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Home/NBA Schedule/Nuggets @ Thunder

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder — Oct 22, 2026 Odds

Tip October 23, 2026

See methodology for grading rules and ROI calculation.

NBA Schedule/Nuggets @ Thunder
NBATHU, OCT 22, 20268:40 PM CDT
AwayNuggetsDenver Nuggets56-32+222.5
HomeThunderOklahoma City Thunder75-22-276.5
Spread
Thunder −7.5
Total
232.5
Moneyline
Nuggets +222.5/Thunder -276.5
Analyze with Atom
Probability
Loading probability
Pre-game notes2 notes
Rest advantage+30 days off
Revenge spotRecent loss vs opponent
Consensus lines
Spread
Total
ML
Nuggets+7.5(-110)
O232.5
Nuggets+222.5
Thunder-7.5(-110)
U232.5
Thunder-276.5
Line movementDraftKings
Open
Current
Move
NuggetsSpread
+7.5+7.5
—
ThunderSpread
-7.5-7.5
—
Total
232.5232.5
—
Over price -105 opened, -105 now
NuggetsML
+225+225
—
ThunderML
-278-278
—
Key performers
Nuggets
Jamal MurrayJamal Murray81g25.3PPG
4.4
RPG
7
APG
36
MIN
55.8
eFG%

Last 5: 22.4 ppg·vs Thunder: 24 ppg (3g)

Nikola JokićNikola Jokić62g27.9PPG
12.9
RPG
10.9
APG
35
MIN
62.2
eFG%

Last 5: 27.2 ppg·vs Thunder: 23.7 ppg (3g)

Christian BraunChristian Braun50g11.5PPG
4.6
RPG
2.6
APG
32
MIN
56.8
eFG%

Last 5: 7.6 ppg·vs Thunder: 13.5 ppg (2g)

Cameron JohnsonCameron Johnson60g12.4PPG
3.8
RPG
2.4
APG
31
MIN
59.5
eFG%

Last 5: 14.6 ppg·vs Thunder: 6.5 ppg (2g)

Peyton WatsonPeyton Watson54g14.6PPG
4.9
RPG
2.1
APG
30
MIN
56.0
eFG%

Last 5: 11.6 ppg·vs Thunder: 29 ppg (1g)

Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderShai Gilgeous-Alexander83g30.5PPG
4.1
RPG
6.8
APG
34
MIN
57.9
eFG%

Last 5: 25.4 ppg·vs Nuggets: 35 ppg (3g)

Chet HolmgrenChet Holmgren84g16.7PPG
8.8
RPG
1.6
APG
29
MIN
61.5
eFG%

Last 5: 10.8 ppg·vs Nuggets: 14.5 ppg (2g)

Jalen WilliamsJalen Williams38g16.7PPG
4.4
RPG
5.1
APG
27
MIN
51.6
eFG%

Last 5: 14.4 ppg

Cason WallaceCason Wallace92g8.6PPG
3.2
RPG
2.6
APG
26
MIN
53.5
eFG%

Last 5: 10.2 ppg·vs Nuggets: 13.7 ppg (3g)

Ajay MitchellAjay Mitchell68g13.8PPG
3.4
RPG
3.7
APG
26
MIN
53.1
eFG%

Last 5: 13.6 ppg·vs Nuggets: 24 ppg (1g)

ScoringSeason · per game
Team
PPG
Scored
OPP
Allowed
MARGIN
Per game
NuggetsNuggets
121.1★
116.6★
+4.5★
ThunderThunder
118.5★
108.0★
+10.5★
Edge
Nuggets +2.6
Thunder +8.6
Thunder +6.0
Last 10 · Trend
Nuggets
117.3avg
Thunder
113.4avg
Head to head2025-26 · 4 games
Nuggets1
VS
Thunder3
Feb 27
Nuggets121@127Thunder
Thunder +6
Mar 9
Nuggets126@129Thunder
Thunder +3
Apr 10
Thunder107@127Nuggets
Nuggets +20
Recent formLast 10
Straight-Up
Nuggets
6-460%
W
W
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
Thunder
6-460%
W
W
W
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
Against the Spread
Nuggets
4-640%
L
L
W
W
W
L
L
L
W
L
Thunder
5-550%
W
W
L
L
W
W
L
W
L
L
Season records2025-26 · 88g / 97g
Team
SU
ATS
O/U
Nuggets
Overall
64%56-32
52%46-42
60%53-35
Thunder
Overall
77%75-22
48%47-50
57%55-42
Matchup venueRoad / Home splits
Team
SU
ATS
O/U
Nuggets
On Road
59%26-18
55%24-20
66%29-15
Thunder
At Home
80%40-10
48%24-26
56%28-22

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