Inside Edge
Toronto Blue Jays87.5% HA O 4.557.1% ER O 2.553.8% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Bowden Francis goes over 4.5 hits allowed 87.5% of the time (7-1)
Props — 202514 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
8(53%)
Total Matchups
15Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Francis's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 71.4%(5-2) | 71.4%(5-2) | 100%(4-0) | 42.9%(3-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
6/14Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Francis have an ERA of 4.93 against the Phillies since last year.
★★★★★
6/8Twins hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Francis.
★★★★★
6/3Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Francis have an ERA of 5.01 against the Phillies since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
32-25 Over57 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/14 | @ Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +114 |
| 6/14 | @Phillies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -125 |
| 6/14 | @Phillies | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 6/14 | @Phillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -140 |
| 6/8 | @ Twins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +100 |
| 6/8 | @Twins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -118 |
| 6/8 | @Twins | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -135 |
| 6/8 | @Twins | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -115 |
| 6/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 6/3 | vsPhillies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -110 |
| 6/3 | vsPhillies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -165 |
| 6/3 | vsPhillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +110 |
| 5/27 | @ Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 5/27 | @Rangers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -125 |
| 5/27 | @Rangers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +110 |
| 5/27 | @Rangers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +150 |
| 5/22 | vs Padres | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -118 |
| 5/22 | vsPadres | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -150 |
| 5/22 | vsPadres | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -160 |
| 5/22 | vsPadres | Walks Allowed | O 0.5 | 3 | W | -245 |
| 5/16 | vs Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +106 |
| 5/16 | vsTigers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -145 |
| 5/16 | vsTigers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -125 |
| 5/16 | vsTigers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -105 |
| 5/10 | @ Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +115 |
| 5/10 | @Mariners | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -150 |
| 5/10 | @Mariners | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +120 |
| 5/10 | @Mariners | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -160 |
| 5/4 | vs Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +122 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -110 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -165 |
| 5/4 | vsGuardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 4/29 | vs Red Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -152 |
| 4/29 | vsRed Sox | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -125 |
| 4/29 | vsRed Sox | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -155 |
| 4/29 | vsRed Sox | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 4/23 | @ Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +100 |
| 4/23 | @Astros | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -110 |
| 4/23 | @Astros | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -140 |
| 4/23 | @Astros | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 4/18 | vsMariners | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +136 |
| 4/18 | vsMariners | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -130 |
| 4/18 | vsMariners | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 4/18 | vsMariners | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -125 |
| 4/18 | vsMariners | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -165 |
| 4/12 | @ Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +130 |
| 4/12 | @Orioles | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -110 |
| 4/12 | @Orioles | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +115 |
| 4/12 | @Orioles | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -155 |
| 4/6 | @ Mets | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -140 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Bowden Francis hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Bowden Francis hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 46.2% of the time in 2025, going 6-7 with an average actual of 3.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$101.
How often does Bowden Francis hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Bowden Francis hits the over on earned runs 2.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 8-6 with an average actual of 3.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$64.
How often does Bowden Francis hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Bowden Francis hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 87.5% of the time in 2025, going 7-1 with an average actual of 5.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$416.
How often does Bowden Francis hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Bowden Francis hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 53.8% of the time in 2025, going 7-6 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$9.
What are Bowden Francis's best prop bets in 2025?
Bowden Francis's highest-hitting props in 2025: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 87.5% (7-1); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 57.1% (8-6); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 53.8% (7-6).