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Players/MLB/Toronto Blue Jays/Max Scherzer
Max Scherzer

Max Scherzer

Toronto Blue Jays•Pitcher•2026
7.64ERA32K43.6IP6.6K/911G
7.64ERA32K43.6IP6.6K/911G
80% OUT O 11.570% K O 2.554.5% HA O 4.5
Season
Best Performer

Max Scherzer goes over 11.5 outs recorded 80% of the time (4-1)

Props — 202612 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

12g
avg 2.7
63.6%Over: 7-4-1
1vs O 2.5-293
@Rays8/19
✗✓✓✓✓P✓✗✗✓
H: 83.3%(6)A: 40%(5)

Earned Runs

12g
avg 3.1
36.4%Over: 4-7-1
7vs O 2.5-101
@Rays8/19
✓✗✗✗✗P✓✓✗✓
H: 40%(5)A: 20%(5)

Hits Allowed

12g
avg 4
54.5%Over: 6-5-1
5vs O 4.5-164
@Rays8/19
✓✗✓✗✗P✓✓✓✓
H: 42.9%(7)A: 75%(4)

Walks Allowed

12g
avg 1.7
54.5%Over: 6-5-1
3vs O 1.5+104
@Rays8/19
✓✓✗✗✓P✓✓✗✓
H: 57.1%(7)A: 40%(5)

Outs Recorded

12g
avg 11.3
54.5%Over: 6-5-1
12vs O 11.5
@Rays8/19
✓✓✓✓✗P✗✗✓✗
H: 100%(2)A: 66.7%(3)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
10
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Scherzer's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 2.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 11.5
★★★★★66.7%(2-1)0%(0-2)0%(0-2)33.3%(1-2)100%(1-0)
★★★★★0%(0-3)66.7%(2-1)100%(3-0)66.7%(2-1)100%(1-0)
★★★★★100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)
★★★★★100%(2-0)0%(0-2)66.7%(2-1)33.3%(1-2)100%(1-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Drew Rasmussen
8/19

Current Rays hitters are batting .293 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Scherzer over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Payton Tolle
8/13

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Scherzer have an ERA of 3.58 against the Red Sox over the last year.

★★★★★vs Aaron Nola
8/8

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Scherzer have an ERA of 4.57 against the Phillies over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
56-95-14 Over165 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/19@RaysOuts RecordedO 15.512L+128
8/19@RaysPitcher KsO 3.51L-111
8/19@RaysWalks AllowedO 1.53W+104
8/19@RaysPitcher KsO 0.51W—
8/19@RaysPitcher KsO 5.51L+493
8/19@RaysPitcher KsO 7.51L—
8/19@RaysPitcher KsO 2.51L-293
8/19@RaysPitcher KsO 1.51L-1060
8/19@RaysPitcher KsO 6.51L+1140
8/19@RaysPitcher KsO 4.51L+215
8/19@RaysEarned RunsO 2.57W-101
8/19@RaysHits AllowedO 5.55L—
8/19@RaysPitcher KsO 8.51L—
8/19@RaysOuts RecordedO 14.512L—
8/19@RaysOuts RecordedO 11.512W—
8/19@RaysOuts RecordedO 20.512L—
8/19@RaysHits AllowedO 4.55W-164
8/13vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 3.54W-175
8/13vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 4.54L+128
8/13vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 5.54L+276
8/13vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 6.54L+610
8/13vsRed SoxEarned RunsO 2.51L-105
8/13vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 2.54W-450
8/13vsRed SoxWalks AllowedO 1.52W+109
8/13vsRed SoxOuts RecordedO 14.515W-185
8/13vsRed SoxHits AllowedO 4.53L-150
8/13vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 1.54W-2300
8/13vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 7.54L+1320
8/13vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 8.54L—
8/13vsRed SoxOuts RecordedO 15.515L+119
8/13vsRed SoxOuts RecordedO 20.515L—
8/13vsRed SoxOuts RecordedO 11.515W—
8/13vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 0.54W—
8/13vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 44P—
8/13vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 9.54L—
8/8@PhilliesPitcher KsO 4.54L+169
8/8@PhilliesPitcher KsO 3.54W-138
8/8@PhilliesPitcher KsO 6.54L+870
8/8@PhilliesPitcher KsO 2.54W-350
8/8@PhilliesPitcher KsO 5.54L+385
8/8@PhilliesPitcher KsO 1.54W-1320
8/8@PhilliesPitcher KsO 7.54L—
8/8@PhilliesPitcher KsO 8.54L—
8/8@PhilliesEarned RunsO 2.52L-142
8/8@PhilliesOuts RecordedO 14.516W-130
8/8@PhilliesHits AllowedO 5.55L—
8/8@PhilliesPitcher KsO 0.54W—
8/8@PhilliesOuts RecordedO 17.516L—
8/8@PhilliesOuts RecordedO 11.516W—
8/8@PhilliesHits AllowedO 4.55W-155

Toronto Blue Jays Teammates

View all
Kazuma OkamotoErnie ClementVladimir Guerrero Jr.Daulton VarshoGeorge SpringerNathan LukesBrandon ValenzuelaAlejandro KirkMyles StrawTyler HeinemanYohendrick PinangoJosh SmithDavis SchneiderLenyn SosaCharles McAdoo

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Max Scherzer hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 70% of the time in 2026, going 7-3-1 with an average actual of 2.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$129.
How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Max Scherzer hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-6-1 with an average actual of 2.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$308.
How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Max Scherzer hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 54.5% of the time in 2026, going 6-5 with an average actual of 4.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$3.
How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Max Scherzer hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 54.5% of the time in 2026, going 6-5-1 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$232.
How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on outs recorded 11.5?
Max Scherzer hits the over on outs recorded 11.5 80% of the time in 2026, going 4-1 with an average actual of 13.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$0.
What are Max Scherzer's best prop bets in 2026?
Max Scherzer's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 11.5 at 80% (4-1); Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 70% (7-3); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 54.5% (6-5).

Max Scherzer 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.12 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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