Inside Edge
Philadelphia Phillies80% HA O 4.571.4% ER O 1.570% K O 4.5
Season
All Jesus Luzardo propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
10g80%Over: 8-2
5vs O 4.5-135
vs
Reds5/19
Reds5/19✓✗✓✓✗✓✓✓✓✓
H: 83.3%(6)A: 75%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Luzardo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Chase Burns
5/19Current Reds hitters have an OPS of .606 against hard-throwing left-handed pitchers like Luzardo over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Ranger Suarez
5/14Pitchers with similar repertoires to Luzardo have an ERA of 3.74 against the Red Sox over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Red Sox.
★★★★★vs Chase Dollander
5/8Left-handed starters have an ERA of 5.27 against the Rockies in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
10-5 Over10g · 15 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vsReds | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -135 |
| 5/14 | @ Red Sox | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -159 |
| 5/8 | vs Rockies | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -115 |
| 5/3 | @ Marlins | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -150 |
| 5/3 | @Marlins | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +120 |
| 4/28 | vs Giants | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -130 |
| 4/21 | @ Cubs | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +118 |
| 4/21 | @Cubs | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 4/15 | vsCubs | O 5.5 | 12 | W | +120 |
| 4/15 | vsCubs | O 4.5 | 12 | W | -140 |
| 4/10 | vs Diamondbacks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +120 |
| 4/10 | vsDiamondbacks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -165 |
| 4/4 | @Rockies | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -163 |
| 4/4 | @Rockies | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +100 |
| 3/29 | vs Rangers | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +120 |
Philadelphia Phillies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jesus Luzardo hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Jesus Luzardo hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 80% of the time in 2026, going 8-2 with an average actual of 5.8.
Is Jesus Luzardo over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jesus Luzardo over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$340 (+34% ROI). The hit rate is 80% with an average actual of 5.8.
What is Jesus Luzardo's hits allowed average this season?
Jesus Luzardo averages 5.8 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.