Jesus Luzardo

Philadelphia PhilliesPitcher•2026

Reg4.31 ERA / 125 K / 100.3 IP / 11.2 K/9 / 18G

77.8% K O 4.573.3% HA O 4.562.5% BBA O 1.5

Season

Best Performer

Jesus Luzardo goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (9-0)

Props — 202618 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

18g

avg 6.9

77.8%Over: 14-4

9vs O 4.5-400

Royals7/4

✓✓✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✗

H: 75%(8)A: 80%(10)

Earned Runs

18g

avg 2.7

33.3%Over: 6-12

1vs O 2.5+115

Royals7/4

✗✗✓✗✗✓✗✗✗✗

H: 40%(5)A: 11.1%(9)

Hits Allowed

18g

avg 5.5

66.7%Over: 12-6

4vs O 5.5-112

Royals7/4

✗✗✓✓✗✓✓✗✓✗

H: 87.5%(8)A: 57.1%(7)

Walks Allowed

18g

avg 1.8

61.1%Over: 11-7

0vs O 1.5-124

Royals7/4

✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✗

H: 62.5%(8)A: 62.5%(8)

Outs Recorded

17g

avg 17.2

58.8%Over: 10-7

18vs O 17.5-153

Royals7/4

✓✗✓✓✗✓✗✓✓✗

H: 71.4%(7)A: 55.6%(9)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3★★★★★

5-Star Games

2(11%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Luzardo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★	100%(2-0)	0%(0-2)	50%(1-1)	100%(1-0)	100%(2-0)
★★★★★	40%(2-3)	40%(2-3)	100%(4-0)	75%(3-1)	40%(2-3)
★★★★★	80%(4-1)	0%(0-2)	50%(2-2)	40%(2-3)	66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★	100%(3-0)	33.3%(1-2)	50%(1-1)	100%(3-0)	66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★	100%(3-0)	0%(0-2)	100%(3-0)	33.3%(1-2)	66.7%(2-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Michael Wacha

7/4

Left-handed starters have an ERA of 3.06 against the Royals since last season, but other matchup data favors the Royals.

★★★★★vs Cionel Pérez

6/28

Several hitters in the Mets lineup have a 5-star matchup against Luzardo today.

★★★★★vs PJ Poulin

6/23

Nationals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Luzardo.

Game Log

Bet

133-130 Over263 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/4	@Royals	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	18	W	-153
7/4	@Royals	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	4	L	-112
7/4	@Royals	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	L	-124
7/4	@Royals	Earned Runs	O 2.5	1	L	+115
7/4	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	9	W	+107
7/4	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	9	L	+820
7/4	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	9	W	+413
7/4	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	9	W	-1040
7/4	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	9	W	-4000
7/4	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	9	W	+212
7/4	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	9	W	-400
7/4	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	9	W	-190
7/4	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	9	W	—
7/4	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	9	L	+1600
7/4	@Royals	Outs Recorded	O 18.5	18	L	—
6/28	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	6	L	+265
6/28	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	6	W	-700
6/28	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	6	L	+134
6/28	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	6	W	-2200
6/28	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	6	L	+520
6/28	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	6	L	-153
6/28	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	6	W	-300
6/28	@Mets	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	4	L	-160
6/28	@Mets	Outs Recorded	O 18.5	15	L	+150
6/28	@Mets	Earned Runs	O 1.5	1	L	—
6/28	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	6	W	—
6/28	@Mets	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	15	L	-159
6/28	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	6	W	—
6/28	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 11.5	6	L	+1800
6/28	@Mets	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	4	L	+120
6/28	@Mets	Earned Runs	O 2.5	1	L	+127
6/28	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	6	L	+950
6/28	@Mets	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	3	W	-159
6/28	@Mets	Pitcher Ks	O 12.5	6	L	—
6/23	@Nationals	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	13	W	-283
6/23	@Nationals	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	13	W	-134
6/23	@Nationals	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	13	W	-670
6/23	@Nationals	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	13	W	+581
6/23	@Nationals	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	13	W	+150
6/23	@Nationals	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	13	W	+298
6/23	@Nationals	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	13	W	-2100
6/23	@Nationals	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	13	W	—
6/23	@Nationals	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	13	W	+1100
6/23	@Nationals	Outs Recorded	O 18.5	20	W	+145
6/23	@Nationals	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	6	W	+120
6/23	@Nationals	Earned Runs	O 2.5	5	W	+126
6/23	@Nationals	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	13	W	—
6/23	@Nationals	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	3	W	-158
6/23	@Nationals	Earned Runs	O 1.5	5	W	-177
6/23	@Nationals	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	20	W	-142

Philadelphia Phillies Teammates

View all

Kyle Schwarber Bryce Harper Trea Turner Brandon Marsh Alec Bohm Bryson Stott J.T. Realmuto Justin Crawford Edmundo Sosa Derek Hill Gabriel Rincones Jr.Felix Reyes Garrett Stubbs Otto Kemp Aaron Nola

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?

Jesus Luzardo hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 77.8% of the time in 2026, going 14-4 with an average actual of 6.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$55.

How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on earned runs 2.5?

Jesus Luzardo hits the over on earned runs 2.5 21.4% of the time in 2026, going 3-11 with an average actual of 2.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$642.

How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?

Jesus Luzardo hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 73.3% of the time in 2026, going 11-4 with an average actual of 5.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$342.

How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?

Jesus Luzardo hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 10-6 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$154.

How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?

Jesus Luzardo hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 10-6 with an average actual of 17.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$57.

What are Jesus Luzardo's best prop bets in 2026?

Jesus Luzardo's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 77.8% (14-4); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 73.3% (11-4); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 62.5% (10-6).