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Players/MLB/Toronto Blue Jays/Bowden Francis
Bowden Francis

Bowden Francis

Toronto Blue Jays•Pitcher•2025
6.40ERA54K60.5IP8.0K/914G
6.40ERA54K60.5IP8.0K/914G
57.1% ER O 2.553.8% BBA O 1.546.2% K O 4.5
Season
Best Performer

Bowden Francis goes over 2.5 earned runs 57.1% of the time (8-6)

Props — 202514 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

14g
avg 3.9
50%Over: 7-7
4vs O 4.5+114
@Phillies6/14
✗✗✗✓✓✓✓✗✗✗
H: 33.3%(6)A: 57.1%(7)

Earned Runs

14g
avg 3.1
57.1%Over: 8-6
2vs O 2.5-125
@Phillies6/14
✗✓✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✓
H: 57.1%(7)A: 57.1%(7)

Hits Allowed

14g
avg 5.1
64.3%Over: 9-5
1vs O 5.5+115
@Phillies6/14
✗✓✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✓
H: 50%(2)A: 25%(4)

Walks Allowed

14g
avg 1.9
57.1%Over: 8-6
3vs O 1.5-140
@Phillies6/14
✓✓✓✗✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 50%(6)A: 57.1%(7)

Outs Recorded

13g
avg 13.9
23.1%Over: 3-10
10vs O 14.5-130
@Twins6/8
✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✓
H: 40%(5)A: 0%(3)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
8(53%)
Total Matchups
15
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Francis's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★71.4%(5-2)71.4%(5-2)66.7%(2-1)42.9%(3-4)20%(1-4)
★★★★★50%(1-1)33.3%(1-2)0%(0-2)0%(0-2)0%(0-2)
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)—100%(1-0)100%(1-0)
★★★★★0%(0-1)100%(1-0)—100%(1-0)—
★★★★★0%(0-2)50%(1-1)0%(0-1)100%(2-0)—

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★
6/14

Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Francis have an ERA of 4.93 against the Phillies since last year.

★★★★★
6/8

Twins hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Francis.

★★★★★
6/3

Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Francis have an ERA of 5.01 against the Phillies since last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
36-35 Over71 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
6/14@PhilliesPitcher KsO 4.54L+114
6/14@PhilliesEarned RunsO 2.52L-125
6/14@PhilliesHits AllowedO 5.51L+115
6/14@PhilliesWalks AllowedO 1.53W-140
6/8@TwinsPitcher KsO 4.52L+100
6/8@TwinsEarned RunsO 2.54W-118
6/8@TwinsHits AllowedO 4.55W-135
6/8@TwinsWalks AllowedO 1.55W-115
6/8@TwinsOuts RecordedO 14.510L-130
6/3vsPhilliesPitcher KsO 4.52L+105
6/3vsPhilliesEarned RunsO 2.56W-110
6/3vsPhilliesHits AllowedO 4.57W-165
6/3vsPhilliesWalks AllowedO 1.52W+110
6/3vsPhilliesOuts RecordedO 15.55L+125
5/27@RangersPitcher KsO 4.56W+100
5/27@RangersEarned RunsO 2.50L-125
5/27@RangersHits AllowedO 5.53L+110
5/27@RangersWalks AllowedO 1.51L+150
5/27@RangersOuts RecordedO 16.515L-106
5/22vsPadresPitcher KsO 3.54W-118
5/22vsPadresEarned RunsO 2.52L-150
5/22vsPadresHits AllowedO 5.53L-160
5/22vsPadresWalks AllowedO 0.53W-245
5/22vsPadresOuts RecordedO 17.512L+130
5/16vsTigersPitcher KsO 4.56W+106
5/16vsTigersEarned RunsO 2.54W-145
5/16vsTigersHits AllowedO 5.58W-125
5/16vsTigersWalks AllowedO 1.52W-105
5/16vsTigersOuts RecordedO 16.514L-113
5/10@MarinersPitcher KsO 4.55W+115
5/10@MarinersEarned RunsO 2.53W-150
5/10@MarinersHits AllowedO 5.56W+120
5/10@MarinersWalks AllowedO 1.51L-160
5/10@MarinersOuts RecordedO 15.520W+100
5/4vsGuardiansPitcher KsO 4.52L+122
5/4vsGuardiansEarned RunsO 2.54W-110
5/4vsGuardiansHits AllowedO 4.56W-165
5/4vsGuardiansWalks AllowedO 1.51L-120
5/4vsGuardiansOuts RecordedO 17.513L+108
4/29vsRed SoxPitcher KsO 4.51L-152
4/29vsRed SoxEarned RunsO 2.57W-125
4/29vsRed SoxHits AllowedO 4.58W-155
4/29vsRed SoxWalks AllowedO 1.50L+100
4/29vsRed SoxOuts RecordedO 17.59L-118
4/23@AstrosPitcher KsO 4.52L+100
4/23@AstrosEarned RunsO 2.53W-110
4/23@AstrosHits AllowedO 4.58W-140
4/23@AstrosWalks AllowedO 1.51L-120
4/23@AstrosOuts RecordedO 17.514L-102
4/18vsMarinersPitcher KsO 5.55L+136

Toronto Blue Jays Teammates

View all
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Ernie ClementGeorge SpringerBo BichetteAddison BargerAlejandro KirkIsiah Kiner-FalefaNathan LukesTy FranceDaulton VarshoDavis SchneiderMyles StrawAnthony SantanderTyler HeinemanAlan Roden

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Bowden Francis hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Bowden Francis hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 46.2% of the time in 2025, going 6-7 with an average actual of 3.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$101.
How often does Bowden Francis hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Bowden Francis hits the over on earned runs 2.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 8-6 with an average actual of 3.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$64.
How often does Bowden Francis hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Bowden Francis hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 33.3% of the time in 2025, going 2-4 with an average actual of 4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$200.
How often does Bowden Francis hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Bowden Francis hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 53.8% of the time in 2025, going 7-6 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$9.
How often does Bowden Francis hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Bowden Francis hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 25% of the time in 2025, going 2-6 with an average actual of 14.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$417.
What are Bowden Francis's best prop bets in 2025?
Bowden Francis's highest-hitting props in 2025: Earned Runs O 2.5 at 57.1% (8-6); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 53.8% (7-6); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 46.2% (6-7).

Bowden Francis 2025 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.14 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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