Who won Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat on Feb 28, 2026?

Miami Heat won 105-115 on Feb 28, 2026.

Rockets 105, Heat 115 — Feb 28, 2026 Recap

NBASAT, FEB 28, 20262:10 PM CDT

Away

RocketsHouston Rockets105

Final

Home

HeatMiami Heat115

Betting Results

Spread

Heat covered

Heat +2.5

Total

Under

220 / 226.5

Moneyline

Heat

+115

Loading probability

Pre-Game Notes3 notes

HOU

Won 3 straight

Rockets on heater

HOU

Covered 4 straight

Rockets covering against the spread

HOU

4 games / 7d

Rockets in a stretch

Key Performers

Rockets

Amen Thompson85g

18.3PPG

7.7RPG5.3APG

vs Heat22PPG2g

Kevin Durant79g

25.9PPG

5.5RPG4.7APG

vs Heat29.5PPG2g

Jabari Smith Jr.83g

15.9PPG

7RPG1.9APG

vs Heat13PPG1g

Alperen Sengun78g

20.4PPG

9RPG6.1APG

vs Heat16PPG2g

Reed SheppardCold88g

13.4PPGL5 11.2

2.8RPG3.5APG

vs Heat18.5PPG2g

Heat

Bam AdebayoCold74g

19.9PPGL5 16.4

9.9RPG3.1APG

vs Rockets28PPG2g

Tyler HerroCold34g

20.6PPGL5 15

4.7RPG4.2APG

vs Rockets21.5PPG2g

Andrew Wiggins69g

15.5PPG

4.9RPG2.7APG

vs Rockets12PPG1g

Norman PowellCold59g

21.6PPGL5 14.4

3.5RPG2.4APG

Davion MitchellHot71g

9.6PPGL5 15.2

2.7RPG6.5APG

vs Rockets12.5PPG2g

ScoringSeason · per game

Team

PPG

Scored

OPP

Allowed

MARGIN

Per game

Rockets

114.7★

109.1★

+5.6★

Heat

119.9★

117.2★

+2.7★

Edge

Heat +5.2

Rockets +8.1

Rockets +2.9

Last 10 · Trend

Rockets

108.5avg

Heat

120.9avg

Recent FormLast 10

Straight-Up

RocketsW3

6-460%

Heat

5-550%

Against the Spread

Rockets4 cover

5-550%

Heat

6-460%

Season Records2025-26 · 58g / 60g

Team

ATS

O/U

Rockets

Overall

64%37-21

47%27-31

43%25-33

Heat

Overall

52%31-29

57%34-26

52%31-29

Matchup VenueRoad / Home splits

Team

ATS

O/U

Rockets

On Road

55%17-14

52%16-15

Heat

At Home

61%17-11

54%15-13

Player Prop Results15 players · 158 props

Alperen SengunHouston Rockets

15 props

AssistsO 5.5

3✗

AssistsO 6.5

3✗

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 18.5

13✗

PointsO 19.5

13✗

Pts+AstO 24.5

16✗

Pts+AstO 25.5

16✗

Pts+RebO 28.5

19✗

Pts+RebO 29.5

19✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 34.5

22✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 35.5

22✗

ReboundsO 9.5

6✗

Reb+AstO 15.5

9✗

StealsO 1.5

2✓

ThreesO 0.5

0✗

Amen ThompsonHouston Rockets

14 props

AssistsO 4.5

4✗

AssistsO 5.5

4✗

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 15.5

20✓

PointsO 16.5

20✓

Pts+AstO 21.5

24✓

Pts+RebO 23.5

31✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 28.5

35✓

ReboundsO 6.5

11✓

ReboundsO 7.5

11✓

Reb+AstO 11.5

15✓

Reb+AstO 12.5

15✓

StealsO 1.5

1✗

ThreesO 0.5

0✗

Andrew WigginsMiami Heat

12 props

AssistsO 2.5

4✓

BlocksO 0.5

3✓

PointsO 15.5

12✗

Pts+AstO 17.5

16✗

Pts+AstO 18.5

16✗

Pts+RebO 20.5

18✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 22.5

22✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 23.5

22✗

ReboundsO 4.5

6✓

Reb+AstO 7.5

10✓

ThreesO 1.5

1✗

ThreesO 2.5

1✗

Bam AdebayoMiami Heat

9 props

AssistsO 2.5

1✗

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 18.5

24✓

Pts+AstO 21.5

25✓

Pts+RebO 28.5

35✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 31.5

36✓

ReboundsO 9.5

