Matthew Lugo

Los Angeles AngelsPosition Player•2025

Reg0.225 / 4 HR / 9 RBI / 16 H / 1 SB / 26G

50% HRR O 0.541.7% H O 0.541.7% TB O 0.5

Best Performer

Matthew Lugo goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 50% of the time (5-5)

Props — 202513 games with closing lines

Hits

13g

avg 0.5

41.7%Over: 5-7-1

0vs O 0.5-155

Twins9/10

P✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✓

H: 25%(4)A: 44.4%(9)

Home Runs

13g

avg 0.1

8.3%Over: 1-11-1

0vs O 0.5+650

Twins9/10

P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 0%(4)A: 11.1%(9)

RBIs

13g

avg 0.2

8.3%Over: 1-11-1

0vs O 0.5+230

Twins9/10

P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 0%(4)A: 11.1%(9)

Runs Scored

13g

avg 0.3

25%Over: 3-9-1

0vs O 0.5+160

Twins9/10

P✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 25%(4)A: 22.2%(9)

Stolen Bases

13g

avg 0

0%Over: 0-12-1

0vs O 0.5+1200

Twins9/10

P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 0%(4)A: 0%(9)

Total Bases

13g

avg 0.9

41.7%Over: 5-7-1

0vs O 0.5-160

Twins9/10

P✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✓

H: 25%(4)A: 44.4%(9)

Doubles

13g

avg 0.2

16.7%Over: 2-10-1

0vs O 0.5+550

Twins9/10

P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 0%(4)A: 22.2%(9)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

13g

avg 1

41.7%Over: 5-7-1

0vs O 1.5+125

Twins9/10

P✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✓

H: 33.3%(3)A: 57.1%(7)

Singles

13g

avg 0.3

25%Over: 3-9-1

0vs O 0.5+115

Twins9/10

P✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✓

H: 25%(4)A: 22.2%(9)

Walks

avg 0

0%Over: 0-9

0vs O 0.5+255

Royals9/2

✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 0%(1)A: 0%(8)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.6★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Lugo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	57.1%(4-3)	0%(0-7)	0%(0-7)
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	25%(1-3)	25%(1-3)	25%(1-3)
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Bryan Woo

9/13

Lugo has a wOBA of just .236 in his last 21 PA's against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Woo over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Luis Castillo

9/12

Lugo has a wOBA of just .269 in his last 24 PA's.

★★★★★vs Bryce Miller

9/11

Lugo has a Well-Hit Rate of just 8.3% in his last 24 AB's; League avg: 20.4%.

Game Log

Bet

34-220-9 Over263 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
9/10	vsTwins	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	-155
9/10	vsTwins	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	+650
9/10	vsTwins	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	+230
9/10	vsTwins	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	+160
9/10	vsTwins	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	+1200
9/10	vsTwins	Total Bases	O 0.5	0	P	-160
9/10	vsTwins	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	+550
9/10	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+125
9/10	vsTwins	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	+115
9/8	vsTwins	Hits	O 0.5	1	W	-155
9/8	vsTwins	RBIs	O 0.5	0	L	+195
9/8	vsTwins	Hits	O 2.5	1	L	+1700
9/8	vsTwins	Hits	O 1.5	1	L	+300
9/8	vsTwins	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	L	+540
9/8	vsTwins	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	L	+6500
9/8	vsTwins	RBIs	O 3.5	0	L	+5000
9/8	vsTwins	RBIs	O 2.5	0	L	+1900
9/8	vsTwins	RBIs	O 1.5	0	L	+600
9/8	vsTwins	Runs Scored	O 0.5	1	W	+145
9/8	vsTwins	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	L	+1300
9/8	vsTwins	Runs Scored	O 1.5	1	L	+1100
9/8	vsTwins	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	L	+5500
9/8	vsTwins	Total Bases	O 2.5	1	L	+280
9/8	vsTwins	Total Bases	O 3.5	1	L	+430
9/8	vsTwins	Total Bases	O 1.5	1	L	+145
9/8	vsTwins	Total Bases	O 4.5	1	L	+950
9/8	vsTwins	Total Bases	O 0.5	1	W	-185
9/8	vsTwins	Doubles	O 0.5	0	L	+500
9/8	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	2	W	+115
9/8	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	2	W	-200
9/8	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	2	L	+215
9/8	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	2	L	+400
9/8	vsTwins	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	2	L	+750
9/8	vsTwins	Singles	O 0.5	1	W	+130
9/8	vsTwins	Singles	O 1.5	1	L	+900
9/2	@Royals	Hits	O 2.5	0	L	+1800
9/2	@Royals	Hits	O 0.5	0	L	-165
9/2	@Royals	Hits	O 1.5	0	L	+330
9/2	@Royals	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	L	+950
9/2	@Royals	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	L	+15000
9/2	@Royals	RBIs	O 0.5	0	L	+250
9/2	@Royals	RBIs	O 1.5	0	L	+700
9/2	@Royals	RBIs	O 3.5	0	L	+6000
9/2	@Royals	RBIs	O 2.5	0	L	+2200
9/2	@Royals	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	L	+1300
9/2	@Royals	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	L	+180
9/2	@Royals	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	L	+1500
9/2	@Royals	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	L	+145
9/2	@Royals	Total Bases	O 3.5	0	L	+550
9/2	@Royals	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	L	+330

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matthew Lugo hit the over on hits 0.5?

Matthew Lugo hits the over on hits 0.5 41.7% of the time in 2025, going 5-7-1 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$341.

How often does Matthew Lugo hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Matthew Lugo hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.3% of the time in 2025, going 1-11-1 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$40.

How often does Matthew Lugo hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Matthew Lugo hits the over on rbis 0.5 8.3% of the time in 2025, going 1-11-1 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$800.

How often does Matthew Lugo hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Matthew Lugo hits the over on runs scored 0.5 25% of the time in 2025, going 3-9-1 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$325.

How often does Matthew Lugo hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?

Matthew Lugo hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 0% of the time in 2025, going 0-12-1 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,200.

What are Matthew Lugo's best prop bets in 2025?

Matthew Lugo's highest-hitting props in 2025: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 50% (5-5); Hits O 0.5 at 41.7% (5-7); Total Bases O 0.5 at 41.7% (5-7).