Chase Burns

Cincinnati RedsPitcher•2026

Reg2.42 ERA / 116 K / 96.5 IP / 10.8 K/9 / 17G

76.5% K O 4.561.5% ER O 1.557.1% OUT O 17.5

Season

Best Performer

Chase Burns goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (5-0-1)

Props — 202618 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

18g

avg 6.4

76.5%Over: 13-4-1

4vs O 4.5-990

Brewers7/2

✗✓✓✓✓✓P✓✓✓

H: 55.6%(9)A: 88.9%(9)

Earned Runs

18g

avg 1.4

47.1%Over: 8-9-1

2vs O 1.5-185

Brewers7/2

✓✓✗✗✓✓P✓✗✗

H: 42.9%(7)A: 71.4%(7)

Outs Recorded

18g

avg 16.3

64.7%Over: 11-6-1

18vs O 17.5-115

Brewers7/2

✓✓✗✗✗✓P✗✓✓

H: 57.1%(7)A: 50%(8)

Hits Allowed

17g

avg 4.2

37.5%Over: 6-10-1

4vs O 4.5+114

Brewers7/2

✗✓✓✗✓✗P✗✗✗

H: 28.6%(7)A: 44.4%(9)

Walks Allowed

16g

avg 1.7

46.7%Over: 7-8-1

2vs O 1.5-190

Brewers7/2

✓✗✓✓✗P✗✗✓✓

H: 57.1%(7)A: 40%(5)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.1★★★★★

5-Star Games

2(11%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Burns's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 17.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★	100%(2-0)	50%(1-1)	0%(0-1)	100%(2-0)	50%(1-1)
★★★★★	66.7%(4-2)	40%(2-3)	40%(2-3)	40%(2-3)	50%(2-2)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	100%(1-0)	100%(2-0)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	66.7%(4-2)	80%(4-1)	50%(3-3)	33.3%(2-4)	66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski

7/2

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Burns have an ERA of 4.63 against the Brewers over the last year.

★★★★★vs Jared Jones

6/27

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Burns have an ERA of 4.84 against the Pirates over the last year.

★★★★★vs Elmer Rodríguez

6/21

Yankees hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Burns.

Game Log

Bet

114-125-15 Over254 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/2	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	4	L	-391
7/2	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	4	L	+408
7/2	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	4	W	-3100
7/2	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	4	L	-990
7/2	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	4	L	-186
7/2	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	4	L	+109
7/2	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	4	L	+212
7/2	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 12.5	4	L	—
7/2	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	4	L	+780
7/2	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	4	W	—
7/2	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 11.5	4	L	+1520
7/2	@Brewers	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	4	W	—
7/2	@Brewers	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	+124
7/2	@Brewers	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	18	W	-115
7/2	@Brewers	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	4	L	+114
7/2	@Brewers	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	2	W	-190
7/2	@Brewers	Earned Runs	O 1.5	2	W	-185
7/2	@Brewers	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	18	W	-120
6/27	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	10	W	-790
6/27	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	10	W	+234
6/27	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	10	W	-162
6/27	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	10	W	+453
6/27	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	10	W	-339
6/27	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	10	W	-2500
6/27	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	10	W	+123
6/27	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 11.5	10	L	+1680
6/27	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	10	W	—
6/27	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	10	L	+860
6/27	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 12.5	10	L	—
6/27	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	10	W	—
6/27	@Pirates	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	18	W	-130
6/27	@Pirates	Earned Runs	O 1.5	5	W	-145
6/27	@Pirates	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	9	W	-105
6/27	@Pirates	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	L	—
6/21	@Yankees	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	15	L	-106
6/21	@Yankees	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	5	W	+123
6/21	@Yankees	Earned Runs	O 2.5	1	L	+120
6/21	@Yankees	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	7	L	+113
6/21	@Yankees	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	7	L	+439
6/21	@Yankees	Pitcher Ks	O 11.5	7	L	+1660
6/21	@Yankees	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	7	W	-175
6/21	@Yankees	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	7	W	-375
6/21	@Yankees	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	7	W	-890
6/21	@Yankees	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	7	W	-2700
6/21	@Yankees	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	7	L	+223
6/21	@Yankees	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	7	L	+880
6/21	@Yankees	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	7	W	—
6/21	@Yankees	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	7	W	—
6/21	@Yankees	Outs Recorded	O 15.5	15	L	—
6/21	@Yankees	Walks Allowed	O 2.5	3	W	-101

Cincinnati Reds Teammates

View all

Sal Stewart Matt McLain Spencer Steer Tyler Stephenson Elly De La Cruz JJ Bleday Nathaniel Lowe TJ Friedl Ke'Bryan Hayes Blake Dunn Will Benson Noelvi Marte Dane Myers Edwin Arroyo Jose Trevino

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Chase Burns hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?

Chase Burns hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 76.5% of the time in 2026, going 13-4-1 with an average actual of 6.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$164.

How often does Chase Burns hit the over on earned runs 1.5?

Chase Burns hits the over on earned runs 1.5 61.5% of the time in 2026, going 8-5-1 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$53.

How often does Chase Burns hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?

Chase Burns hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 8-6-1 with an average actual of 16.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$169.

How often does Chase Burns hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?

Chase Burns hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 6-9-1 with an average actual of 4.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$174.

How often does Chase Burns hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?

Chase Burns hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 54.5% of the time in 2026, going 6-5-1 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$32.

What are Chase Burns's best prop bets in 2026?

Chase Burns's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 76.5% (13-4); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 61.5% (8-5); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 57.1% (8-6).