How Burns's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 6.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(3-3) | 16.7%(1-5) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(3-3) | 66.7%(4-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 62.5%(5-3) | 57.1%(4-3) | 50%(1-1) | 42.9%(3-4) | 66.7%(4-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(4-2) | 80%(4-1) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(2-4) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
Current Cardinals hitters have struck out 25.9% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Burns over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.16 against the Marlins in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Marlins.
Pitchers with similar repertoires to Burns have an ERA of 5.81 against the Nationals over the last year.
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/19 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 8/19 | vs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -157 |
| 8/14 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 8/14 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -175 |
| 8/8 | @ | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +116 |
| 8/2 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 8/2 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +127 |
| 7/28 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +122 |
| 7/28 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -185 |
| 7/27 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +125 |
| 7/27 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 7/21 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/21 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -135 |
| 7/8 | vs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +131 |
| 7/8 | vs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -180 |
| 7/2 | @ | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +124 |
| 7/2 | @ | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -185 |
| 6/27 | @ | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -145 |
| 6/21 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 6/15 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +118 |
| 6/9 | @ | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -124 |
| 6/3 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 6/3 | vs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -159 |
| 6/1 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -166 |
| 6/1 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +130 |
| 5/26 | @ | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -155 |
| 5/19 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 5/14 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/14 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -167 |
| 5/9 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
| 5/9 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +118 |
| 5/3 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -152 |
| 4/28 | vs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -161 |
| 4/21 | @ | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -141 |
| 4/16 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 4/10 | vs | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -112 |
| 4/5 | @ | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 3/30 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -130 |