Cincinnati Reds76.5% K O 4.561.5% ER O 1.557.1% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Chase Burns propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
17g37.5%Over: 6-10-1
4vs O 4.5+114
@
Brewers7/2
Brewers7/2✗✓✓✗✓✗P✗✗✗
H: 28.6%(7)A: 44.4%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(11%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Burns's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(4-2) | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(4-2) | 80%(4-1) | 50%(3-3) | 33.3%(2-4) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
7/2Pitchers with similar repertoires to Burns have an ERA of 4.63 against the Brewers over the last year.
★★★★★vs Jared Jones
6/27Pitchers with similar repertoires to Burns have an ERA of 4.84 against the Pirates over the last year.
★★★★★vs Elmer Rodríguez
6/21Yankees hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Burns.
Game Log
Bet
$
10-11-1 Over17g · 22 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/2 | @Brewers | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +114 |
| 6/27 | @ Pirates | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -105 |
| 6/21 | @ Yankees | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +123 |
| 6/21 | @Yankees | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -167 |
| 6/15 | vs Mets | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +105 |
| 6/9 | @ Padres | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -159 |
| 6/9 | @Padres | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +121 |
| 6/3 | vs Royals | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +110 |
| 6/1 | vsRoyals | O 4.5 | 0 | P | +125 |
| 5/26 | @Mets | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +117 |
| 5/19 | @ Phillies | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -160 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +117 |
| 5/14 | vs Nationals | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +100 |
| 5/9 | vs Astros | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +100 |
| 5/3 | @Pirates | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +109 |
| 4/28 | vs Rockies | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +107 |
| 4/21 | @ Rays | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +113 |
| 4/10 | vs Angels | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -108 |
| 4/10 | vsAngels | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +130 |
| 4/5 | @ Rangers | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -127 |
| 4/5 | @Rangers | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +150 |
| 3/30 | vsPirates | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -115 |
Cincinnati Reds Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chase Burns hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Chase Burns hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 6-9-1 with an average actual of 4.4.
Is Chase Burns over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2026, betting $100 on Chase Burns over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$274 (-16.12% ROI). The hit rate is 40% with an average actual of 4.4.
What is Chase Burns's hits allowed average this season?
Chase Burns averages 4.4 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge