Canadiens 4, Lightning 5 — Dec 28, 2025 Recap

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Montréal Canadiens 4-5 on Dec 28, 2025.

Game FAQ — score, spread, and total

Who won Montréal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning on Dec 28, 2025?

Tampa Bay Lightning won 4-5 on Dec 28, 2025.

See methodology for grading rules and ROI calculation.

NHLSUN, DEC 28, 20254:10 PM CT
Spread
Canadiens covered
Lightning -1.5
Total
Over
9 / 6.5
Moneyline
Lightning
-145
Loading probability
TBL
Rest advantage
+18 days off
MTL
62 games / 7d
Canadiens in a stretch
TBL
Lost ATS 13 straight
Lightning hasn't covered in 13
TBL
54 games / 7d
Lightning in a stretch
Canadiens
MM
0.2PTS
0.1G0.1A25mTOI
vs Lightning0PTS2g
LH
0.9PTS
0G0.9A24mTOI
vs Lightning0.5PTS2g
Mike Matheson
0.4PTSL5 0.2
0.1G0.4A24mTOI
vs Lightning0.4PTS9g
Lane Hutson
1PTS
0.2G0.8A24mTOI
vs Lightning0.7PTS9g
Noah Dobson
0.6PTSL5 0.2
0.1G0.4A22mTOI
vs Lightning0.5PTS4g
Goalie
Jakub Dobes
.903SV%2.77GAA
Lightning
Darren Raddysh
0.9PTSL5 0.4
0.3G0.6A22mTOI
vs Canadiens0.6PTS9g
J.J. Moser
0.4PTSL5 0.6
0.1G0.3A21mTOI
vs Canadiens0.3PTS9g
Jake Guentzel
1.1PTSL5 1.6
0.5G0.7A20mTOI
vs Canadiens1.1PTS9g
Nikita Kucherov
1.7PTSL5 1.2
0.6G1.1A20mTOI
vs Canadiens1.2PTS9g
Brandon Hagel
1.1PTSL5 1.4
0.6G0.5A20mTOI
vs Canadiens0.9PTS8g
Goalie
Jonas Johansson
.883SV%3.31GAA
L5 .000 SV% · 0 GAA
GPG
Scored
OPP
Allowed
MARGIN
Per game
Canadiens
3.4
3.1
+0.4
Lightning
3.4
2.8
+0.7
Edge
even
Lightning +0.3
Lightning +0.3
Last 10 · Trend
Canadiens
3.5avg
Lightning
2.3avg
Straight-Up
Canadiens
6-460%
L
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
Lightning
5-550%
W
W
L
L
W
L
W
L
W
L
Against the Spread
Canadiens
7-370%
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
Lightning10 fail
0-100%
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
L
Team
SU
ATS
O/U
Canadiens
Overall
59%57-40
60%58-39
54%52-45
Lightning
Overall
60%53-36
44%39-50
48%43-46
Team
SU
ATS
O/U
Canadiens
On Road
62%31-19
74%37-13
54%27-23
Lightning
At Home
60%27-18
36%16-29
47%21-24
Nikita Kucherov
Nikita KucherovTampa Bay Lightning
4 props
AssistsO 0.5
0
Shots on GoalO 2.5
3
GoalsO 0.5
2
PointsO 1.5
2
Lane Hutson
Lane HutsonMontréal Canadiens
3 props
AssistsO 0.5
1
Shots on GoalO 1.5
3
PointsO 0.5
1
Nick Suzuki
Nick SuzukiMontréal Canadiens
4 props
AssistsO 0.5
0
Shots on GoalO 1.5
0
GoalsO 0.5
0
PointsO 0.5
0
Jake Guentzel
Jake GuentzelTampa Bay Lightning
4 props
AssistsO 0.5
0
Shots on GoalO 2.5
0
GoalsO 0.5
0
PointsO 0.5
0
Darren Raddysh
Darren RaddyshTampa Bay Lightning
3 props
AssistsO 0.5
0
Shots on GoalO 2.5
0
PointsO 0.5
0
Ivan Demidov
Ivan DemidovMontréal Canadiens
4 props
AssistsO 0.5
1
Shots on GoalO 1.5
3
GoalsO 0.5
1
PointsO 0.5
2
Brayden Point
Brayden PointTampa Bay Lightning
4 props
AssistsO 0.5
1
Shots on GoalO 2.5
0
GoalsO 0.5
0
PointsO 0.5
1
Cole Caufield
Cole CaufieldMontréal Canadiens
4 props
AssistsO 0.5
1
Shots on GoalO 2.5
2
GoalsO 0.5
0
PointsO 0.5
1
Brandon Hagel
Brandon HagelTampa Bay Lightning
4 props
AssistsO 0.5
0
Shots on GoalO 2.5
1
GoalsO 0.5
0
PointsO 0.5
0
Juraj Slafkovsky
Juraj SlafkovskyMontréal Canadiens
4 props
AssistsO 0.5
1
Shots on GoalO 1.5
5
GoalsO 0.5
2
PointsO 0.5
3
Anthony Cirelli
Anthony CirelliTampa Bay Lightning
3 props
AssistsO 0.5
0
Shots on GoalO 1.5
3
PointsO 0.5
0
Noah Dobson
Noah DobsonMontréal Canadiens
4 props
AssistsO 0.5
1
Shots on GoalO 1.5
5
Blocked ShotsO 1.5
3
PointsO 0.5
2
Mike Matheson
Mike MathesonMontréal Canadiens
3 props
AssistsO 0.5
1
Blocked ShotsO 2.5
0
PointsO 0.5
1
Oliver Bjorkstrand
Oliver BjorkstrandTampa Bay Lightning
3 props
AssistsO 0.5
2
Shots on GoalO 1.5
1
PointsO 0.5
2
Oliver Kapanen
Oliver KapanenMontréal Canadiens
3 props
AssistsO 0.5
1
Shots on GoalO 1.5
5
PointsO 0.5
1
AssistsO 0.5
0
Shots on GoalO 1.5
1
GoalsO 0.5
0
PointsO 0.5
0
Alexandre Carrier
Alexandre CarrierMontréal Canadiens
1 prop
Blocked ShotsO 2.5
1
Jacob Fowler
Jacob FowlerMontréal Canadiens
1 prop
SavesO 24.5
17
Jonas Johansson
Jonas JohanssonTampa Bay Lightning
1 prop
SavesO 21.5
31
J.J. Moser
J.J. MoserTampa Bay Lightning
1 prop
Blocked ShotsO 1.5
3