Inside Edge
Los Angeles Angels50% HRR O 0.541.7% H O 0.541.7% TB O 0.5
Props — 202513 games with closing lines
Home Runs
13g8.3%Over: 1-11-1
0vs O 0.5+650
vs
Twins9/10
Twins9/10P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 0%(4)A: 11.1%(9)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
44Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lugo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 0%(0-7) | 0%(0-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Bryan Woo
9/13Lugo has a wOBA of just .236 in his last 21 PA's against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Woo over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Luis Castillo
9/12Lugo has a wOBA of just .269 in his last 24 PA's.
★★★★★vs Bryce Miller
9/11Lugo has a Well-Hit Rate of just 8.3% in his last 24 AB's; League avg: 20.4%.
Game Log
Bet
$
1-20-1 Over13g · 22 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/10 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +650 |
| 9/8 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +540 |
| 9/8 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 9/2 | @ Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 9/2 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 9/1 | @ Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 9/1 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 8/31 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 8/31 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 5/27 | vs Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/23 | vs Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/23 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +18000 |
| 5/21 | @ Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 5/21 | @Athletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/19 | @Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/19 | @Athletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +14000 |
| 5/18 | @ Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +19000 |
| 5/18 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +870 |
| 5/17 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1060 |
| 5/16 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12000 |
| 5/16 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1050 |
| 5/14 | @ Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Matthew Lugo hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Matthew Lugo hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.3% of the time in 2025, going 1-11-1 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Matthew Lugo over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 13 games in 2025, betting $100 on Matthew Lugo over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$40 (-3.08% ROI). The hit rate is 8.3% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Matthew Lugo's home runs average this season?
Matthew Lugo averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2025 across 13 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.