Who won Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning on Feb 25, 2026?

Tampa Bay Lightning won 2-4 on Feb 25, 2026.

Maple Leafs 2, Lightning 4 — Feb 25, 2026 Recap

NHLWED, FEB 25, 20266:30 PM CDT

Away

Maple LeafsToronto Maple Leafs2

Final

Home

LightningTampa Bay Lightning4

Betting results

Spread

Lightning covered

Lightning -1.5

Total

Under

6 / 6.5

Moneyline

Lightning

-225

Probability

Loading probability

Pre-game notes3 notes

Rest advantage+2 days off

Won 3 straightMaple Leafs on heater

Won 5 straightLightning on heater

Key performers

Maple Leafs

Jake McCabe82g0.3PTS

0.1G0.2A22mTOI

Last 5: 0.2 pts·vs Lightning: 0 pts (4g)

Morgan Rielly80g0.5PTS

0.1G0.3A21mTOI

Last 5: 0.2 pts·vs Lightning: 0.3 pts (4g)

Auston Matthews61g0.9PTS

0.4G0.4A20mTOI

Last 5: 0.2 pts·vs Lightning: 0.5 pts (4g)

Oliver Ekman-Larsson79g0.5PTS

0.1G0.4A20mTOI

Last 5: 0.2 pts·vs Lightning: 0 pts (4g)

Troy Stecher60g0.2PTS

0.1G0.2A19mTOI

Last 5: 0.2 pts·vs Lightning: 0 pts (4g)

Goalie

Joseph WollCold62g

.897SV%3.45GAA

L5 .825 SV% · 3.68 GAA

Lightning

Darren Raddysh80g0.9PTS

0.3G0.6A22mTOI

Last 5: 0.4 pts·vs Maple Leafs: 0 pts (4g)

J.J. Moser86g0.4PTS

0.1G0.3A21mTOI

Last 5: 0.6 pts·vs Maple Leafs: 0 pts (4g)

Jake Guentzel88g1.1PTS

0.5G0.7A20mTOI

Last 5: 1.6 pts·vs Maple Leafs: 1 pts (4g)

Nikita Kucherov83g1.7PTS

0.6G1.1A20mTOI

Last 5: 1.2 pts·vs Maple Leafs: 2.8 pts (4g)

Brandon Hagel77g1.1PTS

0.6G0.5A20mTOI

Last 5: 1.4 pts·vs Maple Leafs: 1 pts (4g)

Goalie

Jonas JohanssonCold86g

.883SV%3.31GAA

L5 .000 SV% · 0 GAA

ScoringSeason · per game

Team

GPG

Scored

OPP

Allowed

MARGIN

Per game

Maple Leafs

3.3★

3.4★

-0.1★

Lightning

3.6★

2.5★

+1.1★

Edge

Lightning +0.3

Lightning +0.9

Lightning +1.2

Last 10 · Trend

Maple Leafs

3.0avg

Lightning

3.9avg

Head to head2025-26 · 1 games

Maple Leafs1

Lightning0

Dec 8

Lightning0@2Maple Leafs

Maple Leafs +2

Recent formLast 10

Straight-Up

Maple LeafsW3

4-640%

LightningW5

8-280%

Against the Spread

Maple Leafs

3-730%

Lightning

5-550%

Season records2025-26 · 57g / 55g

Team

ATS

O/U

Maple Leafs

Overall

47%27-30

42%24-33

58%33-24

Lightning

Overall

67%37-18

51%28-27

Matchup venueRoad / Home splits

Team

ATS

O/U

Maple Leafs

On Road

42%11-15

46%12-14

58%15-11

Lightning

At Home

67%18-9

37%10-17

52%14-13

Player prop results24 players · 60 props

John TavaresToronto Maple Leafs

4 props

PointsO 0.5

1✓

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

GoalsO 0.5

1✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

3✓

William NylanderToronto Maple Leafs

4 props

PointsO 0.5

2✓

AssistsO 0.5

2✓

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 2.5

4✓

Darren RaddyshTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 2.5

3✓

Oliver BjorkstrandTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 1.5

4✓

Nikita KucherovTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

PointsO 1.5

3✓

AssistsO 1.5

2✓

Shots on GoalO 3.5

2✗

Victor HedmanTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 1.5

1✗

Bobby McMannToronto Maple Leafs

3 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 1.5

3✓

Morgan RiellyToronto Maple Leafs

4 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 1.5

3✓

Blocked ShotsO 1.5

0✗

Matthew KniesToronto Maple Leafs

3 props

PointsO 0.5

2✓

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

3✓

Brayden PointTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

PointsO 0.5

3✓

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

Shots on GoalO 2.5

5✓

Auston MatthewsToronto Maple Leafs

3 props

PointsO 0.5

1✓

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

Shots on GoalO 3.5

2✗

Brandon HagelTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

PointsO 1.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 2.5

4✓

Jake GuentzelTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

PointsO 1.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 2.5

5✓

Yanni GourdeTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 1.5

3✓

Max DomiToronto Maple Leafs

3 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 1.5

2✓

Matias MaccelliToronto Maple Leafs

2 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Oliver Ekman-LarssonToronto Maple Leafs

2 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Pontus HolmbergTampa Bay Lightning

1 prop

Shots on GoalO 1.5

0✗

Andrei VasilevskiyTampa Bay Lightning

1 prop

SavesO 22.5

32✓

Anthony StolarzToronto Maple Leafs

1 prop

SavesO 26.5

32✓

Jake McCabeToronto Maple Leafs

1 prop

Blocked ShotsO 2.5

3✓

Brandon CarloToronto Maple Leafs

1 prop

Blocked ShotsO 1.5

3✓

Ryan McDonaghTampa Bay Lightning

1 prop

Blocked ShotsO 1.5

1✗

Simon BenoitToronto Maple Leafs

1 prop

Blocked ShotsO 1.5

1✗

EV picks