
88.2% K O 1.566.7% HA O 5.558.3% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Michael Lorenzen goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 88.2% of the time (15-2)
Props — 202617 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lorenzen's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 3.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 90%(9-1) | 55.6%(5-4) | 83.3%(5-1) | 87.5%(7-1) | 12.5%(1-7) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Justin Wrobleski
7/7Right-handed starters have an ERA of 4.43 against the Dodgers in the past 30 days.
★★★★★vs Ryan Gusto
7/2Marlins hitters have a 4 star average matchup against Lorenzen.
★★★★★vs Mike Paredes
6/27Current Twins hitters have struck out just 16.7% of the time against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Lorenzen over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
95-119 Over214 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/2 | vs | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -112 |
| 7/2 | vs | Hits Allowed | O 6.5 | 4 | L | -105 |
| 7/2 | vs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 13 | L | +120 |
| 7/2 | vs | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -120 |
| 7/2 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -122 |
| 7/2 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -1200 |
| 7/2 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -333 |
| 7/2 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +450 |
| 7/2 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +200 |
| 7/2 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | — |
| 7/2 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +980 |
| 7/2 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/2 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/2 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/2 | vs | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 13 | L | -159 |
| 6/27 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -500 |
| 6/27 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +262 |
| 6/27 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +118 |
| 6/27 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +597 |
| 6/27 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -200 |
| 6/27 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1320 |
| 6/27 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -2300 |
| 6/27 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 6/27 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 6/27 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 17 | W | +128 |
| 6/27 | @ | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -138 |
| 6/27 | @ | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +119 |
| 6/27 | @ | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -110 |
| 6/27 | @ | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -150 |
| 6/27 | @ | Hits Allowed | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +123 |
| 6/27 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | — |
| 6/27 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 17 | W | — |
| 6/21 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -135 |
| 6/21 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +165 |
| 6/21 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +350 |
| 6/21 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -325 |
| 6/21 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +750 |
| 6/21 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -1300 |
| 6/21 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 5 | W | — |
| 6/21 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +1520 |
| 6/21 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 6/21 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 6/21 | vs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 16 | W | +144 |
| 6/21 | vs | Hits Allowed | O 6.5 | 7 | W | -101 |
| 6/21 | vs | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 6/21 | vs | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -152 |
| 6/15 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -375 |
| 6/15 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +290 |
| 6/15 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 6/15 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +140 |
Colorado Rockies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on pitcher ks 1.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on pitcher ks 1.5 88.2% of the time in 2026, going 15-2 with an average actual of 3.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$71.
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on earned runs 3.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on earned runs 3.5 53.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-6 with an average actual of 3.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$156.
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 8-4 with an average actual of 7.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$254.
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 58.3% of the time in 2026, going 7-5 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$23.
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 4-10 with an average actual of 14.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$531.
What are Michael Lorenzen's best prop bets in 2026?
Michael Lorenzen's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 1.5 at 88.2% (15-2); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 66.7% (8-4); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 58.3% (7-5).

Inside Edge