
100% K O 3.5100% HA O 4.575% ER O 1.5
Season
All Matthew Boyd propsProps — 20265 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
5g60%Over: 3-2
2vs O 2.5-118
vs
Diamondbacks5/3
✗✓✓✗✓
H: 66.7%(3)A: 100%(1)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
3Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Boyd's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | — | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
5/3Diamondbacks hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Boyd.
★★★★★vs Randy Vasquez
4/27Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Boyd have an ERA of 4.51 against the Padres since last year.
★★★★★vs Yusei Kikuchi
4/1Angels hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Boyd.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-2 Over5g · 6 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/3 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -118 |
| 4/27 | @ | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -167 |
| 4/27 | @ | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +105 |
| 4/22 | vs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +105 |
| 4/1 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +106 |
| 3/26 | vs | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -105 |
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Matthew Boyd hits the over on earned runs 1.5 75% of the time in 2026, going 3-1 with an average actual of 3.5.
Is Matthew Boyd over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 5 games in 2026, betting $100 on Matthew Boyd over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$60 (+12% ROI). The hit rate is 75% with an average actual of 3.5.
What is Matthew Boyd's earned runs average this season?
Matthew Boyd averages 3.5 earned runs per game in 2026 across 5 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.

Inside Edge