 |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -120 |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 7 | W | — |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 7 | L | +1300 |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -750 |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +660 |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +420 |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -295 |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +200 |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 7 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -143 |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -147 |
| 6/27 | @ White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +390 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -283 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -750 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -122 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +188 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 7 | W | -3600 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +710 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 7 | L | — |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 7 | L | +1420 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -115 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 23 | W | -158 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +100 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 23 | W | +130 |
| 6/22 | @ Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +166 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +372 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +810 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -325 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -1280 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +1600 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -155 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -145 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +118 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 5 | W | — |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Hits Allowed | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +120 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 21 | W | +119 |
| 6/16 | @ Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +630 |
| 6/16 | @Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -175 |
| 6/16 | @Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +130 |
| 6/16 | @Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -450 |
| 6/16 | @Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +290 |
Kansas City Royals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 72.2% of the time in 2026, going 13-5 with an average actual of 5.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$753.
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on earned runs 2.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 8-10 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$362.
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 10-6 with an average actual of 6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$242.
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 8-10 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$436.
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 73.3% of the time in 2026, going 11-4 with an average actual of 18.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$495.
What are Michael Wacha's best prop bets in 2026?
Michael Wacha's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 73.3% (11-4); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 72.2% (13-5); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 62.5% (10-6).
Inside Edge