Philadelphia Phillies77.8% K O 4.573.3% HA O 4.562.5% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Jesus Luzardo propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
18g33.3%Over: 6-12
1vs O 2.5+115
@
Royals7/4
Royals7/4✗✗✓✗✗✓✗✗✗✗
H: 40%(5)A: 11.1%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(11%)
Total Matchups
19Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Luzardo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 100%(4-0) | 75%(3-1) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(2-2) | 40%(2-3) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(3-0) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Michael Wacha
7/4Left-handed starters have an ERA of 3.06 against the Royals since last season, but other matchup data favors the Royals.
★★★★★vs Cionel Pérez
6/28Several hitters in the Mets lineup have a 5-star matchup against Luzardo today.
★★★★★vs PJ Poulin
6/23Nationals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Luzardo.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-15 Over18g · 26 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | @Royals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 6/28 | @ Mets | O 1.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 6/28 | @Mets | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +127 |
| 6/23 | @ Nationals | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +126 |
| 6/23 | @Nationals | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -177 |
| 6/16 | vs Marlins | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -175 |
| 6/16 | vsMarlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +131 |
| 6/10 | @ Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +108 |
| 6/5 | vs White Sox | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -170 |
| 6/5 | vsWhite Sox | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +120 |
| 5/30 | @ Dodgers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -104 |
| 5/25 | @ Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -165 |
| 5/25 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 5/19 | vs Reds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +124 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -172 |
| 5/14 | @ Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 5/8 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -115 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -165 |
| 4/28 | vs Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -159 |
| 4/28 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 4/21 | @ Cubs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +103 |
| 4/15 | vsCubs | O 2.5 | 8 | W | +113 |
| 4/10 | vs Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -148 |
| 4/4 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +113 |
| 3/29 | vs Rangers | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -130 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Jesus Luzardo hits the over on earned runs 2.5 21.4% of the time in 2026, going 3-11 with an average actual of 2.2.
Is Jesus Luzardo over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jesus Luzardo over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$518 (-28.78% ROI). The hit rate is 21.4% with an average actual of 2.2.
What is Jesus Luzardo's earned runs average this season?
Jesus Luzardo averages 2.2 earned runs per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge