Toronto Blue Jays87.5% HA O 4.557.1% ER O 2.553.8% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Bowden Francis propsProps — 202514 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
13g23.1%Over: 3-10
10vs O 14.5-130
@
Twins6/8
Twins6/8✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✓
H: 40%(5)A: 0%(3)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
8(53%)
Total Matchups
15Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Francis's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 71.4%(5-2) | 71.4%(5-2) | 100%(4-0) | 42.9%(3-4) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
6/14Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Francis have an ERA of 4.93 against the Phillies since last year.
★★★★★
6/8Twins hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Francis.
★★★★★
6/3Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Francis have an ERA of 5.01 against the Phillies since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-10 Over13g · 14 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/8 | @Twins | O 14.5 | 10 | L | -130 |
| 6/3 | vs Phillies | O 15.5 | 5 | L | +125 |
| 5/27 | @ Rangers | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -106 |
| 5/22 | vs Padres | O 17.5 | 12 | L | +130 |
| 5/16 | vs Tigers | O 16.5 | 14 | L | -113 |
| 5/10 | @ Mariners | O 15.5 | 20 | W | +100 |
| 5/4 | vs Guardians | O 17.5 | 13 | L | +108 |
| 4/29 | vs Red Sox | O 17.5 | 9 | L | -118 |
| 4/23 | @ Astros | O 17.5 | 14 | L | -102 |
| 4/18 | vsMariners | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -120 |
| 4/12 | @ Orioles | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -130 |
| 4/6 | @ Mets | O 17.5 | 16 | L | -115 |
| 3/31 | vs Nationals | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -120 |
| 3/31 | vsNationals | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +100 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Bowden Francis hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Bowden Francis hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 25% of the time in 2025, going 2-6 with an average actual of 14.6.
Is Bowden Francis over 17.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 13 games in 2025, betting $100 on Bowden Francis over 17.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned -$717 (-55.15% ROI). The hit rate is 25% with an average actual of 14.6.
What is Bowden Francis's outs recorded average this season?
Bowden Francis averages 14.6 outs recorded per game in 2025 across 13 games. The primary line is set at 17.5.
Inside Edge