
60% ER O 2.560% K O 2.550% HA O 5.5
Season
Best Performer
Brandon Pfaadt goes over 2.5 earned runs 60% of the time (3-2)
Props — 20265 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
29Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Pfaadt's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | — | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Walker Buehler
7/6Current Padres hitters have struck out 23.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Pfaadt over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Padres.
★★★★★vs Justin Wrobleski
6/4Current Dodgers are batting .303 in their last 89 AB's against Pfaadt.
★★★★★vs Shohei Ohtani
6/3RHP's who have a similar repertoire to Pfaadt have an ERA of 5.08 against the Dodgers over the last 2 years.
Game Log
Bet
$
28-38 Over66 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/6 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -146 |
| 7/6 | @ | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -141 |
| 7/6 | @ | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +122 |
| 7/6 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +200 |
| 7/6 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -291 |
| 7/6 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +450 |
| 7/6 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -120 |
| 7/6 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +780 |
| 7/6 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -890 |
| 7/6 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 6 | L | — |
| 7/6 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | — |
| 7/6 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +1580 |
| 7/6 | @ | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +111 |
| 7/6 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 6 | W | — |
| 7/6 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | — |
| 7/6 | @ | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +135 |
| 6/30 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +1320 |
| 6/30 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -2600 |
| 6/30 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +137 |
| 6/30 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -168 |
| 6/30 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -461 |
| 6/30 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +300 |
| 6/30 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +640 |
| 6/30 | vs | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -115 |
| 6/30 | vs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 6/30 | vs | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -150 |
| 6/30 | vs | Outs Recorded | O 11.5 | 16 | W | -165 |
| 6/30 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 6/30 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 6/30 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 6/30 | vs | Outs Recorded | O 12.5 | 16 | W | — |
| 4/11 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -116 |
| 4/11 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +101 |
| 4/11 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -2600 |
| 4/11 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -610 |
| 4/11 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -225 |
| 4/11 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +214 |
| 4/11 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +455 |
| 4/11 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +920 |
| 4/11 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +1800 |
| 4/11 | @ | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -115 |
| 4/11 | @ | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -123 |
| 4/11 | @ | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -140 |
| 4/5 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +119 |
| 4/5 | vs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -120 |
| 4/5 | vs | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -145 |
| 4/5 | vs | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +125 |
| 4/5 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -499 |
| 4/5 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -190 |
| 4/5 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +260 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Brandon Pfaadt hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Brandon Pfaadt hits the over on earned runs 2.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$79.
How often does Brandon Pfaadt hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Brandon Pfaadt hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 2-2 with an average actual of 5.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$7.
How often does Brandon Pfaadt hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Brandon Pfaadt hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 3.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$137.
How often does Brandon Pfaadt hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Brandon Pfaadt hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 1-1 with an average actual of 16.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$110.
What are Brandon Pfaadt's best prop bets in 2026?
Brandon Pfaadt's highest-hitting props in 2026: Earned Runs O 2.5 at 60% (3-2); Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 60% (3-2); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 50% (2-2).

Inside Edge