11✓

Reb+AstO 12.5

12✗

ThreesO 1.5

3✓

Davion MitchellMiami Heat

12 props

AssistsO 5.5

5✗

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 7.5

10✓

PointsO 8.5

10✓

Pts+AstO 13.5

15✓

Pts+AstO 14.5

15✓

Pts+RebO 9.5

13✓

Pts+RebO 10.5

13✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 16.5

18✓

ReboundsO 2.5

3✓

Reb+AstO 8.5

8✗

ThreesO 1.5

2✓

Jaime Jaquez JrMiami Heat

11 props

AssistsO 3.5

3✗

PointsO 13.5

14✓

Pts+AstO 17.5

17✗

Pts+RebO 17.5

17✗

Pts+RebO 18.5

17✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 21.5

20✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 22.5

20✗

ReboundsO 4.5

3✗

Reb+AstO 7.5

6✗

Reb+AstO 8.5

6✗

ThreesO 0.5

0✗

Kevin DurantHouston Rockets

11 props

AssistsO 3.5

8✓

AssistsO 4.5

8✓

BlocksO 0.5

2✓

PointsO 26.5

32✓

Pts+AstO 30.5

40✓

Pts+RebO 32.5

37✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 36.5

45✓

ReboundsO 5.5

5✗

Reb+AstO 9.5

13✓

Reb+AstO 10.5

13✓

ThreesO 2.5

2✗

Pelle LarssonMiami Heat

11 props

AssistsO 3.5

4✓

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 11.5

20✓

Pts+AstO 14.5

24✓

Pts+AstO 15.5

24✓

Pts+RebO 15.5

24✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 18.5

28✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 19.5

28✓

ReboundsO 3.5

4✓

Reb+AstO 7.5

8✓

ThreesO 0.5

1✓

Reed SheppardHouston Rockets

15 props

AssistsO 3.5

5✓

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 14.5

14✗

PointsO 15.5

14✗

Pts+AstO 18.5

19✓

Pts+AstO 19.5

19✗

Pts+RebO 18.5

18✗

Pts+RebO 19.5

18✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 22.5

23✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 23.5

23✗

ReboundsO 3.5

4✓

Reb+AstO 6.5

9✓

Reb+AstO 7.5

9✓

StealsO 1.5

1✗

ThreesO 2.5

4✓

Tari EasonHouston Rockets

13 props

AssistsO 1.5

5✓

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 13.5

10✗

PointsO 14.5

10✗

Pts+AstO 15.5

15✗

Pts+AstO 16.5

15✗

Pts+RebO 21.5

21✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 22.5

26✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 23.5

26✓

ReboundsO 6.5

11✓

Reb+AstO 8.5

16✓

StealsO 1.5

1✗

ThreesO 1.5

2✓

Tyler HerroMiami Heat

11 props

AssistsO 3.5

3✗

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 20.5

18✗

Pts+AstO 24.5

21✗

Pts+RebO 24.5

20✗

Pts+RebO 25.5

20✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 28.5

23✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 29.5

23✗

ReboundsO 4.5

2✗

Reb+AstO 7.5

5✗

ThreesO 2.5

2✗

Clint CapelaHouston Rockets

4 props

PointsO 4.5

7✓

Pts+RebO 10.5

10✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 11.5

11✗

ReboundsO 5.5

3✗

Dorian Finney-SmithHouston Rockets

8 props

PointsO 4.5

0✗

PointsO 5.5

0✗

Pts+RebO 8.5

2✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 8.5

2✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 9.5

2✗

ReboundsO 2.5

2✗

ReboundsO 3.5

2✗

ThreesO 1.5

0✗

Josh OkogieHouston Rockets

5 props

PointsO 5.5

0✗

Pts+RebO 9.5

0✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 10.5

0✗

ReboundsO 3.5

0✗

ThreesO 0.5

0✗

Kel'el WareMiami Heat

7 props

PointsO 7.5

13✓

PointsO 8.5

13✓

Pts+RebO 14.5

28✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 14.5

29✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 15.5

29✓

ReboundsO 6.5

15✓

ThreesO 0.5

1✓

EV Picks

NBASAT, FEB 28, 20262:10 PM CDT

Away

RocketsHouston Rockets105

Final

Home

HeatMiami Heat115

Betting Results

Spread

Heat covered

Heat +2.5

Total

Under

220 / 226.5

Moneyline

Heat

+115

Loading probability

Pre-Game Notes3 notes

HOU

Won 3 straight

Rockets on heater

HOU

Covered 4 straight

Rockets covering against the spread

HOU

4 games / 7d

Rockets in a stretch

Key Performers

Rockets

Amen Thompson85g

18.3PPG

7.7RPG5.3APG

vs Heat22PPG2g

Kevin Durant79g

25.9PPG

5.5RPG4.7APG

vs Heat29.5PPG2g

Jabari Smith Jr.83g

15.9PPG

7RPG1.9APG

vs Heat13PPG1g

Alperen Sengun78g

20.4PPG

9RPG6.1APG

vs Heat16PPG2g

Reed SheppardCold88g

13.4PPGL5 11.2

2.8RPG3.5APG

vs Heat18.5PPG2g

Heat

Bam AdebayoCold74g

19.9PPGL5 16.4

9.9RPG3.1APG

vs Rockets28PPG2g

Tyler HerroCold34g

20.6PPGL5 15

4.7RPG4.2APG

vs Rockets21.5PPG2g

Andrew Wiggins69g

15.5PPG

4.9RPG2.7APG

vs Rockets12PPG1g

Norman PowellCold59g

21.6PPGL5 14.4

3.5RPG2.4APG

Davion MitchellHot71g

9.6PPGL5 15.2

2.7RPG6.5APG

vs Rockets12.5PPG2g

ScoringSeason · per game

Team

PPG

Scored

OPP

Allowed

MARGIN

Per game

Rockets

114.7★

109.1★

+5.6★

Heat

119.9★

117.2★

+2.7★

Edge

Heat +5.2

Rockets +8.1

Rockets +2.9

Last 10 · Trend

Rockets

108.5avg

Heat

120.9avg

Recent FormLast 10

Straight-Up

RocketsW3

6-460%

Heat

5-550%

Against the Spread

Rockets4 cover

5-550%

Heat

6-460%

Season Records2025-26 · 58g / 60g

Team

ATS

O/U

Rockets

Overall

64%37-21

47%27-31

43%25-33

Heat

Overall

52%31-29

57%34-26

52%31-29

Matchup VenueRoad / Home splits

Team

ATS

O/U

Rockets

On Road

55%17-14

52%16-15

Heat

At Home

61%17-11

54%15-13

Player Prop Results15 players · 158 props

Alperen SengunHouston Rockets

15 props

AssistsO 5.5

3✗

AssistsO 6.5

3✗

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 18.5

13✗

PointsO 19.5

13✗

Pts+AstO 24.5

16✗

Pts+AstO 25.5

16✗

Pts+RebO 28.5

19✗

Pts+RebO 29.5

19✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 34.5

22✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 35.5

22✗

ReboundsO 9.5

6✗

Reb+AstO 15.5

9✗

StealsO 1.5

2✓

ThreesO 0.5

0✗

Amen ThompsonHouston Rockets

14 props

AssistsO 4.5

4✗

AssistsO 5.5

4✗

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 15.5

20✓

PointsO 16.5

20✓

Pts+AstO 21.5

24✓

Pts+RebO 23.5

31✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 28.5

35✓

ReboundsO 6.5

11✓

ReboundsO 7.5

11✓

Reb+AstO 11.5

15✓

Reb+AstO 12.5

15✓

StealsO 1.5

1✗

ThreesO 0.5

0✗

Andrew WigginsMiami Heat

12 props

AssistsO 2.5

4✓

BlocksO 0.5

3✓

PointsO 15.5

12✗

Pts+AstO 17.5

16✗

Pts+AstO 18.5

16✗

Pts+RebO 20.5

18✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 22.5

22✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 23.5

22✗

ReboundsO 4.5

6✓

Reb+AstO 7.5

10✓

ThreesO 1.5

1✗

ThreesO 2.5

1✗

Bam AdebayoMiami Heat

9 props

AssistsO 2.5

1✗

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 18.5

24✓

Pts+AstO 21.5

25✓

Pts+RebO 28.5

35✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 31.5

36✓

ReboundsO 9.5

11✓

Reb+AstO 12.5

12✗

ThreesO 1.5

3✓

Davion MitchellMiami Heat

12 props

AssistsO 5.5

5✗

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 7.5

10✓

PointsO 8.5

10✓

Pts+AstO 13.5

15✓

Pts+AstO 14.5

15✓

Pts+RebO 9.5

13✓

Pts+RebO 10.5

13✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 16.5

18✓

ReboundsO 2.5

3✓

Reb+AstO 8.5

8✗

ThreesO 1.5

2✓

Jaime Jaquez JrMiami Heat

11 props

AssistsO 3.5

3✗

PointsO 13.5

14✓

Pts+AstO 17.5

17✗

Pts+RebO 17.5

17✗

Pts+RebO 18.5

17✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 21.5

20✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 22.5

20✗

ReboundsO 4.5

3✗

Reb+AstO 7.5

6✗

Reb+AstO 8.5

6✗

ThreesO 0.5

0✗

Kevin DurantHouston Rockets

11 props

AssistsO 3.5

8✓

AssistsO 4.5

8✓

BlocksO 0.5

2✓

PointsO 26.5

32✓

Pts+AstO 30.5

40✓

Pts+RebO 32.5

37✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 36.5

45✓

ReboundsO 5.5

5✗

Reb+AstO 9.5

13✓

Reb+AstO 10.5

13✓

ThreesO 2.5

2✗

Pelle LarssonMiami Heat

11 props

AssistsO 3.5

4✓

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 11.5

20✓

Pts+AstO 14.5

24✓

Pts+AstO 15.5

24✓

Pts+RebO 15.5

24✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 18.5

28✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 19.5

28✓

ReboundsO 3.5

4✓

Reb+AstO 7.5

8✓

ThreesO 0.5

1✓

Reed SheppardHouston Rockets

15 props

AssistsO 3.5

5✓

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 14.5

14✗

PointsO 15.5

14✗

Pts+AstO 18.5

19✓

Pts+AstO 19.5

19✗

Pts+RebO 18.5

18✗

Pts+RebO 19.5

18✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 22.5

23✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 23.5

23✗

ReboundsO 3.5

4✓

Reb+AstO 6.5

9✓

Reb+AstO 7.5

9✓

StealsO 1.5

1✗

ThreesO 2.5

4✓

Tari EasonHouston Rockets

13 props

AssistsO 1.5

5✓

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 13.5

10✗

PointsO 14.5

10✗

Pts+AstO 15.5

15✗

Pts+AstO 16.5

15✗

Pts+RebO 21.5

21✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 22.5

26✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 23.5

26✓

ReboundsO 6.5

11✓

Reb+AstO 8.5

16✓

StealsO 1.5

1✗

ThreesO 1.5

2✓

Tyler HerroMiami Heat

11 props

AssistsO 3.5

3✗

BlocksO 0.5

0✗

PointsO 20.5

18✗

Pts+AstO 24.5

21✗

Pts+RebO 24.5

20✗

Pts+RebO 25.5

20✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 28.5

23✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 29.5

23✗

ReboundsO 4.5

2✗

Reb+AstO 7.5

5✗

ThreesO 2.5

2✗

Clint CapelaHouston Rockets

4 props

PointsO 4.5

7✓

Pts+RebO 10.5

10✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 11.5

11✗

ReboundsO 5.5

3✗

Dorian Finney-SmithHouston Rockets

8 props

PointsO 4.5

0✗

PointsO 5.5

0✗

Pts+RebO 8.5

2✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 8.5

2✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 9.5

2✗

ReboundsO 2.5

2✗

ReboundsO 3.5

2✗

ThreesO 1.5

0✗

Josh OkogieHouston Rockets

5 props

PointsO 5.5

0✗

Pts+RebO 9.5

0✗

Pts+Reb+AstO 10.5

0✗

ReboundsO 3.5

0✗

ThreesO 0.5

0✗

Kel'el WareMiami Heat

7 props

PointsO 7.5

13✓

PointsO 8.5

13✓

Pts+RebO 14.5

28✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 14.5

29✓

Pts+Reb+AstO 15.5

29✓

ReboundsO 6.5

15✓

ThreesO 0.5

1✓