Inside Edge
Philadelphia Phillies80% HA O 4.571.4% ER O 1.570% K O 4.5
Season
All Jesus Luzardo propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g60%Over: 6-4
2vs O 1.5-172
vs
Reds5/19
Reds5/19✓✗✓✓✗✗✓✓✗✓
H: 80%(5)A: 50%(2)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Luzardo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Chase Burns
5/19Current Reds hitters have an OPS of .606 against hard-throwing left-handed pitchers like Luzardo over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Ranger Suarez
5/14Pitchers with similar repertoires to Luzardo have an ERA of 3.74 against the Red Sox over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Red Sox.
★★★★★vs Chase Dollander
5/8Left-handed starters have an ERA of 5.27 against the Rockies in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-7 Over10g · 13 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +124 |
| 5/19 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -172 |
| 5/14 | @ Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 5/8 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -115 |
| 5/3 | @ Marlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -165 |
| 4/28 | vs Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -159 |
| 4/28 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +145 |
| 4/21 | @ Cubs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +103 |
| 4/15 | vsCubs | O 2.5 | 8 | W | +113 |
| 4/10 | vs Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -148 |
| 4/4 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +113 |
| 3/29 | vs Rangers | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -130 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Jesus Luzardo hits the over on earned runs 1.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2 with an average actual of 3.
Is Jesus Luzardo over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jesus Luzardo over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$155 (+15.5% ROI). The hit rate is 71.4% with an average actual of 3.
What is Jesus Luzardo's earned runs average this season?
Jesus Luzardo averages 3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.