Chicago Cubs100% K O 3.5100% HA O 4.575% ER O 1.5
Season
All Matthew Boyd propsProps — 20265 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
5g60%Over: 3-2
4vs O 5.5+115
vs
Diamondbacks5/3
Diamondbacks5/3✗✓✓✗✓
H: 100%(2)A: 100%(1)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
3Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Boyd's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | — | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
5/3Diamondbacks hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Boyd.
★★★★★vs Randy Vasquez
4/27Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Boyd have an ERA of 4.51 against the Padres since last year.
★★★★★vs Yusei Kikuchi
4/1Angels hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Boyd.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-2 Over5g · 7 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/3 | vsDiamondbacks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 4/27 | @ Padres | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -144 |
| 4/27 | @Padres | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +110 |
| 4/22 | vs Phillies | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -164 |
| 4/22 | vsPhillies | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +115 |
| 4/1 | vs Angels | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -102 |
| 3/26 | vs Nationals | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +126 |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Matthew Boyd hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 100% of the time in 2026, going 3-0 with an average actual of 6.3.
Is Matthew Boyd over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 5 games in 2026, betting $100 on Matthew Boyd over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$110 (+22% ROI). The hit rate is 100% with an average actual of 6.3.
What is Matthew Boyd's hits allowed average this season?
Matthew Boyd averages 6.3 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 5 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge