Chicago Cubs87.5% K O 3.560% ER O 1.560% HA O 4.5
Season
All Matthew Boyd propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
8g50%Over: 4-4
0vs O 2.5+112
@
Orioles7/7
Orioles7/7✗✓✗✗✓✓✗✓
H: 66.7%(3)A: 50%(2)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
6Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Boyd's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shane Baz
7/7Pitchers with similar repertoires to Boyd have an ERA of 3.35 against the Orioles over the last year.
★★★★★vs JP Sears
6/30Padres hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Boyd.
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
6/25Pitchers with similar repertoires to Boyd have an ERA of 4.82 against the Mets over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-6 Over8g · 11 props
Chicago Cubs Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matthew Boyd hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Matthew Boyd hits the over on earned runs 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 2.8.
Is Matthew Boyd over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Matthew Boyd over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$75 (-9.37% ROI). The hit rate is 60% with an average actual of 2.8.
What is Matthew Boyd's earned runs average this season?
Matthew Boyd averages 2.8 earned runs per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.
Inside Edge