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Players/MLB/Chicago Cubs/Matthew Boyd
Matthew Boyd

Matthew Boyd

Chicago Cubs•Pitcher•2026
4.29ERA71K88.2IP7.2K/916G
4.29ERA71K88.2IP7.2K/916G
85.7% OUT O 17.560% BBA O 1.550% HA O 5.5
Season
Best Performer

Matthew Boyd goes over 17.5 outs recorded 85.7% of the time (6-1)

Props — 202616 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

16g
avg 4.4
37.5%Over: 6-10
3vs O 4.5-136
@Mariners8/21
✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✓✗
H: 50%(8)A: 25%(8)

Earned Runs

16g
avg 2.6
50%Over: 8-8
4vs O 2.5+114
@Mariners8/21
✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✓
H: 60%(5)A: 37.5%(8)

Hits Allowed

16g
avg 5.3
50%Over: 8-8
6vs O 5.5+125
@Mariners8/21
✓✗✗✓✗✓✗✓✗✓
H: 40%(5)A: 57.1%(7)

Walks Allowed

16g
avg 1.8
62.5%Over: 10-6
2vs O 1.5+107
@Mariners8/21
✓✓✓✗✓✓✗✗✓✗
H: 28.6%(7)A: 87.5%(8)

Outs Recorded

14g
avg 17.2
64.3%Over: 9-5
18vs O 17.5-145
@Mariners8/21
✓✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✗✗
H: 66.7%(3)A: 100%(4)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
14
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Boyd's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★33.3%(2-4)50%(3-3)50%(3-3)33.3%(2-4)100%(3-0)
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)100%(3-0)100%(2-0)
★★★★★25%(1-3)66.7%(2-1)66.7%(2-1)75%(3-1)50%(1-1)
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)—100%(1-0)—

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Emerson Hancock
8/21

Left-handed starters have an ERA of 3.38 against the Mariners since last season.

★★★★★vs Michael McGreevy
8/15

Cardinals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Boyd.

★★★★★vs Randy Dobnak
8/9

Left-handed starters have an ERA of 1.29 against the Royals in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Royals.

Game Log

Bet
$
107-137 Over244 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/21@MarinersPitcher KsO 7.53L+750
8/21@MarinersPitcher KsO 6.53L+350
8/21@MarinersPitcher KsO 3.53L-325
8/21@MarinersPitcher KsO 2.53W-900
8/21@MarinersPitcher KsO 5.53L+164
8/21@MarinersPitcher KsO 4.53L-136
8/21@MarinersOuts RecordedO 17.518W-145
8/21@MarinersPitcher KsO 8.53L+1300
8/21@MarinersEarned RunsO 2.54W+114
8/21@MarinersHits AllowedO 5.56W+125
8/21@MarinersPitcher KsO 9.53L—
8/21@MarinersPitcher KsO 1.53W—
8/21@MarinersOuts RecordedO 16.518W-154
8/21@MarinersPitcher KsO 53L—
8/21@MarinersOuts RecordedO 20.518L—
8/21@MarinersOuts RecordedO 14.518W—
8/21@MarinersWalks AllowedO 1.52W+107
8/21@MarinersPitcher KsO 10.53L—
8/15vsCardinalsOuts RecordedO 16.516L-120
8/15vsCardinalsEarned RunsO 2.57W+120
8/15vsCardinalsHits AllowedO 5.55L—
8/15vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 3.52L-267
8/15vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 6.52L+420
8/15vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 4.52L-114
8/15vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 5.52L+194
8/15vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 2.52L-700
8/15vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 1.52W—
8/15vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 7.52L+900
8/15vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 8.52L—
8/15vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 9.52L—
8/15vsCardinalsOuts RecordedO 17.516L-118
8/15vsCardinalsWalks AllowedO 1.53W—
8/15vsCardinalsOuts RecordedO 20.516L—
8/15vsCardinalsOuts RecordedO 14.516W—
8/9@RoyalsOuts RecordedO 17.521W-160
8/9@RoyalsPitcher KsO 4.53L+102
8/9@RoyalsPitcher KsO 5.53L+220
8/9@RoyalsPitcher KsO 6.53L+470
8/9@RoyalsPitcher KsO 7.53L+980
8/9@RoyalsPitcher KsO 8.53L—
8/9@RoyalsPitcher KsO 3.53L-235
8/9@RoyalsEarned RunsO 2.52L-125
8/9@RoyalsPitcher KsO 2.53W-625
8/9@RoyalsPitcher KsO 10.53L—
8/9@RoyalsPitcher KsO 1.53W-3000
8/9@RoyalsPitcher KsO 9.53L—
8/9@RoyalsHits AllowedO 5.55L-147
8/9@RoyalsPitcher KsO 53L—
8/9@RoyalsWalks AllowedO 1.53W+159
8/9@RoyalsOuts RecordedO 23.521L—

Chicago Cubs Teammates

View all
Pete Crow-ArmstrongIan HappMichael BuschAlex BregmanNico HoernerSeiya SuzukiDansby SwansonCarson KellyMiguel AmayaMichael ConfortoNicky LopezTyrone TaylorMoisés BallesterosMatt ShawShota Imanaga

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Matthew Boyd hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 6-10 with an average actual of 4.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$540.
How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Matthew Boyd hits the over on earned runs 2.5 46.2% of the time in 2026, going 6-7 with an average actual of 2.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$101.
How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Matthew Boyd hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 6-6 with an average actual of 5.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$269.
How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Matthew Boyd hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 9-6 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$251.
How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Matthew Boyd hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 85.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-1 with an average actual of 19.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$290.
What are Matthew Boyd's best prop bets in 2026?
Matthew Boyd's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 85.7% (6-1); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 60% (9-6); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 50% (6-6).

Matthew Boyd 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.16 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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