Matthew Boyd

Chicago CubsPitcher•2026

Reg5.38 ERA / 37 K / 31.8 IP / 10.5 K/9 / 7G

85.7% K O 3.575% HA O 4.560% ER O 1.5

Season

Best Performer

Matthew Boyd goes over 3.5 pitcher ks 85.7% of the time (6-1)

Props — 20267 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

avg 5.3

85.7%Over: 6-1

2vs O 3.5-400

Padres6/30

✗✓✓✓✓✓✓

H: 80%(5)A: 100%(2)

Earned Runs

avg 2.7

57.1%Over: 4-3

3vs O 2.5-153

Padres6/30

✓✗✗✓✓✗✓

H: 66.7%(3)A: 50%(2)

Hits Allowed

avg 5.3

57.1%Over: 4-3

8vs O 5.5-103

Padres6/30

✓✗✗✓✓✗✓

H: 100%(2)A: 50%(2)

Walks Allowed

avg 1.4

57.1%Over: 4-3

0vs O 1.5+103

Padres6/30

✗✓✗✓✗✓✓

H: 25%(4)A: 100%(2)

Outs Recorded

avg 14.5

33.3%Over: 2-4

15vs O 15.5+120

Padres6/30

✗✗✓✗✓✗

H: 50%(4)A: 0%(1)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.7★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Boyd's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 3.5	Earned RunsO 1.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 15.5
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	—	—	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	—
★★★★★	50%(1-1)	0%(0-1)	—	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Shane Baz

7/7

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Boyd have an ERA of 3.35 against the Orioles over the last year.

★★★★★vs JP Sears

6/30

Padres hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Boyd.

★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta

6/25

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Boyd have an ERA of 4.82 against the Mets over the last year.

Game Log

Bet

45-48 Over93 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
6/30	vsPadres	Outs Recorded	O 14.5	15	W	-157
6/30	vsPadres	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	8	W	-103
6/30	vsPadres	Earned Runs	O 3.5	3	L	+120
6/30	vsPadres	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	2	L	-175
6/30	vsPadres	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	2	L	+270
6/30	vsPadres	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	2	L	+1000
6/30	vsPadres	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	2	L	-400
6/30	vsPadres	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	2	L	+550
6/30	vsPadres	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	2	L	-1520
6/30	vsPadres	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	2	W	—
6/30	vsPadres	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	2	L	+124
6/30	vsPadres	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	2	L	—
6/30	vsPadres	Outs Recorded	O 15.5	15	L	+120
6/30	vsPadres	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	L	+103
6/30	vsPadres	Earned Runs	O 2.5	3	W	-153
6/30	vsPadres	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	2	L	—
6/25	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	4	L	+102
6/25	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	4	L	+227
6/25	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	4	L	+496
6/25	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	4	W	-500
6/25	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	4	W	-220
6/25	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	4	L	+1060
6/25	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	4	W	-3100
6/25	@Mets	Earned Runs	O 1.5	0	L	-165
6/25	@Mets	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	4	L	+124
6/25	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	4	L	—
6/25	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	4	L	—
6/25	@Mets	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	L	+121
6/25	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 0.5	4	W	—
6/25	@Mets	Outs Recorded	O 14.5	14	L	-161
6/25	@Mets	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	4	W	+122
6/25	@Mets	Outs Recorded	O 15.5	14	L	+111
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	5	W	+123
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	5	W	-485
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	5	W	-184
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	5	L	+267
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	5	L	+562
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	-118
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	4	L	+115
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Outs Recorded	O 15.5	18	W	+121
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	5	W	-2000
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	5	L	+1140
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	18	W	-105
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	5	L	+1740
5/3	vsDiamondbacks	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	-104
4/27	@Padres	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	4	L	+132
4/27	@Padres	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	4	W	-1000
4/27	@Padres	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	4	W	-350
4/27	@Padres	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	4	L	-160
4/27	@Padres	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	4	L	+273

Chicago Cubs Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?

Matthew Boyd hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 85.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-1 with an average actual of 5.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$91.

How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on earned runs 1.5?

Matthew Boyd hits the over on earned runs 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 2.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$60.

How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?

Matthew Boyd hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 75% of the time in 2026, going 3-1 with an average actual of 5.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$210.

How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?

Matthew Boyd hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 1.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2.

How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?

Matthew Boyd hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 2-3 with an average actual of 15. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$94.

What are Matthew Boyd's best prop bets in 2026?

Matthew Boyd's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 85.7% (6-1); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 75% (3-1); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 60% (3-2).