Inside Edge
Toronto Blue Jays60% HA O 4.540% BBA O 1.533.3% ER O 2.5
Season
All Max Scherzer propsProps — 20265 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
5g60%Over: 3-2
6vs O 4.5+105
vs
Guardians4/24
Guardians4/24✓✓✓✗✗
H: 50%(4)A: 100%(1)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
5Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Scherzer's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Gavin Williams
4/24Pitchers with similar repertoires to Scherzer have an ERA of 4.02 against the Guardians over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
4/18Pitchers with similar repertoires to Scherzer have an ERA of 4.15 against the Diamondbacks over the last year.
★★★★★vs Taj Bradley
4/12Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Scherzer have an ERA of 4.95 against the Twins since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-3 Over5g · 7 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 4/18 | @ Diamondbacks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -168 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +116 |
| 4/12 | vs Twins | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +127 |
| 4/6 | vs Dodgers | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -119 |
| 3/31 | vs Rockies | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +106 |
Toronto Blue Jays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Max Scherzer hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Max Scherzer hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 4.4.
Is Max Scherzer over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 5 games in 2026, betting $100 on Max Scherzer over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$92 (+18.4% ROI). The hit rate is 60% with an average actual of 4.4.
What is Max Scherzer's hits allowed average this season?
Max Scherzer averages 4.4 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 5 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.