Who won Montréal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning on Dec 28, 2025?

Tampa Bay Lightning won 4-5 on Dec 28, 2025.

Canadiens 4, Lightning 5 — Dec 28, 2025 Recap

NHLSUN, DEC 28, 20254:10 PM CDT

Away

CanadiensMontréal Canadiens4

Final

Home

LightningTampa Bay Lightning5

Betting results

Spread

Canadiens covered

Lightning -1.5

Total

Over

9 / 6.5

Moneyline

Lightning

-145

Probability

Loading probability

Pre-game notes5 notes

Rest advantage+4 days off

Back-to-backNo rest day

Covered 4 straightCanadiens covering against the spread

Won 3 straightLightning on heater

Covered 3 straightLightning covering against the spread

Key performers

Canadiens

M. Matheson14g0.2PTS

0.1G0.1A24mTOI

Last 5: 0.2 pts·vs Lightning: 0 pts (2g)

L. Hutson14g0.8PTS

0.1G0.7A24mTOI

Last 5: 0.4 pts·vs Lightning: 0.5 pts (2g)

Mike Matheson85g0.4PTS

0.1G0.4A24mTOI

Last 5: 0.2 pts·vs Lightning: 0.4 pts (9g)

Lane Hutson89g1PTS

0.2G0.8A24mTOI

Last 5: 1 pts·vs Lightning: 0.7 pts (9g)

Noah Dobson82g0.6PTS

0.1G0.4A22mTOI

Last 5: 0.2 pts·vs Lightning: 0.5 pts (4g)

Goalie

Jakub Dobes84g

.903SV%2.77GAA

Lightning

Darren Raddysh80g0.9PTS

0.3G0.6A22mTOI

Last 5: 0.4 pts·vs Canadiens: 0.6 pts (9g)

J.J. Moser86g0.4PTS

0.1G0.3A21mTOI

Last 5: 0.6 pts·vs Canadiens: 0.3 pts (9g)

Jake Guentzel88g1.1PTS

0.5G0.7A20mTOI

Last 5: 1.6 pts·vs Canadiens: 1.1 pts (9g)

Nikita Kucherov83g1.7PTS

0.6G1.1A20mTOI

Last 5: 1.2 pts·vs Canadiens: 1.2 pts (9g)

Brandon Hagel77g1.1PTS

0.6G0.5A20mTOI

Last 5: 1.4 pts·vs Canadiens: 0.9 pts (8g)

Goalie

Jonas JohanssonCold86g

.883SV%3.31GAA

L5 .000 SV% · 0 GAA

ScoringSeason · per game

Team

GPG

Scored

OPP

Allowed

MARGIN

Per game

Canadiens

3.3★

3.4★

0.0★

Lightning

3.3★

2.6★

+0.6★

Edge

even

Lightning +0.8

Lightning +0.6

Last 10 · Trend

Canadiens

3.4avg

Lightning

3.3avg

Head to head2025-26 · 1 games

Canadiens0

Lightning1

Dec 9

Lightning6@1Canadiens

Lightning +5

Recent formLast 10

Straight-Up

Canadiens

5-550%

LightningW3

5-550%

Against the Spread

Canadiens4 cover

7-370%

Lightning3 cover

5-550%

Season records2025-26 · 37g / 37g

Team

ATS

O/U

Canadiens

Overall

54%20-17

51%19-18

62%23-14

Lightning

Overall

57%21-16

49%18-19

Matchup venueRoad / Home splits

Team

ATS

O/U

Canadiens

On Road

59%10-7

71%12-5

65%11-6

Lightning

At Home

53%10-9

26%5-14

53%10-9

Player prop results20 players · 62 props

Nikita KucherovTampa Bay Lightning

4 props

PointsO 1.5

2✓

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

GoalsO 0.5

2✓

Shots on GoalO 2.5

3✓

Lane HutsonMontréal Canadiens

3 props

PointsO 0.5

1✓

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

3✓

Nick SuzukiMontréal Canadiens

4 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 1.5

0✗

Jake GuentzelTampa Bay Lightning

4 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 2.5

0✗

Darren RaddyshTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 2.5

0✗

Ivan DemidovMontréal Canadiens

4 props

PointsO 0.5

2✓

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

GoalsO 0.5

1✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

3✓

Brayden PointTampa Bay Lightning

4 props

PointsO 0.5

1✓

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 2.5

0✗

Cole CaufieldMontréal Canadiens

4 props

PointsO 0.5

1✓

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 2.5

2✗

Brandon HagelTampa Bay Lightning

4 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 2.5

1✗

Juraj SlafkovskyMontréal Canadiens

4 props

PointsO 0.5

3✓

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

GoalsO 0.5

2✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

5✓

Anthony CirelliTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 1.5

3✓

Noah DobsonMontréal Canadiens

4 props

PointsO 0.5

2✓

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

5✓

Blocked ShotsO 1.5

3✓

Mike MathesonMontréal Canadiens

3 props

PointsO 0.5

1✓

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

Blocked ShotsO 2.5

0✗

Oliver BjorkstrandTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

PointsO 0.5

2✓

AssistsO 0.5

2✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

1✗

Oliver KapanenMontréal Canadiens

3 props

PointsO 0.5

1✓

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

5✓

Zack Bolduc

4 props

PointsO 0.5

0✗

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 1.5

1✗

Alexandre CarrierMontréal Canadiens

1 prop

Blocked ShotsO 2.5

1✗

Jacob FowlerMontréal Canadiens

1 prop

SavesO 24.5

17✗

Jonas JohanssonTampa Bay Lightning

1 prop

SavesO 21.5

31✓

J.J. MoserTampa Bay Lightning

1 prop

Blocked ShotsO 1.5

3✓

EV picks