Chase Burns

Cincinnati RedsPitcher•2026

Reg1.85 ERA / 64 K / 58.3 IP / 9.9 K/9 / 10G

71.4% OUT O 17.570% K O 4.557.1% BBA O 1.5

Season

All Chase Burns props

Props — 202610 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

10g

avg 6.4

70%Over: 7-3

9vs O 4.5-300

Phillies5/19

✓✓✗✓✓✓✗✗✓✓

H: 50%(6)A: 100%(4)

Seasonality

Mar

100%1-0

Apr

60%3-2

May

75%3-1

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.2★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(10%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Burns's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 17.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	—	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	75%(3-1)	50%(2-2)	66.7%(2-1)	66.7%(2-1)	66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★	50%(1-1)	—	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)	0%(0-2)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo

5/19

Not enough matchup data.

★★★★★vs Foster Griffin

5/14

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Burns have an ERA of 5.08 against the Nationals over the last year.

★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti

5/9

Current Astros hitters have struck out 17.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Burns over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet

37-48 Over10g · 85 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/19	@Phillies	O 6.5	9	W	+135
5/19	@Phillies	O 3.5	9	W	-750
5/19	@Phillies	O 4.5	9	W	-300
5/19	@Phillies	O 5.5	9	W	-155
5/19	@Phillies	O 8.5	9	W	+410
5/19	@Phillies	O 2.5	9	W	-2400
5/19	@Phillies	O 10.5	9	L	+1140
5/19	@Phillies	O 7.5	9	W	+250
5/19	@Phillies	O 9.5	9	L	+650
5/14	vsNationals	O 3.5	7	W	-1840
5/14	vsNationals	O 8.5	7	L	+290
5/14	vsNationals	O 9.5	7	L	+550
5/14	vsNationals	O 6.5	7	W	-128
5/14	vsNationals	O 11.5	7	L	+1680
5/14	vsNationals	O 4.5	7	W	-620
5/14	vsNationals	O 5.5	7	W	-275
5/14	vsNationals	O 10.5	7	L	+950
5/14	vsNationals	O 7.5	7	L	+152
5/9	vsAstros	O 9.5	2	L	+490
5/9	vsAstros	O 3.5	2	L	-1680
5/9	vsAstros	O 8.5	2	L	+250
5/9	vsAstros	O 7.5	2	L	+132
5/9	vsAstros	O 6.5	2	L	-144
5/9	vsAstros	O 5.5	2	L	-286
5/9	vsAstros	O 4.5	2	L	-620
5/9	vsAstros	O 10.5	2	L	+650
5/9	vsAstros	O 11.5	2	L	+1200
5/3	@Pirates	O 7.5	7	L	+162
5/3	@Pirates	O 3.5	7	W	-1880
5/3	@Pirates	O 4.5	7	W	-550
5/3	@Pirates	O 5.5	7	W	-250
5/3	@Pirates	O 6.5	7	W	-125
5/3	@Pirates	O 8.5	7	L	+310
5/3	@Pirates	O 9.5	7	L	+580
5/3	@Pirates	O 10.5	7	L	+970
5/3	@Pirates	O 11.5	7	L	+1800
4/28	vsRockies	O 6.5	9	W	-154
4/28	vsRockies	O 3.5	9	W	-2100
4/28	vsRockies	O 4.5	9	W	-700
4/28	vsRockies	O 5.5	9	W	-300
4/28	vsRockies	O 7.5	9	W	+130
4/28	vsRockies	O 8.5	9	W	+250
4/28	vsRockies	O 9.5	9	L	+444
4/28	vsRockies	O 10.5	9	L	+810
4/28	vsRockies	O 11.5	9	L	+1500
4/21	@Rays	O 5.5	8	W	-104
4/21	@Rays	O 2.5	8	W	-3000
4/21	@Rays	O 3.5	8	W	-500
4/21	@Rays	O 4.5	8	W	-220
4/21	@Rays	O 6.5	8	W	+190

Cincinnati Reds Teammates

View all

Elly De La Cruz Sal Stewart Matt McLain Spencer Steer Ke'Bryan Hayes Tyler Stephenson TJ Friedl Will Benson Nathaniel Lowe JJ Bleday Rece Hinds Dane Myers Noelvi Marte Jose Trevino Blake Dunn

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Chase Burns hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?

Chase Burns hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 70% of the time in 2026, going 7-3 with an average actual of 6.4.

Is Chase Burns over 4.5 pitcher ks a good bet?

Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Chase Burns over 4.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned -$145 (-14.5% ROI). The hit rate is 70% with an average actual of 6.4.

What is Chase Burns's pitcher ks average this season?

Chase Burns averages 6.4 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.