Max Scherzer

Toronto Blue JaysPitcher•2026

Reg10.56 ERA / 14 K / 21.3 IP / 5.9 K/9 / 6G

66.7% HA O 4.550% ER O 2.550% BBA O 1.5

Season

Best Performer

Max Scherzer goes over 4.5 hits allowed 66.7% of the time (4-2)

Props — 20267 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

avg 2

0%Over: 0-6-1

0vs O 4.5+214

Red Sox6/17

P✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 0%(5)A: 0%(2)

Earned Runs

avg 3.6

50%Over: 3-3-1

0vs O 2.5-140

Red Sox6/17

P✓✓✗✓✗✗

H: 66.7%(3)A: 0%(2)

Hits Allowed

avg 3.9

66.7%Over: 4-2-1

0vs O 5.5+105

Red Sox6/17

P✓✓✓✓✗✗

H: 60%(5)A: 100%(1)

Walks Allowed

avg 1.6

50%Over: 3-3-1

0vs O 1.5-129

Red Sox6/17

P✓✓✗✓✗✗

H: 60%(5)A: 0%(2)

Outs Recorded

avg 9.4

33.3%Over: 2-4-1

0vs O 14.5-128

Red Sox6/17

P✗✗✓✗✗✓

H: 0%(3)A: 50%(2)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.7★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Scherzer's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 14.5
★★★★★	0%(0-2)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	0%(0-2)	50%(1-1)	100%(2-0)	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)
★★★★★	0%(0-2)	0%(0-1)	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)	0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Jake Bennett

6/17

Red Sox hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Scherzer.

★★★★★vs Gavin Williams

4/24

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Scherzer have an ERA of 4.02 against the Guardians over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.

★★★★★vs Zac Gallen

4/18

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Scherzer have an ERA of 4.15 against the Diamondbacks over the last year.

Game Log

Bet

21-47-12 Over80 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
6/17	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	0	P	+400
6/17	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	0	P	+214
6/17	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	0	P	-275
6/17	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	0	P	-110
6/17	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	0	P	+750
6/17	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	0	P	-980
6/17	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	0	P	+1580
6/17	@Red Sox	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	P	-140
6/17	@Red Sox	Outs Recorded	O 14.5	0	P	-128
6/17	@Red Sox	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	0	P	+105
6/17	@Red Sox	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	P	-129
6/17	@Red Sox	Outs Recorded	O 13.5	0	P	-125
6/10	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	4	W	-385
6/10	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	4	L	+349
6/10	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	4	L	+1660
6/10	vsPhillies	Outs Recorded	O 14.5	10	L	+106
6/10	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	4	L	+770
6/10	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	4	W	-150
6/10	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	4	W	-1420
6/10	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	4	L	+156
6/10	vsPhillies	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	5	W	-125
6/10	vsPhillies	Earned Runs	O 2.5	5	W	+100
6/10	vsPhillies	Outs Recorded	O 13.5	10	L	-125
6/10	vsPhillies	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	3	W	-105
4/24	vsGuardians	Outs Recorded	O 14.5	7	L	-132
4/24	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	0	L	-155
4/24	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	0	L	-1660
4/24	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	0	L	-418
4/24	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	0	L	+152
4/24	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	0	L	+320
4/24	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	0	L	+700
4/24	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	0	L	+1500
4/24	vsGuardians	Earned Runs	O 2.5	7	W	-108
4/24	vsGuardians	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	6	W	+105
4/24	vsGuardians	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	3	W	-106
4/18	@Diamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	1	L	+174
4/18	@Diamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	1	L	-375
4/18	@Diamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	1	L	-150
4/18	@Diamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	1	L	+350
4/18	@Diamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	1	L	+750
4/18	@Diamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	1	L	-1740
4/18	@Diamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	1	L	+1440
4/18	@Diamondbacks	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	-120
4/18	@Diamondbacks	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	5	W	-168
4/18	@Diamondbacks	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	5	L	+116
4/18	@Diamondbacks	Outs Recorded	O 14.5	18	W	-150
4/18	@Diamondbacks	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	-108
4/12	vsTwins	Earned Runs	O 1.5	8	W	-141
4/12	vsTwins	Hits Allowed	O 3.5	5	W	-140
4/12	vsTwins	Outs Recorded	O 14.5	7	L	-155

Toronto Blue Jays Teammates

View all

Kazuma Okamoto Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Ernie Clement Daulton Varsho George Springer Brandon Valenzuela Nathan Lukes Yohendrick Pinango Myles Straw Tyler Heineman Lenyn Sosa Davis Schneider Alejandro Kirk Charles McAdoo Kevin Gausman

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?

Max Scherzer hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 0% of the time in 2026, going 0-6-1 with an average actual of 2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$600.

How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on earned runs 2.5?

Max Scherzer hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 2-2-1 with an average actual of 3.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$7.

How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?

Max Scherzer hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 4-2 with an average actual of 4.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$172.

How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?

Max Scherzer hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3-1 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$11.

How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?

Max Scherzer hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 25% of the time in 2026, going 1-3-1 with an average actual of 8.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$233.

What are Max Scherzer's best prop bets in 2026?

Max Scherzer's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 66.7% (4-2); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 50% (2-2); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 50% (3-3).