Inside Edge
Toronto Blue Jays60% HA O 4.540% BBA O 1.533.3% ER O 2.5
Season
Best Performer
Max Scherzer goes over 4.5 hits allowed 60% of the time (3-2)
Props — 20265 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
5Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Scherzer's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Gavin Williams
4/24Pitchers with similar repertoires to Scherzer have an ERA of 4.02 against the Guardians over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
4/18Pitchers with similar repertoires to Scherzer have an ERA of 4.15 against the Diamondbacks over the last year.
★★★★★vs Taj Bradley
4/12Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Scherzer have an ERA of 4.95 against the Twins since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
15-41 Over56 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/24 | vs Guardians | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 7 | L | -132 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -1660 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -418 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +152 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 0 | L | +320 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -108 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -106 |
| 4/18 | @ Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +174 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -375 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -150 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +350 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +750 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -1740 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1440 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -168 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +116 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 18 | W | -150 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -108 |
| 4/12 | vs Twins | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 8 | W | -141 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 7 | L | -155 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -136 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -890 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -311 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +157 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +333 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +680 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1400 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +127 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -101 |
| 4/6 | vs Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -136 |
| 4/6 | vsDodgers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +104 |
| 4/6 | vsDodgers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -119 |
| 4/6 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 4/6 | vsDodgers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -159 |
| 4/6 | vsDodgers | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +154 |
| 4/6 | vsDodgers | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 6 | L | +124 |
| 3/31 | vs Rockies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -112 |
| 3/31 | vsRockies | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -136 |
| 3/31 | vsRockies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +106 |
| 3/31 | vsRockies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +156 |
| 3/31 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -2800 |
| 3/31 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -730 |
| 3/31 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -280 |
| 3/31 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +182 |
Toronto Blue Jays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Max Scherzer hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 0% of the time in 2026, going 0-5 with an average actual of 2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$500.
How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Max Scherzer hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 1-2 with an average actual of 3.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$107.
How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Max Scherzer hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 4.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$92.
How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Max Scherzer hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 2-3 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$107.
How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Max Scherzer hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 1-2 with an average actual of 10.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$133.
What are Max Scherzer's best prop bets in 2026?
Max Scherzer's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 60% (3-2); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 40% (2-3); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 33.3% (1-2).