
50% HRR O 0.541.7% H O 0.541.7% TB O 0.5
Props — 202513 games with closing lines
Stolen Bases
13g0%Over: 0-12-1
0vs O 0.5+1200
vs
Twins9/10
P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 0%(4)A: 0%(9)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
44Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lugo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 0%(0-7) | 0%(0-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Bryan Woo
9/13Lugo has a wOBA of just .236 in his last 21 PA's against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Woo over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Luis Castillo
9/12Lugo has a wOBA of just .269 in his last 24 PA's.
★★★★★vs Bryce Miller
9/11Lugo has a Well-Hit Rate of just 8.3% in his last 24 AB's; League avg: 20.4%.
Game Log
Bet
$
0-14-1 Over13g · 15 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/10 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1200 |
| 9/8 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 9/8 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 9/2 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 9/1 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 9/1 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 8/31 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/27 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/23 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 5/21 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/19 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 5/18 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/17 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/16 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/14 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +880 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Matthew Lugo hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Matthew Lugo hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 0% of the time in 2025, going 0-12-1 with an average actual of 0.
Is Matthew Lugo over 0.5 stolen bases a good bet?
Based on 13 games in 2025, betting $100 on Matthew Lugo over 0.5 stolen bases at best closing odds has returned -$1,200 (-92.31% ROI). The hit rate is 0% with an average actual of 0.
What is Matthew Lugo's stolen bases average this season?
Matthew Lugo averages 0 stolen bases per game in 2025 across 13 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge