Who won Montréal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning on Dec 28, 2025?

Tampa Bay Lightning won 4-5 on Dec 28, 2025.

Canadiens 4, Lightning 5 — Dec 28, 2025 Recap

NHLSUN, DEC 28, 20254:10 PM CDT

Away

CanadiensMontréal Canadiens4

Final

Home

LightningTampa Bay Lightning5

Betting Results

Spread

Canadiens covered

Lightning -1.5

Total

Over

9 / 6.5

Moneyline

Lightning

-145

Loading probability

Pre-Game Notes5 notes

MTL

Rest advantage

+4 days off

TBL

Back-to-back

No rest day

MTL

Covered 4 straight

Canadiens covering against the spread

TBL

Won 3 straight

Lightning on heater

TBL

Covered 3 straight

Lightning covering against the spread

Key Performers

Canadiens

M. Matheson14g

0.2PTS

0.1G0.1A24mTOI

vs Lightning0PTS2g

L. HutsonCold14g

0.8PTSL5 0.4

0.1G0.7A24mTOI

vs Lightning0.5PTS2g

Mike MathesonCold85g

0.4PTSL5 0.2

0.1G0.4A24mTOI

vs Lightning0.4PTS9g

Lane Hutson89g

1PTS

0.2G0.8A24mTOI

vs Lightning0.7PTS9g

Noah DobsonCold82g

0.6PTSL5 0.2

0.1G0.4A22mTOI

vs Lightning0.5PTS4g

Goalie

Jakub Dobes84g

.903SV%2.77GAA

Lightning

Darren RaddyshCold80g

0.9PTSL5 0.4

0.3G0.6A22mTOI

vs Canadiens0.6PTS9g

J.J. MoserHot86g

0.4PTSL5 0.6

0.1G0.3A21mTOI

vs Canadiens0.3PTS9g

Jake GuentzelHot88g

1.1PTSL5 1.6

0.5G0.7A20mTOI

vs Canadiens1.1PTS9g

Nikita KucherovCold83g

1.7PTSL5 1.2

0.6G1.1A20mTOI

vs Canadiens1.2PTS9g

Brandon HagelHot77g

1.1PTSL5 1.4

0.6G0.5A20mTOI

vs Canadiens0.9PTS8g

Goalie

Jonas JohanssonCold86g

.883SV%3.31GAA

L5 .000 SV% · 0 GAA

ScoringSeason · per game

Team

GPG

Scored

OPP

Allowed

MARGIN

Per game

Canadiens

3.3★

3.4★

0.0★

Lightning

3.3★

2.6★

+0.6★

Edge

even

Lightning +0.8

Lightning +0.6

Last 10 · Trend

Canadiens

3.4avg

Lightning

3.3avg

Head-to-Head2025-26 · 1 games

Canadiens0

Lightning1

Dec 9

Lightning6@1Canadiens

Lightning +5

Recent FormLast 10

Straight-Up

Canadiens

5-550%

LightningW3

5-550%

Against the Spread

Canadiens4 cover

7-370%

Lightning3 cover

5-550%

Season Records2025-26 · 37g / 37g

Team

ATS

O/U

Canadiens

Overall

54%20-17

51%19-18

62%23-14

Lightning

Overall

57%21-16

49%18-19

Matchup VenueRoad / Home splits

Team

ATS

O/U

Canadiens

On Road

59%10-7

71%12-5

65%11-6

Lightning

At Home

53%10-9

26%5-14

53%10-9

Player Prop Results20 players · 62 props

Anthony CirelliTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 1.5

3✓

Brandon HagelTampa Bay Lightning

4 props

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 2.5

1✗

Brayden PointTampa Bay Lightning

4 props

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 0.5

1✓

Shots on GoalO 2.5

0✗

Cole CaufieldMontréal Canadiens

4 props

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 0.5

1✓

Shots on GoalO 2.5

2✗

Darren RaddyshTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 2.5

0✗

Ivan DemidovMontréal Canadiens

4 props

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

GoalsO 0.5

1✓

PointsO 0.5

2✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

3✓

Jake GuentzelTampa Bay Lightning

4 props

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 2.5

0✗

Juraj SlafkovskyMontréal Canadiens

4 props

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

GoalsO 0.5

2✓

PointsO 0.5

3✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

5✓

Lane HutsonMontréal Canadiens

3 props

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

PointsO 0.5

1✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

3✓

Mike MathesonMontréal Canadiens

3 props

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

Blocked ShotsO 2.5

0✗

PointsO 0.5

1✓

Nick SuzukiMontréal Canadiens

4 props

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 1.5

0✗

Nikita KucherovTampa Bay Lightning

4 props

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

GoalsO 0.5

2✓

PointsO 1.5

2✓

Shots on GoalO 2.5

3✓

Noah DobsonMontréal Canadiens

4 props

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

Blocked ShotsO 1.5

3✓

PointsO 0.5

2✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

5✓

Oliver BjorkstrandTampa Bay Lightning

3 props

AssistsO 0.5

2✓

PointsO 0.5

2✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

1✗

Oliver KapanenMontréal Canadiens

3 props

AssistsO 0.5

1✓

PointsO 0.5

1✓

Shots on GoalO 1.5

5✓

Zack Bolduc

4 props

AssistsO 0.5

0✗

GoalsO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 0.5

0✗

Shots on GoalO 1.5

1✗

Alexandre CarrierMontréal Canadiens

1 prop

Blocked ShotsO 2.5

1✗

J.J. MoserTampa Bay Lightning

1 prop

Blocked ShotsO 1.5

3✓

Jacob FowlerMontréal Canadiens

1 prop

SavesO 24.5

17✗

Jonas JohanssonTampa Bay Lightning

1 prop

SavesO 21.5

31✓

Betting Results

Pre-Game Notes5 notes

Key Performers

ScoringSeason · per game

Head-to-Head2025-26 · 1 games

Recent FormLast 10

Season Records2025-26 · 37g / 37g

Matchup VenueRoad / Home splits

Player Prop Results20 players · 62 props

EV Picks