Michael Lorenzen

Michael Lorenzen

Colorado RockiesPitcher2026
Reg7.20 ERA / 67 K / 82.5 IP / 7.3 K/9 / 19G
88.2% K O 1.566.7% HA O 5.558.3% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer

Michael Lorenzen goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 88.2% of the time (15-2)

Props — 202617 games with closing lines

avg 3.7
88.2%Over: 15-2
1vs O 1.5-1200
vsMarlins7/2
H: 88.9%(9)A: 87.5%(8)
avg 3.7
47.1%Over: 8-9
4vs O 3.5-112
vsMarlins7/2
H: 55.6%(9)A: 50%(4)
avg 6.8
64.7%Over: 11-6
4vs O 6.5-105
vsMarlins7/2
H: 80%(5)A: 57.1%(7)
avg 1.9
52.9%Over: 9-8
6vs O 1.5-120
vsMarlins7/2
H: 85.7%(7)A: 20%(5)
avg 14.2
35.3%Over: 6-11
13vs O 15.5+120
vsMarlins7/2
H: 14.3%(7)A: 42.9%(7)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
1.8
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
18
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Lorenzen's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 1.5Earned RunsO 3.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 15.5
100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)
50%(1-1)0%(0-1)50%(1-1)0%(0-1)50%(1-1)
100%(3-0)50%(1-1)66.7%(2-1)0%(0-2)33.3%(1-2)
90%(9-1)55.6%(5-4)83.3%(5-1)87.5%(7-1)12.5%(1-7)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Justin Wrobleski
7/7

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 4.43 against the Dodgers in the past 30 days.

vs Ryan Gusto
7/2

Marlins hitters have a 4 star average matchup against Lorenzen.

vs Mike Paredes
6/27

Current Twins hitters have struck out just 16.7% of the time against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Lorenzen over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet
$
95-119 Over214 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/2vsMarlinsEarned RunsO 3.54W-112
7/2vsMarlinsHits AllowedO 6.54L-105
7/2vsMarlinsOuts RecordedO 15.513L+120
7/2vsMarlinsWalks AllowedO 1.56W-120
7/2vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 3.51L-122
7/2vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 1.51L-1200
7/2vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 2.51L-333
7/2vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 5.51L+450
7/2vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 4.51L+200
7/2vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 0.51W
7/2vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 6.51L+980
7/2vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 7.51L
7/2vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 9.51L
7/2vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 8.51L
7/2vsMarlinsOuts RecordedO 14.513L-159
6/27@TwinsPitcher KsO 2.51L-500
6/27@TwinsPitcher KsO 5.51L+262
6/27@TwinsPitcher KsO 4.51L+118
6/27@TwinsPitcher KsO 6.51L+597
6/27@TwinsPitcher KsO 3.51L-200
6/27@TwinsPitcher KsO 7.51L+1320
6/27@TwinsPitcher KsO 1.51L-2300
6/27@TwinsPitcher KsO 8.51L
6/27@TwinsPitcher KsO 9.51L
6/27@TwinsOuts RecordedO 15.517W+128
6/27@TwinsHits AllowedO 5.57W-138
6/27@TwinsEarned RunsO 3.52L+119
6/27@TwinsWalks AllowedO 1.50L-110
6/27@TwinsEarned RunsO 2.52L-150
6/27@TwinsHits AllowedO 6.57W+123
6/27@TwinsPitcher KsO 0.51W
6/27@TwinsOuts RecordedO 14.517W
6/21vsPiratesPitcher KsO 3.55W-135
6/21vsPiratesPitcher KsO 4.55W+165
6/21vsPiratesPitcher KsO 5.55L+350
6/21vsPiratesPitcher KsO 2.55W-325
6/21vsPiratesPitcher KsO 6.55L+750
6/21vsPiratesPitcher KsO 1.55W-1300
6/21vsPiratesPitcher KsO 0.55W
6/21vsPiratesPitcher KsO 7.55L+1520
6/21vsPiratesPitcher KsO 8.55L
6/21vsPiratesPitcher KsO 9.55L
6/21vsPiratesOuts RecordedO 15.516W+144
6/21vsPiratesHits AllowedO 6.57W-101
6/21vsPiratesEarned RunsO 3.54W+110
6/21vsPiratesWalks AllowedO 1.51L-152
6/15@CubsPitcher KsO 2.55W-375
6/15@CubsPitcher KsO 5.55L+290
6/15@CubsPitcher KsO 3.55W-155
6/15@CubsPitcher KsO 4.55W+140

Colorado Rockies Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on pitcher ks 1.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on pitcher ks 1.5 88.2% of the time in 2026, going 15-2 with an average actual of 3.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$71.
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on earned runs 3.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on earned runs 3.5 53.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-6 with an average actual of 3.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$156.
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 8-4 with an average actual of 7.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$254.
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 58.3% of the time in 2026, going 7-5 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$23.
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 4-10 with an average actual of 14.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$531.
What are Michael Lorenzen's best prop bets in 2026?
Michael Lorenzen's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 1.5 at 88.2% (15-2); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 66.7% (8-4); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 58.3% (7-5).

Michael Lorenzen 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.17 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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