Inside Edge
Cincinnati Reds71.4% OUT O 17.570% K O 4.557.1% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Chase Burns propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g30%Over: 3-7
1vs O 2.5+120
@
Phillies5/19
Phillies5/19✗✗✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✗
H: 40%(5)A: 33.3%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Burns's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo
5/19Not enough matchup data.
★★★★★vs Foster Griffin
5/14Pitchers with similar repertoires to Burns have an ERA of 5.08 against the Nationals over the last year.
★★★★★vs Spencer Arrighetti
5/9Current Astros hitters have struck out 17.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Burns over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
3-9 Over10g · 12 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | @Phillies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 5/14 | vs Nationals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -167 |
| 5/9 | vs Astros | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +118 |
| 5/3 | @ Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -152 |
| 4/28 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -161 |
| 4/21 | @ Rays | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -141 |
| 4/16 | vs Giants | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 4/10 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -112 |
| 4/5 | @ Rangers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 3/30 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -130 |
Cincinnati Reds Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chase Burns hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Chase Burns hits the over on earned runs 1.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 1.4.
Is Chase Burns over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Chase Burns over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$478 (-47.8% ROI). The hit rate is 37.5% with an average actual of 1.4.
What is Chase Burns's earned runs average this season?
Chase Burns averages 1.4 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.