Inside Edge
Colorado Rockies100% K O 1.571.4% HA O 5.560% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Michael Lorenzen propsProps — 20269 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
9g77.8%Over: 7-2
9vs O 6.5+125
vs
Diamondbacks5/17
Diamondbacks5/17✓✗✓✗✓✓✓✓✓
H: 100%(4)A: 33.3%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lorenzen's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(4-0) | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Mike Soroka
5/17Pitchers with similar repertoires to Lorenzen have an ERA of 4.67 against the Diamondbacks over the last year.
★★★★★vs Paul Skenes
5/12Current Pirates hitters have struck out 22.5% of the time against pitchers similar to Lorenzen over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Pirates.
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
5/6Mets hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Lorenzen.
Game Log
Bet
$
10-2 Over9g · 12 props
Colorado Rockies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Michael Lorenzen hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Michael Lorenzen hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2 with an average actual of 7.6.
Is Michael Lorenzen over 5.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Michael Lorenzen over 5.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$399 (+44.33% ROI). The hit rate is 71.4% with an average actual of 7.6.
What is Michael Lorenzen's hits allowed average this season?
Michael Lorenzen averages 7.6 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 5.5.