
100% K O 1.571.4% HA O 5.560% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Michael Lorenzen goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (9-0)
Props — 20269 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lorenzen's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(4-0) | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Mike Soroka
5/17Pitchers with similar repertoires to Lorenzen have an ERA of 4.67 against the Diamondbacks over the last year.
★★★★★vs Paul Skenes
5/12Current Pirates hitters have struck out 22.5% of the time against pitchers similar to Lorenzen over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Pirates.
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
5/6Mets hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Lorenzen.
Game Log
Bet
$
49-57 Over106 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +122 |
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -210 |
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +640 |
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +290 |
| 5/17 | vs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 14 | L | +101 |
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -750 |
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +1260 |
| 5/17 | vs | Hits Allowed | O 6.5 | 9 | W | +125 |
| 5/17 | vs | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -132 |
| 5/17 | vs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -154 |
| 5/17 | vs | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -1520 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +1420 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -350 |
| 5/12 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +110 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +690 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -138 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +400 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +188 |
| 5/12 | @ | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -150 |
| 5/12 | @ | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -105 |
| 5/12 | @ | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +128 |
| 5/6 | vs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +107 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -122 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -1140 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -325 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +188 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +410 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +810 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +1660 |
| 5/6 | vs | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 7 | W | +107 |
| 5/6 | vs | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 11 | W | -157 |
| 5/6 | vs | Hits Allowed | O 6.5 | 11 | W | +119 |
| 5/6 | vs | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +127 |
| 4/30 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 4/30 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -473 |
| 4/30 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -182 |
| 4/30 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +266 |
| 4/30 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +560 |
| 4/30 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -115 |
| 4/30 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -1880 |
| 4/30 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +1160 |
| 4/30 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +1700 |
| 4/30 | @ | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 4/30 | @ | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 4/30 | @ | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +108 |
| 4/30 | @ | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -162 |
| 4/24 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 21 | W | +110 |
| 4/24 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +130 |
| 4/24 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -1920 |
Colorado Rockies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on pitcher ks 1.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on pitcher ks 1.5 100% of the time in 2026, going 9-0 with an average actual of 3.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$80.
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4 with an average actual of 3.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$207.
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2 with an average actual of 7.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$202.
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$10.
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4 with an average actual of 15. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$203.
What are Michael Lorenzen's best prop bets in 2026?
Michael Lorenzen's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 1.5 at 100% (9-0); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 71.4% (5-2); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 60% (3-2).

Inside Edge