Inside Edge
Cincinnati Reds71.4% OUT O 17.570% K O 4.557.1% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Chase Burns goes over 3.5 pitcher ks 87.5% of the time (7-1)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Burns's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo
5/19Not enough matchup data.
★★★★★vs Foster Griffin
5/14Pitchers with similar repertoires to Burns have an ERA of 5.08 against the Nationals over the last year.
★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti
5/9Current Astros hitters have struck out 17.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Burns over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
60-73 Over133 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | @ Phillies | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -130 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 9 | W | +135 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 9 | W | -750 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -300 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -155 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 9 | W | +410 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 9 | W | -2400 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 9 | L | +1140 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 9 | W | +250 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 9 | L | +650 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +104 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -160 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +117 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 5/14 | vs Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -1840 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 7 | L | +290 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 7 | L | +550 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | -128 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -160 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Pitcher Ks | O 11.5 | 7 | L | +1680 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -620 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -275 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 7 | L | +950 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +152 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +100 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -167 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +146 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -203 |
| 5/9 | vs Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 2 | L | +490 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -1680 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 2 | L | +250 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +132 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | -144 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | -286 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -620 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -114 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 2 | L | +650 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 11.5 | 2 | L | +1200 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +100 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +118 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -149 |
| 5/3 | @ Pirates | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 21 | W | +102 |
| 5/3 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +162 |
| 5/3 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -1880 |
| 5/3 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -550 |
| 5/3 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -250 |
| 5/3 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | -125 |
Cincinnati Reds Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chase Burns hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Chase Burns hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 70% of the time in 2026, going 7-3 with an average actual of 6.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$145.
How often does Chase Burns hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Chase Burns hits the over on earned runs 1.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$278.
How often does Chase Burns hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Chase Burns hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2 with an average actual of 18. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$240.
How often does Chase Burns hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Chase Burns hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 4.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$113.
How often does Chase Burns hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Chase Burns hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3 with an average actual of 2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$46.
What are Chase Burns's best prop bets in 2026?
Chase Burns's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 71.4% (5-2); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 70% (7-3); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 57.1% (4-3).