Toronto Blue Jays66.7% HA O 4.550% ER O 2.550% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Max Scherzer propsProps — 20267 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
7g50%Over: 3-3-1
0vs O 2.5-140
@
Red Sox6/17
Red Sox6/17P✓✓✗✓✗✗
H: 66.7%(3)A: 0%(2)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
6Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Scherzer's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jake Bennett
6/17Red Sox hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Scherzer.
★★★★★vs Gavin Williams
4/24Pitchers with similar repertoires to Scherzer have an ERA of 4.02 against the Guardians over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
4/18Pitchers with similar repertoires to Scherzer have an ERA of 4.15 against the Diamondbacks over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-3-1 Over7g · 7 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/17 | @Red Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | P | -140 |
| 6/10 | vs Phillies | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +100 |
| 4/24 | vs Guardians | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -108 |
| 4/18 | @ Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 4/12 | vs Twins | O 1.5 | 8 | W | -141 |
| 4/6 | vs Dodgers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +104 |
| 3/31 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -136 |
Toronto Blue Jays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Max Scherzer hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 2-2-1 with an average actual of 3.2.
Is Max Scherzer over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Max Scherzer over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$36 (-5.14% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 3.2.
What is Max Scherzer's earned runs average this season?
Max Scherzer averages 3.2 earned runs per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge