Arizona Diamondbacks60% ER O 2.560% K O 2.550% HA O 5.5
Season
All Brandon Pfaadt propsProps — 20265 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
5g60%Over: 3-2
0vs O 2.5+122
@
Padres7/6
Padres7/6✗✗✓✓✓
H: 66.7%(3)A: 50%(2)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
29Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Pfaadt's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | — | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Walker Buehler
7/6Current Padres hitters have struck out 23.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Pfaadt over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Padres.
★★★★★vs Justin Wrobleski
6/4Current Dodgers are batting .303 in their last 89 AB's against Pfaadt.
★★★★★vs Shohei Ohtani
6/3RHP's who have a similar repertoire to Pfaadt have an ERA of 5.08 against the Dodgers over the last 2 years.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-3 Over5g · 6 props
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Brandon Pfaadt hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Brandon Pfaadt hits the over on earned runs 2.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 2.4.
Is Brandon Pfaadt over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 5 games in 2026, betting $100 on Brandon Pfaadt over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$79 (+15.8% ROI). The hit rate is 60% with an average actual of 2.4.
What is Brandon Pfaadt's earned runs average this season?
Brandon Pfaadt averages 2.4 earned runs per game in 2026 across 5 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge