Inside Edge
Philadelphia Phillies80% HA O 4.571.4% ER O 1.570% K O 4.5
Season
Best Performer
Jesus Luzardo goes over 3.5 pitcher ks 88.9% of the time (8-1)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Luzardo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Chase Burns
5/19Current Reds hitters have an OPS of .606 against hard-throwing left-handed pitchers like Luzardo over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Ranger Suarez
5/14Pitchers with similar repertoires to Luzardo have an ERA of 3.74 against the Red Sox over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Red Sox.
★★★★★vs Chase Dollander
5/8Left-handed starters have an ERA of 5.27 against the Rockies in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
65-76 Over141 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vs Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | +490 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -1940 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -289 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -146 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +265 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -670 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | -146 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +136 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 11.5 | 5 | L | +1460 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 5 | L | +820 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +124 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -135 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -172 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -194 |
| 5/14 | @ Red Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +135 |
| 5/14 | @Red Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -625 |
| 5/14 | @Red Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 4 | L | +780 |
| 5/14 | @Red Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | -140 |
| 5/14 | @Red Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +250 |
| 5/14 | @Red Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 4 | L | +470 |
| 5/14 | @Red Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -275 |
| 5/14 | @Red Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -1960 |
| 5/14 | @Red Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 11.5 | 4 | L | +1440 |
| 5/14 | @Red Sox | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 5/14 | @Red Sox | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -159 |
| 5/14 | @Red Sox | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -171 |
| 5/8 | vs Rockies | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 6 | L | +270 |
| 5/8 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 6 | L | +490 |
| 5/8 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 12.5 | 6 | L | +1260 |
| 5/8 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | -148 |
| 5/8 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | -295 |
| 5/8 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 11.5 | 6 | L | +720 |
| 5/8 | vsRockies | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 9 | L | -102 |
| 5/8 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -1700 |
| 5/8 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -625 |
| 5/8 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +140 |
| 5/8 | vsRockies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -115 |
| 5/8 | vsRockies | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -115 |
| 5/8 | vsRockies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -107 |
| 5/3 | @ Marlins | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 19 | W | -165 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 10 | W | +100 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 10 | W | -1200 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 10 | W | -400 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 10 | W | -200 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 10 | W | +188 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 10 | W | +360 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 10 | W | +640 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 10 | L | +1100 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -150 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Jesus Luzardo hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 70% of the time in 2026, going 7-3 with an average actual of 6.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$170.
How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Jesus Luzardo hits the over on earned runs 1.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2 with an average actual of 3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$143.
How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Jesus Luzardo hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 80% of the time in 2026, going 8-2 with an average actual of 5.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$340.
How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Jesus Luzardo hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$175.
How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Jesus Luzardo hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-3 with an average actual of 17.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$29.
What are Jesus Luzardo's best prop bets in 2026?
Jesus Luzardo's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 80% (8-2); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 71.4% (5-2); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 70% (7-3).