
50% HRR O 0.541.7% H O 0.541.7% TB O 0.5
Props — 202513 games with closing lines
Hits+Runs+RBIs
13g41.7%Over: 5-7-1
0vs O 1.5+125
vs
Twins9/10
P✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✓
H: 33.3%(3)A: 57.1%(7)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
44Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lugo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 0%(0-7) | 0%(0-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Bryan Woo
9/13Lugo has a wOBA of just .236 in his last 21 PA's against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Woo over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Luis Castillo
9/12Lugo has a wOBA of just .269 in his last 24 PA's.
★★★★★vs Bryce Miller
9/11Lugo has a Well-Hit Rate of just 8.3% in his last 24 AB's; League avg: 20.4%.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-25-1 Over13g · 32 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/10 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +125 |
| 9/8 | vs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +115 |
| 9/8 | vs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -200 |
| 9/8 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +215 |
| 9/8 | vs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +400 |
| 9/8 | vs | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +750 |
| 9/2 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 9/2 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -210 |
| 9/2 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +240 |
| 9/2 | @ | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +475 |
| 9/2 | @ | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 9/1 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -160 |
| 9/1 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +140 |
| 9/1 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +265 |
| 9/1 | @ | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 9/1 | @ | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 8/31 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 8/31 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +160 |
| 8/31 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +330 |
| 8/31 | @ | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 8/31 | @ | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 5/27 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -130 |
| 5/23 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -150 |
| 5/21 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 5/19 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 5/18 | @ | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -180 |
| 5/17 | @ | O 0.5 | 5 | W | -160 |
| 5/16 | @ | O 0.5 | 4 | W | -175 |
| 5/14 | @ | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +490 |
| 5/14 | @ | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -175 |
| 5/14 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +230 |
| 5/14 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +100 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Matthew Lugo hit the over on hits+runs+rbis 0.5?
Matthew Lugo hits the over on hits+runs+rbis 0.5 50% of the time in 2025, going 5-5 with an average actual of 1.3.
Is Matthew Lugo over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis a good bet?
Based on 13 games in 2025, betting $100 on Matthew Lugo over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis at best closing odds has returned -$418 (-32.15% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 1.3.
What is Matthew Lugo's hits+runs+rbis average this season?
Matthew Lugo averages 1.3 hits+runs+rbis per game in 2025 across 13 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge