Kansas City Royals73.3% OUT O 17.572.2% K O 4.562.5% HA O 5.5
Season
All Michael Wacha propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
18g55.6%Over: 10-8
8vs O 5.5-147
vs
Phillies7/4
Phillies7/4✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✗✓✗
H: 50%(8)A: 75%(8)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(6%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Wacha's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) | 75%(3-1) | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 33.3%(2-4) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(2-4) | 100%(4-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jesús Luzardo
7/4Right-handed starters have an ERA of 6.41 against the Phillies in the past 30 days.
★★★★★vs Davis Martin
6/27Wacha has struck out 24% of the White Sox hitters he has faced in 50 PA's over the last 2 years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the White Sox.
★★★★★vs Drew Rasmussen
6/22Rays hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Wacha.
Game Log
Bet
$
15-11 Over18g · 26 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | O 6.5 | 8 | W | — |
| 7/4 | vsPhillies | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -147 |
| 6/27 | @ White Sox | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -115 |
| 6/22 | @ Rays | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -155 |
| 6/22 | @Rays | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +120 |
| 6/16 | @ Nationals | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -130 |
| 6/16 | @Nationals | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +121 |
| 6/11 | vs Rangers | O 6.5 | 9 | W | +121 |
| 6/11 | vsRangers | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -150 |
| 6/5 | @ Twins | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -107 |
| 5/31 | @Rangers | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +104 |
| 5/31 | @Rangers | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -160 |
| 5/25 | vs Yankees | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +114 |
| 5/20 | vs Red Sox | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 5/15 | @ Cardinals | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -115 |
| 5/9 | vs Tigers | O 5.5 | 2 | L | -118 |
| 5/4 | vs Guardians | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 4/29 | @ Athletics | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -131 |
| 4/22 | vs Orioles | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -161 |
| 4/22 | vsOrioles | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +105 |
| 4/17 | @Yankees | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +125 |
| 4/17 | @Yankees | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -155 |
| 4/11 | vsWhite Sox | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +120 |
| 4/11 | vsWhite Sox | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -161 |
| 4/6 | @Guardians | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +102 |
| 3/28 | @ Braves | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -147 |
Kansas City Royals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael Wacha hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Michael Wacha hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 10-6 with an average actual of 6.
Is Michael Wacha over 5.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Michael Wacha over 5.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$42 (+2.33% ROI). The hit rate is 62.5% with an average actual of 6.
What is Michael Wacha's hits allowed average this season?
Michael Wacha averages 6 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 5.5.
Inside Edge