Kansas City Royals73.3% OUT O 17.572.2% K O 4.562.5% HA O 5.5
Season
All Michael Wacha propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
17g76.5%Over: 13-4
18vs O 17.5-143
vs
Phillies7/4
Phillies7/4✓✓✓✓✗✗✓✓✓✓
H: 85.7%(7)A: 62.5%(8)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(6%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Wacha's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) | 75%(3-1) | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 33.3%(2-4) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(2-4) | 100%(4-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jesús Luzardo
7/4Right-handed starters have an ERA of 6.41 against the Phillies in the past 30 days.
★★★★★vs Davis Martin
6/27Wacha has struck out 24% of the White Sox hitters he has faced in 50 PA's over the last 2 years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the White Sox.
★★★★★vs Drew Rasmussen
6/22Rays hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Wacha.
Game Log
Bet
$
17-9 Over17g · 26 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +142 |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -143 |
| 6/27 | @ White Sox | O 17.5 | 23 | W | -158 |
| 6/27 | @White Sox | O 18.5 | 23 | W | +130 |
| 6/22 | @ Rays | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -145 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | O 18.5 | 21 | W | +119 |
| 6/16 | @ Nationals | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -155 |
| 6/16 | @Nationals | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +116 |
| 6/5 | @ Twins | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -190 |
| 6/5 | @Twins | O 18.5 | 17 | L | +131 |
| 5/31 | @ Rangers | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -188 |
| 5/31 | @Rangers | O 18.5 | 15 | L | +133 |
| 5/25 | vs Yankees | O 17.5 | 21 | W | +114 |
| 5/25 | vsYankees | O 16.5 | 21 | W | -130 |
| 5/25 | vsYankees | O 15.5 | 21 | W | -124 |
| 5/20 | vs Red Sox | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -154 |
| 5/20 | vsRed Sox | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +145 |
| 5/15 | @ Cardinals | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -138 |
| 5/9 | vs Tigers | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -102 |
| 5/4 | vs Guardians | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -121 |
| 4/29 | @ Athletics | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -111 |
| 4/22 | vs Orioles | O 17.5 | 16 | L | -126 |
| 4/17 | @Yankees | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +108 |
| 4/11 | vsWhite Sox | O 17.5 | 24 | W | -114 |
| 4/6 | @Guardians | O 16.5 | 21 | W | -120 |
| 3/28 | @ Braves | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -108 |
Kansas City Royals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 73.3% of the time in 2026, going 11-4 with an average actual of 18.9.
Is Michael Wacha over 17.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2026, betting $100 on Michael Wacha over 17.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$670 (+39.41% ROI). The hit rate is 73.3% with an average actual of 18.9.
What is Michael Wacha's outs recorded average this season?
Michael Wacha averages 18.9 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 17.5.
Inside Edge