Chicago Cubs87.5% K O 3.560% ER O 1.560% HA O 4.5
Season
All Matthew Boyd propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
8g50%Over: 4-4
3vs O 4.5-117
@
Orioles7/7
Orioles7/7✗✓✗✗✓✓✗✓
H: 100%(2)A: 33.3%(3)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
6Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Boyd's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shane Baz
7/7Pitchers with similar repertoires to Boyd have an ERA of 3.35 against the Orioles over the last year.
★★★★★vs JP Sears
6/30Padres hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Boyd.
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
6/25Pitchers with similar repertoires to Boyd have an ERA of 4.82 against the Mets over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-5 Over8g · 12 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | @Orioles | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -117 |
| 7/7 | @Orioles | O 2.5 | 3 | W | — |
| 7/7 | @Orioles | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +127 |
| 6/30 | vs Padres | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -103 |
| 6/25 | @ Mets | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +124 |
| 5/3 | vs Diamondbacks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 4/27 | @Padres | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -144 |
| 4/27 | @Padres | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +110 |
| 4/22 | vs Phillies | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -164 |
| 4/22 | vsPhillies | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +115 |
| 4/1 | vs Angels | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -102 |
| 3/26 | vs Nationals | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +126 |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Matthew Boyd hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 5.2.
Is Matthew Boyd over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Matthew Boyd over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$8 (+1% ROI). The hit rate is 60% with an average actual of 5.2.
What is Matthew Boyd's hits allowed average this season?
Matthew Boyd averages 5.2 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge